Long Trade on MORPHO (BosPullback)
With 255.1 MORPHO at 2.132$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2106 (3.68 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1008 (1.47 %)
Long Trade on MORPHO (BosPullback)
With 255.1 MORPHO at 2.132$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2106 (3.68 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1008 (1.47 %)
Position
Entry 2.1322$
Qty 255.1024 MORPHO
Size 543.9294$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2106 (+3.68%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.1008 (-1.47%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2265
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.97×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.58×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6877 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.05% · r3d: 4.56% · ema21_slope: 0.2435% · dist_ema21: 4.836% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5603 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.14% · rs_3d: 1.86% · beta_24h: 0.498 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1696 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.623 · trend: -41.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5336 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5223 | ATR%: 4.433% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5182 | r1h: -0.276% · r4h: -0.052% · r1d: -0.25% · r3d: 5.89% · ema21_slope: 0.0216% · dist_ema21: 1.799% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3955 | rs_1h: -0.281% · rs_4h: 0.182% · rs_1d: -6.06% · rs_3d: -2.50% · beta_24h: 0.655 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1966 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.388 · trend: -33.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8148 | ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 35.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7024 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.014% · r1d: -0.22% · r3d: 5.93% · ema21_slope: 0.2641% · dist_ema21: 2.618% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3760 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.356% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: -3.09% · beta_24h: 0.740 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2903 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.664 · trend: 50.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8066 | ADX: 38.7 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.691% | 2.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.691% | 2.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 23 |
| 4h ★ | +5.131% | 3.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 47 |
| 8h | +6.641% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 95 |
| 12h | +6.641% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.57 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | +0.13 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.31 | bull_high_confirmed | +6.70% | -0.16 | 19/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.33 | bull_medium_confirmed | +6.12% | -0.33 | 19/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.5ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.30 | bull_medium | +3.92% | -0.16 | 19/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.025×ATR | p5 | +1.749×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.558×ATR | p14 | +0.886×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 0.906×ATR | p2 | +1.304×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.87×ATR | p21 | +0.835×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
2.1034
147
0.7704
0.5629
0.4689
0.2201
0.6725
0.3832
0.463
0.7693
0.7667
0.5181
0.4568
0.7399
0.1597
0.0618
1
1.2481
1.4193
0.85
0.15
1
4
1
0.5599
0.4271
4.8915
0.5
0.3832
1.8744
1.4193
0.6596
0.2997
0.66
-0.1169
0.4608
0.4614
0
0.7399
-2.4273
6.905
1
0
1
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2.1034
2.1608
2.1608
2.1034
2.2026
2.1544
2.1785
0.9257
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:05 | 2.13220000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:11 | 2.13750000 | +0.249% |
| 3 | 16:23 | 2.13990000 | +0.361% |
| 4 | 16:29 | 2.13990000 | +0.361% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1322 | 2.1008 | 2.2106 | 2.5 | 2.1464 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1008 - 2.1322 = -0.0314
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1322 - 2.2106 = -0.0784
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0784 / -0.0314 = 2.4968
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 543.9294 | 100 | 255.1024 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0314 = -254.78
Taille de position USD = -254.78 x 2.1322 = -543.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -254.78 avec un stoploss a 2.1008
Avec un position size USD de -543.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -254.78 x -0.0314 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -254.78 x -0.0784 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.68 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.47 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 3.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1322 | 2.1008 | 2.2106 | 2.5 | 2.1464 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1008 - 2.1322 = -0.0314
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1322 - 2.2106 = -0.0784
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0784 / -0.0314 = 2.4968
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[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.691% | 2.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.691% | 2.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 23 |
| 4h ★ | +5.131% | 3.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 47 |
| 8h | +6.641% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 95 |
| 12h | +6.641% | 4.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 143 |
computed 2 months ago
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