Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2081.64 ETHFI at 0.497$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5045 (1.55 %) & Stop Loss: 0.493 (0.76 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2081.64 ETHFI at 0.497$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5045 (1.55 %) & Stop Loss: 0.493 (0.76 %)
Position
Entry 0.4968$
Qty 2081.6366 ETHFI
Size 1034.1987$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5045 (+1.55%)
TP $ 16.03$
SL 0.493 (-0.76%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.03
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3645
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.47×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.57×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.36×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 19/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.383408 15m : 0.484305 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7638 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.59% · r3d: -3.93% · ema21_slope: 0.9875% · dist_ema21: 11.048% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5919 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.40% · rs_3d: -6.63% · beta_24h: -0.224 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1943 | rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -1.334 · trend: 12.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7177 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.055% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5429 | r1h: -1.279% · r4h: 1.650% · r1d: 3.99% · r3d: -1.01% · ema21_slope: 0.1081% · dist_ema21: 1.939% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3204 | rs_1h: -0.676% · rs_4h: -3.025% · rs_1d: -1.24% · rs_3d: -8.74% · beta_24h: 0.450 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9486 | rvol_20: 3.83× · zscore_50: 2.229 · trend: 106.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6980 | ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 24.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.657% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7187 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.872% · r1d: 4.52% · r3d: -1.10% · ema21_slope: 0.1696% · dist_ema21: 3.364% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4917 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.214% · rs_1d: -1.90% · rs_3d: -10.11% · beta_24h: 0.644 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1651 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.983 · trend: -27.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7155 | ADX: 39.5 (trend) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.965% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.212% | 1.6R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.312% | 1.7R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.999% | 9.2R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 29.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.093% | 9.3R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 30.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.093% | 9.3R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 30.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.59 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | +0.95 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bull_high_confirmed | +6.32% | -0.35 | 19/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.21 | bull_medium_confirmed | +5.93% | -0.11 | 19/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.35 | bull_medium | +4.19% | -0.36 | 19/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.742×ATR | p67 | +2.053×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.777×ATR | p0 | +1.088×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.905×ATR | p60 | +1.113×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.401×ATR | p0 | -0.178×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
66758.2
0.0221655
68238
0.383408
65539.8
0.0414281
68255
0.484305
64302.5
0.061327
68246
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1
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0.6183
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2.4708
7.491
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0.2657
0.92
0.5599
0.5171
0.5553
0.467
0.7091
-2.877
7.0131
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:39 | 0.49682000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 14:45 | 0.49625000 | -0.111% |
| 3 | 14:51 | 0.49680000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 12:00:00 | 0.48936 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 12:40:00 | 0.48866 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:15:00 | 0.48478 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 14:05:00 | 0.50281 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 15:30:00 | 0.52667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 16:05:00 | 0.50452 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:30:00 | 0.51332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 0.498 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:05:00 | 0.50647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:35:00 | 0.49544 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 18:30:00 | 0.48928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:15:00 | 0.47659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 23:30:00 | 0.486 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:30:00 | 0.47976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 03:45:00 | 0.49768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 07:15:00 | 0.47797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:30:00 | 0.48944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:15:00 | 0.48478 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:30:00 | 0.52667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 0.498 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.50081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 0.51669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.49345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 0.48657 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.50641 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 15:00:00 | 0.49675 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:00:00 | 0.47659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 03:00:00 | 0.49768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 07:00:00 | 0.47797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 0.52667 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4968 | 0.493 | 0.5045 | 2.03 | 0.578 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.493 - 0.4968 = -0.0038
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4968 - 0.5045 = -0.0076999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0076999999999999 / -0.0038 = 2.0263
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1034.1987 | 100 | 2081.6366 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0038 = -2105.26
Taille de position USD = -2105.26 x 0.4968 = -1045.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -2105.26 avec un stoploss a 0.493
Avec un position size USD de -1045.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2105.26 x -0.0038 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2105.26 x -0.0076999999999999 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.55 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.03 $ | 1.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2355 % | 30.79 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4968 | 0.493 | 0.5045 | 2.03 | 0.578 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.493 - 0.4968 = -0.0038
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4968 - 0.5045 = -0.0076999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0076999999999999 / -0.0038 = 2.0263
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Array
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.212% | 1.6R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.312% | 1.7R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.999% | 9.2R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 29.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.093% | 9.3R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 30.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.093% | 9.3R | -0.236% | 0.3R | 30.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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