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Long Trade on VIRTUAL

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19 Aug 2026 at 11:51:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VIRTUAL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 587.37 VIRTUAL at 0.589$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6226 (5.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5749 (2.33 %)

VIRTUAL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 11:51 → 23:50 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.5886$

Qty 587.3655 VIRTUAL

Size 345.7057$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6226 (+5.78%)

TP $ 19.97$

SL 0.5749 (-2.33%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 2.48

Status win PnL +2.98% / +10.3$ MAE -1.06% MFE +5.55% 2.4R expires 19 Aug 23:50 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 75185)
#13 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3647

Quality Score
0.640
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#13 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.48×ATR
4h clear 5.18×ATR
1d near 0.27×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 11:46
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

19/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

19/08 11:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3872
Score SMA
—
Rank
#28 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4462 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 4.10% · ema21_slope: -0.0438% · dist_ema21: 0.920%
Force Relative 25% 0.4446 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.37% · rs_3d: 1.39% · beta_24h: 1.622
Volume 20% 0.1730 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.908 · trend: -24.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4766 ADX: 12.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3608 ATR%: 4.918% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.6395
Score SMA
0.5446
Rank
#13 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3647
Rank Norm SMA
0.5811
Calculé le
19/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5368 r1h: -0.010% · r4h: 0.830% · r1d: -1.16% · r3d: 3.11% · ema21_slope: -0.0187% · dist_ema21: 0.379%
Force Relative 25% 0.4238 rs_1h: -0.677% · rs_4h: -0.694% · rs_1d: -2.29% · rs_3d: -0.59% · beta_24h: 1.101
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.00× · zscore_50: 3.386 · trend: 103.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4836 ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 59.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.085% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4827
Score SMA
0.5210
Rank
#18 / 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6565
Rank Norm SMA
0.7340
Calculé le
19/08/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5412 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.016% · r1d: -2.58% · r3d: 2.72% · ema21_slope: 0.1328% · dist_ema21: 0.365%
Force Relative 25% 0.4365 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.027% · rs_1d: -2.06% · rs_3d: 0.54% · beta_24h: 2.392
Volume 20% 0.1846 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.610 · trend: -31.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4953 ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.907% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.328% (0.0137)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.120% 0.5R -1.060% 0.5R 1.1× 12
2h +1.120% 0.5R -1.060% 0.5R 1.1× 24
4h +1.120% 0.5R -1.060% 0.5R 1.1× 48
8h +4.681% 2.0R -1.060% 0.5R 4.4× 96
12h ★ +5.552% 2.4R -1.060% 0.5R 5.2× 144
24h +12.204% 5.2R -1.060% 0.5R 11.5× 288

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 3.57
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.2ATR near 0.3ATR 0.66 bear_high -2.76% +0.08 18/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.52 bull_medium_confirmed +3.77% +0.02 19/08 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
45%
noisy_chop 37% late — near -0.5ATR 0.34 bull_medium_confirmed +7.02% -0.45 19/08 11:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 49% late — — — bull_medium_confirmed +5.92% -0.24 19/08 11:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 8b — 2.026×ATR p0 +0.161×ATR p8
4h ↓ down early 5b — 0.517×ATR p0 +0.976×ATR p59
1h ↑ up late 6b — 2.532×ATR p54 +1.515×ATR p83
15m ↓ down late 1b — 1.602×ATR p3 +2.525×ATR p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7616
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.82×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.57494986
  5. tp_price: 0.62262035
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.76163539935358
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-20T03:50:57.181451
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.76163539935358
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.0326
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0223
  11. micro_price : 0.58914245
  12. spread_pct : 0.03395
  13. mid_price : 0.5892
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.063
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0617
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6994
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.58263
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.56879
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.57571
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1787007600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1787151600
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    1.8207
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    41
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7616
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1787148000
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.58263
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.8049
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.7814
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    10
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    6
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00760139
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.8049
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7814

Signaux confirmants (18)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 11:51 0.58857000 -0.005%
2 11:57 0.58857000 -0.005%
3 12:04 0.58857000 -0.005%
4 15:10 0.58984000 +0.211%
5 15:16 0.58984000 +0.211%
6 15:22 0.59041000 +0.308%
7 15:28 0.59041000 +0.308%
8 15:34 0.59041000 +0.308%
9 16:11 0.59505000 +1.096%
10 16:17 0.59505000 +1.096%
11 16:23 0.59482000 +1.057%
12 16:29 0.59482000 +1.057%
13 16:35 0.59482000 +1.057%
14 16:41 0.59684000 +1.4%
15 16:47 0.59684000 +1.4%
16 16:53 0.59423000 +0.957%
17 16:59 0.59423000 +0.957%
18 17:06 0.59423000 +0.957%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6994ms Confidence avant OB : 76% → 76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.033
avg -0.063 ± 0.062
OBI Top 10 0.022

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.5892
Micro Price
0.5891
Spread
0.0340%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5886 0.5749 0.6226 2.48 0.5961
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5886
  • Stop Loss: 0.5749
  • Take Profit: 0.6226

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5749 - 0.5886 = -0.0137

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5886 - 0.6226 = -0.034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.034 / -0.0137 = 2.4818

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
345.7057 100 587.3655 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0137

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0137 = -583.94

Taille de position USD = -583.94 x 0.5886 = -343.71

Donc, tu peux acheter -583.94 avec un stoploss a 0.5749

Avec un position size USD de -343.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -583.94 x -0.0137 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -583.94 x -0.034 = 19.85

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.85$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -583.94
  • Taille de position USD -343.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.85
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4818

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.78 % 19.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.33 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
10.3 $ 2.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0601 % 45.54 % 20
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5886 0.5749 0.6226 2.48 0.5961
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5886
  • Stop Loss: 0.5749
  • Take Profit: 0.6226

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5749 - 0.5886 = -0.0137

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5886 - 0.6226 = -0.034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.034 / -0.0137 = 2.4818

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.616
            [stop_loss] => 0.5749
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-19 21:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.328% (0.0137)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.120% 0.5R -1.060% 0.5R 1.1× 12
2h +1.120% 0.5R -1.060% 0.5R 1.1× 24
4h +1.120% 0.5R -1.060% 0.5R 1.1× 48
8h +4.681% 2.0R -1.060% 0.5R 4.4× 96
12h ★ +5.552% 2.4R -1.060% 0.5R 5.2× 144
24h +12.204% 5.2R -1.060% 0.5R 11.5× 288

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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