Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 3292.53 WLD at 0.326$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3217 (1.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.329 (0.77 %)
Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 3292.53 WLD at 0.326$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3217 (1.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.329 (0.77 %)
Position
Entry 0.3265$
Qty 3292.5334 WLD
Size 1075.1768$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3217 (+1.47%)
TP $ 15.8$
SL 0.329 (-0.77%)
SL $ 8.23$
RR 1.92
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1460
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.48×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 19/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 19/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.581008 15m : 0.450202 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3628 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.46% · r3d: -10.44% · ema21_slope: 0.0928% · dist_ema21: -4.752% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2898 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.27% · rs_3d: -13.14% · beta_24h: 0.293 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1072 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.393 · trend: -57.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5161 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4195 | r1h: 0.515% · r4h: 0.603% · r1d: -1.27% · r3d: -7.74% · ema21_slope: -0.1011% · dist_ema21: -0.011% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3492 | rs_1h: -0.152% · rs_4h: -0.921% · rs_1d: -2.40% · rs_3d: -11.44% · beta_24h: 0.871 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1673 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.490 · trend: -54.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5252 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 70.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.150% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3330 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.157% · r1d: -1.90% · r3d: -10.84% · ema21_slope: -0.4535% · dist_ema21: -3.872% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3328 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.146% · rs_1d: -1.38% · rs_3d: -13.01% · beta_24h: 2.076 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1293 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.061 · trend: -50.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7693 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 36.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -6.763% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -6.763% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.083% | 0.1R | -8.144% | 10.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -13.963% | 18.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -13.963% | 18.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.41 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.09% | -0.82 | 19/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.33 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.20% | -0.26 | 19/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.6ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | bull_low_confirmed | +1.39% | -0.08 | 19/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.133×ATR | p0 | -0.714×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.1×ATR | p89 | -1.504×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.718×ATR | p11 | -0.011×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.366×ATR | p3 | +0.445×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64855.9
0.0273534
66630
0.581008
64696.6
0.0298827
66630
0.450202
64011.5
0.0402813
66590
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13
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0.8336
0.2418
0.38
0.1173
0.4832
0.498
0.5649
0.2329
-10.5623
3.2073
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 08:55:00 | 0.31822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 09:50:00 | 0.31593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:10:00 | 0.3212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 12:15:00 | 0.31845 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 0.3226 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:10:00 | 0.31943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:50:00 | 0.31783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 14:05:00 | 0.32024 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:25:00 | 0.31809 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.32903 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 23:15:00 | 0.31525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 02:30:00 | 0.31404 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 05:00:00 | 0.31767 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:30:00 | 0.31461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:45:00 | 0.32075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 09:45:00 | 0.31593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:00:00 | 0.3212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 0.3226 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:45:00 | 0.31783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.32903 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.34992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.34263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.37144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.35198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 0.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.365 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 0.31747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.32848 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 02:00:00 | 0.31404 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 0.32871 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3265 | 0.329 | 0.3217 | 1.92 | 0.3918 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.329 - 0.3265 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3265 - 0.3217 = 0.0048
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0048 / 0.0025 = 1.92
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1075.1768 | 100 | 3292.5334 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0025 = 3200
Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.3265 = 1044.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.329
Avec un position size USD de 1044.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3200 x 0.0025 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3200 x 0.0048 = 15.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.36$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.47 % | 15.8 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 8.23 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.23 $ | -0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2282 % | 160.4 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3265 | 0.329 | 0.3217 | 1.92 | 0.3918 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.329 - 0.3265 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3265 - 0.3217 = 0.0048
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0048 / 0.0025 = 1.92
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -6.763% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -6.763% | 8.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.083% | 0.1R | -8.144% | 10.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -13.963% | 18.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.083% | 0.1R | -13.963% | 18.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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