Long Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 16.75 VVV at 14.436$ per unit. Take profit: 15.6303 (8.27 %) & Stop Loss: 13.9583 (3.31 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 16:11:50
hyperliquid
VVV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 16:11
→ 04:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 14.436$
Qty 16.7463 VVV
Size 241.75$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 15.6303 (+8.27%)
TP $ 20$
SL 13.9583 (-3.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.00%
/ -2.41$
MAE -2.70%
MFE +3.42%
1.0R
expires
20 Aug 04:11
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75504)
#22 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 16:00
score du 19/08/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4257
Quality Score
0.679
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#22 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
12.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 16:02
19/08 16:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1647
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.69
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 16:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5738
Score SMA
—
Rank
#7
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7761 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.36% · r3d: 18.65% · ema21_slope: 0.4006% · dist_ema21: 13.191% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8288 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: 15.95% · beta_24h: 1.723 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1968 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.904 · trend: -7.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6295 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.318% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6792
Score SMA
0.5912
Rank
#22
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4257
Rank Norm SMA
0.7104
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7225 | r1h: 1.666% · r4h: -0.104% · r1d: 3.30% · r3d: 21.60% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 2.247% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6507 | rs_1h: 1.662% · rs_4h: 0.129% · rs_1d: -2.51% · rs_3d: 13.21% · beta_24h: 0.429 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5520 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 0.552 · trend: 36.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5955 | ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.149% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6925
Score SMA
0.7124
Rank
#4
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9541
Rank Norm SMA
0.9889
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8051 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.007% · r1d: 2.60% · r3d: 22.16% · ema21_slope: 0.9029% · dist_ema21: 6.715% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6635 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.217% · rs_1d: -3.36% · rs_3d: 13.14% · beta_24h: 0.518 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2788 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.721 · trend: 45.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9019 | ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 35.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9405 | ATR%: 3.179% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.309%
(0.4777)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.154% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.238% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.238% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.702% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.824% | 1.2R | -3.270% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.43 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | +0.72 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.41 | bull_high_confirmed | +6.70% | +0.78 | 19/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.24 | bull_medium_confirmed | +6.12% | -0.31 | 19/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.13 | bull_medium | +3.92% | -0.23 | 19/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.238×ATR | p32 | +2.104×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.543×ATR | p0 | +1.332×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.706×ATR | p11 | +1.039×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.413×ATR | p60 | +1.142×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7687
- reason: up_bo width=2.96×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 13.95828329
- tp_price: 15.63029178
- atr:
- score: 0.76871015403369
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T08:11:42.500833
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76871015403369
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0254
- obi_top10 : 0.0274
- micro_price : 14.35906728
- spread_pct : 0.062696
- mid_price : 14.3595
- bid_wall_price : 14.3
- bid_wall_size : 5990.94
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 14.6
- ask_wall_size : 4625.75
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0229
- obi_top5_std : 0.0029
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6905
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
14.416
- balance_zone_bottom:
13.5585
- balance_zone_mid:
13.98725
- balance_zone_start_time:
1787007600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787169600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9603
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7687
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787166000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
14.416
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6957
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.069
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.28966714 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.6957
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.069
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6905ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.025
avg 0.023
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.027
Microstructure
Mid Price
14.3595
Micro Price
14.3591
Spread
0.0627%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
14.3000
Size
5,990.94
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
14.6000
Size
4,625.75
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.436 | 13.9583 | 15.6303 | 2.5 | 21.384 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.436
- Stop Loss: 13.9583
- Take Profit: 15.6303
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.9583 - 14.436 = -0.4777
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.436 - 15.6303 = -1.1943
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1943 / -0.4777 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241.75 | 100 | 16.7463 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.4777
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4777 = -16.75
Taille de position USD = -16.75 x 14.436 = -241.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.75 avec un stoploss a 13.9583
Avec un position size USD de -241.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.75 x -0.4777 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.75 x -1.1943 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -16.75
- Taille de position USD -241.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.27 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.41 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7016 % | 81.64 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.436 | 13.9583 | 15.6303 | 2.5 | 21.384 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.436
- Stop Loss: 13.9583
- Take Profit: 15.6303
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.9583 - 14.436 = -0.4777
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.436 - 15.6303 = -1.1943
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1943 / -0.4777 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.309%
(0.4777)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.154% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.238% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.238% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.422% | 1.0R | -2.702% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.824% | 1.2R | -3.270% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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