Long Trade on HYPE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 6.51 HYPE at 60.1$ per unit. Take profit: 63.1703 (5.11 %) & Stop Loss: 58.8719 (2.04 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 11:09:05
hyperliquid
HYPE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 11:09
→ 15:10
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 60.1$
Qty 6.514 HYPE
Size 391.4885$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 63.1703 (+5.11%)
TP $ 20$
SL 58.8719 (-2.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+5.11%
/ +20$
MAE -0.77%
MFE +22.08%
10.8R
expires
19 Aug 23:08
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75184)
#20 / 43
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 11:00
score du 19/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3592
Quality Score
0.592
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#20 / 43
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 43
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.61×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.63×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
203.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 11:02
19/08 11:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 19/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1642
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.94
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4268
Score SMA
—
Rank
#18
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5458 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.31% · r3d: 2.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0890% · dist_ema21: 2.292% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4843 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.12% · rs_3d: -0.61% · beta_24h: 1.577 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0665 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -2.002 · trend: -53.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4307 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 64.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6410 | ATR%: 4.077% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5919
Score SMA
0.5525
Rank
#20
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3592
Rank Norm SMA
0.6907
Calculé le
19/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5547 | r1h: 0.851% · r4h: 1.084% · r1d: 0.02% · r3d: 3.35% · ema21_slope: -0.0202% · dist_ema21: 0.761% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4817 | rs_1h: 0.185% · rs_4h: -0.440% · rs_1d: -1.11% · rs_3d: -0.36% · beta_24h: 1.082 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6353 | rvol_20: 2.01× · zscore_50: 0.939 · trend: 48.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5199 | ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 57.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.844% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5016
Score SMA
0.5381
Rank
#12
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6958
Rank Norm SMA
0.7922
Calculé le
19/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5875 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.072% · r1d: -1.14% · r3d: 2.17% · ema21_slope: 0.1241% · dist_ema21: 0.346% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5036 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.082% · rs_1d: -0.63% · rs_3d: -0.01% · beta_24h: 0.955 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1077 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.618 · trend: -38.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5193 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 59.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.376% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.043%
(1.2281)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.067% | 2.0R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.225% | 2.1R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.225% | 2.1R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +22.077% | 10.8R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 28.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +22.077% | 10.8R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 28.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +24.165% | 11.8R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 31.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.50 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.49 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.09% | -0.12 | 19/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.46 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.20% | -0.07 | 19/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | — | bull_low_confirmed | +1.39% | +0.00 | 19/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 3.147×ATR | p20 | +0.79×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.989×ATR | p0 | +0.336×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.13×ATR | p2 | +0.54×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 0.875×ATR | p3 | +1.417×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6645
- reason: up_bo width=2.56×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bearish(-0.05)
- stop_price: 58.87186672
- tp_price: 63.1703332
- atr:
- score: 0.81447054202218
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T03:08:57.774395
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81447054202218
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.4249
- obi_top10 : -0.4249
- micro_price : 60.04364453
- spread_pct : 0.001665
- mid_price : 60.0435
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 60.1
- ask_wall_size : 20610.624
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.4128
- obi_top5_std : 0.0934
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7063
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
59.62
- balance_zone_bottom:
58.232
- balance_zone_mid:
58.926
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786978800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787151600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.564
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8145
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787148000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
59.62
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8367
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8867
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.54133281 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.8367
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8867
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:09 | 60.10000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 60.10000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:21 | 59.95000000 | -0.25% |
| 4 | 11:27 | 59.95000000 | -0.25% |
| 5 | 11:33 | 59.95000000 | -0.25% |
| 6 | 11:38 | 60.15100000 | +0.085% |
| 7 | 11:44 | 60.15100000 | +0.085% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7063ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
66%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.425
avg -0.413
± 0.093
OBI Top 10
-0.425
Microstructure
Mid Price
60.0435
Micro Price
60.0436
Spread
0.0017%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
60.1000
Size
20,610.62
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.1 | 58.8719 | 63.1703 | 2.5 | 88.156 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 60.1
- Stop Loss: 58.8719
- Take Profit: 63.1703
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 58.8719 - 60.1 = -1.2281
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 60.1 - 63.1703 = -3.0703
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0703 / -1.2281 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 391.4885 | 100 | 6.514 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -1.2281
Taille de position = 8 / -1.2281 = -6.51
Taille de position USD = -6.51 x 60.1 = -391.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.51 avec un stoploss a 58.8719
Avec un position size USD de -391.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.51 x -1.2281 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.51 x -3.0703 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -6.51
- Taille de position USD -391.25
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.11 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 5.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7687 % | 37.62 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.1 | 58.8719 | 63.1703 | 2.5 | 88.156 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 60.1
- Stop Loss: 58.8719
- Take Profit: 63.1703
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 58.8719 - 60.1 = -1.2281
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 60.1 - 63.1703 = -3.0703
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0703 / -1.2281 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 62.5562
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 16:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 63.17025
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 63.7843
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64.39835
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65.0124
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65.62645
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 66.2405
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 66.85455
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 67.4686
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68.08265
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68.6967
[stop_loss] => 58.8719
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-19 19:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.043%
(1.2281)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.067% | 2.0R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.225% | 2.1R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.225% | 2.1R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +22.077% | 10.8R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 28.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +22.077% | 10.8R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 28.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +24.165% | 11.8R | -0.769% | 0.4R | 31.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.