Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2442.21 FARTCOIN at 0.147$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1549 (5.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1435 (2.25 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 09:21:11
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 09:21
→ 17:00
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.1468$
Qty 2442.2112 FARTCOIN
Size 358.4189$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1549 (+5.52%)
TP $ 19.78$
SL 0.1435 (-2.25%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 2.45
Status
win
PnL
+5.52%
/ +19.78$
MAE -0.20%
MFE +10.52%
4.7R
expires
19 Aug 21:21
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75101)
#7 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 09:00
score du 19/08/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3609
Quality Score
0.598
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.28×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.55×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.53×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 09:16
19/08 09:16
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 19/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1640
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.94
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 09:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4237
Score SMA
—
Rank
#20
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6427 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.75% · r3d: -0.91% · ema21_slope: 0.4354% · dist_ema21: 2.459% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5078 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.56% · rs_3d: -3.62% · beta_24h: 0.914 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0919 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.621 · trend: -55.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4281 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2138 | ATR%: 5.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5977
Score SMA
0.5313
Rank
#7
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3609
Rank Norm SMA
0.5545
Calculé le
19/08/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5791 | r1h: 0.657% · r4h: 2.638% · r1d: 1.93% · r3d: 1.85% · ema21_slope: 0.0285% · dist_ema21: 2.341% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5373 | rs_1h: -0.016% · rs_4h: 1.822% · rs_1d: 0.80% · rs_3d: -1.20% · beta_24h: 1.434 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5568 | rvol_20: 2.04× · zscore_50: 0.520 · trend: 6.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5216 | ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.081% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4716
Score SMA
0.4540
Rank
#22
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3446
Rank Norm SMA
0.3380
Calculé le
19/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5869 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.263% · r1d: 0.71% · r3d: 0.64% · ema21_slope: 0.0265% · dist_ema21: 1.181% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5405 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.274% · rs_1d: 1.23% · rs_3d: -1.54% · beta_24h: 2.011 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0858 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.712 · trend: -61.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2885 | ADX: 11.8 (weak) · Chop: 76.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.202% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.248%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.906% | 0.4R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.243% | 1.4R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 16.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.184% | 2.3R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 26.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.665% | 3.9R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 43.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.518% | 4.7R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 53.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.518% | 4.7R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 53.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 7.87
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.93 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bull_medium | +0.90% | -0.23 | 19/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.50 | bull_low | +1.49% | +0.15 | 19/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
66%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | — | bull_low_confirmed | +0.79% | +0.19 | 19/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 21b | — | 3.399×ATR | p21 | +0.979×ATR | p57 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 0.75×ATR | p0 | +0.549×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 3.699×ATR | p80 | +2.135×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 5.914×ATR | p97 | +3.745×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9168
- reason: up_bo width=2.59×ATR dur=55b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.14348428
- tp_price: 0.1549493
- atr:
- score: 0.8468
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T01:21:03.741589
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8468
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1876
- obi_top10 : 0.0261
- micro_price : 0.14710986
- spread_pct : 0.067981
- mid_price : 0.14715
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.153
- ask_wall_size : 1004643
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1826
- obi_top5_std : 0.0061
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7119
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.1458
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.1415
- balance_zone_mid:
0.14365
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786950000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787144400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5947
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
55
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8468
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787140800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.1458
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6545
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5793
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
17
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00165721 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
55
inside_close_ratio
0.6545
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5793
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:21 | 0.14676000 | -0.027% |
| 2 | 09:27 | 0.14676000 | -0.027% |
| 3 | 09:33 | 0.14676000 | -0.027% |
| 4 | 09:39 | 0.14760000 | +0.545% |
| 5 | 09:45 | 0.14760000 | +0.545% |
| 6 | 09:51 | 0.14717000 | +0.252% |
| 7 | 09:57 | 0.14717000 | +0.252% |
| 8 | 10:04 | 0.14717000 | +0.252% |
| 9 | 10:09 | 0.14768000 | +0.599% |
| 10 | 10:15 | 0.14768000 | +0.599% |
| 11 | 10:21 | 0.14733000 | +0.361% |
| 12 | 10:26 | 0.14733000 | +0.361% |
| 13 | 10:33 | 0.14733000 | +0.361% |
| 14 | 10:38 | 0.14690000 | +0.068% |
| 15 | 10:44 | 0.14690000 | +0.068% |
| 16 | 10:51 | 0.14751000 | +0.484% |
| 17 | 10:56 | 0.14751000 | +0.484% |
| 18 | 11:04 | 0.14751000 | +0.484% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7119ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
92%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.188
avg 0.183
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
0.026
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1472
Micro Price
0.1471
Spread
0.0680%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1530
Size
1,004,643.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1468 | 0.1435 | 0.1549 | 2.45 | 0.1211 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1468
- Stop Loss: 0.1435
- Take Profit: 0.1549
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1435 - 0.1468 = -0.0033
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1468 - 0.1549 = -0.0081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.0033 = 2.4545
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 358.4189 | 100 | 2442.2112 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0033
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0033 = -2424.24
Taille de position USD = -2424.24 x 0.1468 = -355.88
Donc, tu peux acheter -2424.24 avec un stoploss a 0.1435
Avec un position size USD de -355.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2424.24 x -0.0033 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2424.24 x -0.0081 = 19.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.64$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2424.24
- Taille de position USD -355.88
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.64
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4545
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.52 % | 19.78 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.25 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.78 $ | 5.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1975 % | 8.79 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1468 | 0.1435 | 0.1549 | 2.45 | 0.1211 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1468
- Stop Loss: 0.1435
- Take Profit: 0.1549
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1435 - 0.1468 = -0.0033
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1468 - 0.1549 = -0.0081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.0033 = 2.4545
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1534
[stop_loss] => 0.1435
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 15:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.248%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.906% | 0.4R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.243% | 1.4R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 16.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.184% | 2.3R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 26.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.665% | 3.9R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 43.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.518% | 4.7R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 53.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.518% | 4.7R | -0.198% | 0.1R | 53.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.