Long Trade on ETH (BosPullback)
With 0.45 ETH at 1933.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1977.5653 (2.29 %) & Stop Loss: 1915.5939 (0.92 %)
Long Trade on ETH (BosPullback)
With 0.45 ETH at 1933.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1977.5653 (2.29 %) & Stop Loss: 1915.5939 (0.92 %)
Position
Entry 1933.3$
Qty 0.4518 ETH
Size 873.5053$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 1977.5653 (+2.29%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1915.5939 (-0.92%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6839
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.97×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.12×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 19/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 19/08 09:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5656 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.21% · r3d: 1.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0326% · dist_ema21: 1.206% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4999 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.02% · rs_3d: -0.73% · beta_24h: 1.031 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0610 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -2.166 · trend: -45.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2795 | ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 81.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.263% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5617 | r1h: 0.541% · r4h: 0.614% · r1d: 1.77% · r3d: 2.85% · ema21_slope: 0.0287% · dist_ema21: 0.905% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4967 | rs_1h: -0.132% · rs_4h: -0.201% · rs_1d: 0.64% · rs_3d: -0.20% · beta_24h: 0.905 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3127 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.346 · trend: 30.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6283 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.392% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5418 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.036% · r1d: 0.33% · r3d: 2.07% · ema21_slope: 0.0708% · dist_ema21: 0.907% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5099 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.026% · rs_1d: 0.84% · rs_3d: -0.11% · beta_24h: 0.999 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1818 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.415 · trend: 7.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4657 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.716% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.419% | 0.5R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +9.662% | 10.6R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 34.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.662% | 10.6R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 34.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +21.388% | 23.4R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 76.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +21.388% | 23.4R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 76.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.07 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.86 | bull_medium | +0.90% | -0.01 | 19/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.84 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.59% | +0.05 | 19/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | bull_low_confirmed | +0.85% | -0.06 | 19/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 54b | — | 9.254×ATR | p92 | +0.916×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.751×ATR | p31 | +1.138×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.264×ATR | p0 | +1.72×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.803×ATR | p56 | +0.953×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1942
148
0.7724
0.694
0.364
0.2243
0.4783
1
0.4921
0.5363
0.7499
0.6621
0.6917
0.8639
0.126
0.0796
1
1.5297
2.4122
0.7
0.3
1
1
1
0.5515
0.8388
3.1003
0.55
2.04
3.4925
2.4122
0.462
0.3849
0.8
-0.0268
0.4665
0.4129
0.6704
0.8639
-1.1609
7.3667
1
0
0
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1916.5
1942
1942
1916.5
1919.4
1905.3
1912.35
1.1083
1942
1935.8
1938.9
0.4569
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1933.3 | 1915.5939 | 1977.5653 | 2.5 | 2269.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1915.5939 - 1933.3 = -17.7061
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1933.3 - 1977.5653 = -44.2653
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -44.2653 / -17.7061 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 873.5053 | 100 | 0.4518 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -17.7061 = -0.45
Taille de position USD = -0.45 x 1933.3 = -869.99
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.45 avec un stoploss a 1915.5939
Avec un position size USD de -869.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.45 x -17.7061 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.45 x -44.2653 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.29 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 2.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2793 % | 30.5 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1933.3 | 1915.5939 | 1977.5653 | 2.5 | 2269.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1915.5939 - 1933.3 = -17.7061
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1933.3 - 1977.5653 = -44.2653
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -44.2653 / -17.7061 = 2.5
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.419% | 0.5R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +9.662% | 10.6R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 34.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.662% | 10.6R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 34.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +21.388% | 23.4R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 76.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +21.388% | 23.4R | -0.279% | 0.3R | 76.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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