19 Aug 2026 at 17:00:14 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 11.92 VVV at 14.546$ per unit. Take profit: 14.968 (2.9 %) & Stop Loss: 13.875 (4.61 %)

VVV LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 17:00 → 04:50 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 14.546$

Qty 11.9225 VVV

Size 173.4247$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 14.968 (+2.9%)

TP $ 5.03$

SL 13.875 (-4.61%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.63

Status loss PnL -1.20% / -2.09$ MAE -3.44% MFE +2.64% 0.6R expires 20 Aug 05:00 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 75504)
#22 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4257

Quality Score
0.679
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#22 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#22 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.36×ATR
4h near -0.45×ATR
1d near -0.45×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
11.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 16:46
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

19/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

19/08 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1648
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

transition

+1

Tactical bull

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.90
Transition risk : 0.10
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.69
Snapshot évalué : 19/08 17:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5738
Score SMA
—
Rank
#7 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7761 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.36% · r3d: 18.65% · ema21_slope: 0.4006% · dist_ema21: 13.191%
Force Relative 25% 0.8288 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: 15.95% · beta_24h: 1.723
Volume 20% 0.1968 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.904 · trend: -7.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6295 ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.318% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6792
Score SMA
0.5912
Rank
#22 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4257
Rank Norm SMA
0.7104
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7225 r1h: 1.666% · r4h: -0.104% · r1d: 3.30% · r3d: 21.60% · ema21_slope: 0.1479% · dist_ema21: 2.247%
Force Relative 25% 0.6507 rs_1h: 1.662% · rs_4h: 0.129% · rs_1d: -2.51% · rs_3d: 13.21% · beta_24h: 0.429
Volume 20% 0.5520 rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 0.552 · trend: 36.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5955 ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.149% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6925
Score SMA
0.7124
Rank
#4 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9541
Rank Norm SMA
0.9889
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8051 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.007% · r1d: 2.60% · r3d: 22.16% · ema21_slope: 0.9029% · dist_ema21: 6.715%
Force Relative 25% 0.6635 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.217% · rs_1d: -3.36% · rs_3d: 13.14% · beta_24h: 0.518
Volume 20% 0.2788 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.721 · trend: 45.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9019 ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 35.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9405 ATR%: 3.179% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.613% (0.6710)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.640% 0.6R -2.317% 0.5R 1.1× 12
2h +2.640% 0.6R -2.977% 0.7R 0.9× 24
4h +2.640% 0.6R -2.977% 0.7R 0.9× 48
8h +2.640% 0.6R -2.977% 0.7R 0.9× 96
12h ★ +2.640% 0.6R -3.437% 0.8R 0.8× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.3
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -0.4ATR 0.43 bull_high_confirmed +2.47% +0.72 18/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 49% late — near -0.4ATR 0.40 bull_high_confirmed +6.82% +0.79 19/08 16:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 31% early — near -0.4ATR 0.24 bull_medium_confirmed +6.38% -0.40 19/08 16:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% early — — — bull_medium +4.09% -0.09 19/08 16:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 10b — 3.238×ATR p32 +2.104×ATR p89
4h ↑ up late 4b — 2.025×ATR p0 +1.543×ATR p81
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.375×ATR p0 +0.595×ATR p36
15m ↓ down early 5b — 1.746×ATR p8 +0.105×ATR p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 13.875
  2. tp_price: 14.96802508
  3. atr: 0.16881003
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-20T09:00:14+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 14
  2. total: 59
  3. score: 0.7225
  4. avg_rank_8h: 16.8
  5. rank_velocity: -2.8
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 4.92
  7. trigger_price: 14.532
  8. fip_24h: -0.25
  9. confidence: 0.776

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
14.546 13.875 14.968 0.63 20.697
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 14.546
  • Stop Loss: 13.875
  • Take Profit: 14.968

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.875 - 14.546 = -0.671

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 14.546 - 14.968 = -0.422

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.422 / -0.671 = 0.6289

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
173.4247 100 11.9225 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.671

Taille de position = 8 / -0.671 = -11.92

Taille de position USD = -11.92 x 14.546 = -173.39

Donc, tu peux acheter -11.92 avec un stoploss a 13.875

Avec un position size USD de -173.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -11.92 x -0.671 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -11.92 x -0.422 = 5.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -11.92
  • Taille de position USD -173.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6289

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.9 % 5.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.61 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.09 $ -1.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4374 % 74.52 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
14.546 13.875 14.968 0.63 20.697
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 14.546
  • Stop Loss: 13.875
  • Take Profit: 14.968

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.875 - 14.546 = -0.671

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 14.546 - 14.968 = -0.422

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.422 / -0.671 = 0.6289

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.613% (0.6710)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.640% 0.6R -2.317% 0.5R 1.1× 12
2h +2.640% 0.6R -2.977% 0.7R 0.9× 24
4h +2.640% 0.6R -2.977% 0.7R 0.9× 48
8h +2.640% 0.6R -2.977% 0.7R 0.9× 96
12h ★ +2.640% 0.6R -3.437% 0.8R 0.8× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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