19 Aug 2026 at 13:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 10181.48 MON at 0.022$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02258 (2.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02124 (3.54 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 13:10 → 16:45 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.02202$

Qty 10181.485 MON

Size 224.2472$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.02258 (+2.54%)

TP $ 5.7$

SL 0.02124 (-3.54%)

SL $ 7.94$

RR 0.72

Status win PnL +2.54% / +5.7$ MAE -0.84% MFE +5.00% 1.4R expires 19 Aug 19:10

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 75347)
#8 / 52 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7254

Quality Score
0.720
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 52 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.54 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 52 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.54 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.32×ATR
4h near -1.28×ATR
1d clear 2.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 13:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

19/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

19/08 12:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1644
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

transition

+1

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.90
Transition risk : 0.10
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.69
Snapshot évalué : 19/08 13:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3996
Score SMA
—
Rank
#25 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4471 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.41% · r3d: 4.30% · ema21_slope: 0.0318% · dist_ema21: -0.317%
Force Relative 25% 0.4528 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.22% · rs_3d: 1.59% · beta_24h: 1.790
Volume 20% 0.1891 rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -1.113 · trend: -2.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5218 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3613 ATR%: 4.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.7195
Score SMA
0.5176
Rank
#8 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7254
Rank Norm SMA
0.4951
Calculé le
19/08/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6954 r1h: 1.529% · r4h: 1.164% · r1d: 5.69% · r3d: 6.23% · ema21_slope: 0.1761% · dist_ema21: 2.681%
Force Relative 25% 0.4471 rs_1h: 1.488% · rs_4h: -4.572% · rs_1d: -0.10% · rs_3d: -2.20% · beta_24h: -0.093
Volume 20% 0.8791 rvol_20: 3.33× · zscore_50: 1.187 · trend: 114.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8219 ADX: 38.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.450% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5752
Score SMA
0.5434
Rank
#16 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8125
Rank Norm SMA
0.7605
Calculé le
19/08/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6353 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.753% · r1d: 4.87% · r3d: 5.49% · ema21_slope: 0.1714% · dist_ema21: 3.857%
Force Relative 25% 0.4082 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.411% · rs_1d: -1.54% · rs_3d: -3.52% · beta_24h: 0.040
Volume 20% 0.3538 rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.370 · trend: 1.68%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7451 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.335% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.542% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.799% 0.2R -0.845% 0.2R 1.0× 12
2h +1.045% 0.3R -0.845% 0.2R 1.2× 24
4h +5.005% 1.4R -0.845% 0.2R 5.9× 48
6h ★ +5.005% 1.4R -0.845% 0.2R 5.9× 72
8h +5.005% 1.4R -0.845% 0.2R 5.9× 96
12h +10.377% 2.9R -0.845% 0.2R 12.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.56
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.39 bear_high -2.76% +0.10 18/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near -1.3ATR 0.35 bull_high_confirmed +7.30% -0.38 19/08 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -1.3ATR 0.20 bull_medium_confirmed +6.80% -0.03 19/08 12:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 43% early — near 0.3ATR 0.25 bull_medium_confirmed +5.42% -0.45 19/08 12:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 9b — 1.301×ATR p0 +0.561×ATR p42
4h ↑ up mid 9b — 2.358×ATR p32 +1.086×ATR p71
1h ↑ up late 2b — 1.81×ATR p18 +1.923×ATR p90
15m ↓ down early 1b — 2.4×ATR p28 +1.027×ATR p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.02123926
  2. tp_price: 0.02257562
  3. atr: 0.0003143
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-19T23:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 10
  2. total: 53
  3. score: 0.6954
  4. delta_2h: 0.0727
  5. extension_atr: 0.99
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7254
  9. confidence: 0.877

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02202 0.02124 0.02258 0.72 0.0192
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02202
  • Stop Loss: 0.02124
  • Take Profit: 0.02258

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02124 - 0.02202 = -0.00078

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02202 - 0.02258 = -0.00056

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00056 / -0.00078 = 0.7179

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
224.2472 100 10181.485 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00078

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00078 = -10256.41

Taille de position USD = -10256.41 x 0.02202 = -225.85

Donc, tu peux acheter -10256.41 avec un stoploss a 0.02124

Avec un position size USD de -225.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -10256.41 x -0.00078 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -10256.41 x -0.00056 = 5.74

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.74$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -10256.41
  • Taille de position USD -225.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.74
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7179

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.54 % 5.7 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.54 % 7.94 $
PNL PNL %
5.7 $ 2.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8447 % 23.85 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02202 0.02124 0.02258 0.72 0.0192
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02202
  • Stop Loss: 0.02124
  • Take Profit: 0.02258

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02124 - 0.02202 = -0.00078

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02202 - 0.02258 = -0.00056

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00056 / -0.00078 = 0.7179

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.542% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.799% 0.2R -0.845% 0.2R 1.0× 12
2h +1.045% 0.3R -0.845% 0.2R 1.2× 24
4h +5.005% 1.4R -0.845% 0.2R 5.9× 48
6h ★ +5.005% 1.4R -0.845% 0.2R 5.9× 72
8h +5.005% 1.4R -0.845% 0.2R 5.9× 96
12h +10.377% 2.9R -0.845% 0.2R 12.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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