Long Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 12.86 VVV at 14.606$ per unit. Take profit: 16.1615 (10.65 %) & Stop Loss: 13.9838 (4.26 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 17:20:12
hyperliquid
VVV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 17:20
→ 05:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 14.606$
Qty 12.8575 VVV
Size 187.7964$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 16.1615 (+10.65%)
TP $ 20$
SL 13.9838 (-4.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.44%
/ -2.71$
MAE -3.83%
MFE +2.19%
0.5R
expires
20 Aug 05:20
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75622)
#45 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 17:00
score du 19/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3746
Quality Score
0.566
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.45×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 17:17
19/08 17:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1648
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.90
Transition risk :
0.10
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.69
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 17:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5738
Score SMA
—
Rank
#7
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7761 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.36% · r3d: 18.65% · ema21_slope: 0.4006% · dist_ema21: 13.191% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8288 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: 15.95% · beta_24h: 1.723 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1968 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.904 · trend: -7.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6295 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.318% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5658
Score SMA
0.5907
Rank
#45
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3746
Rank Norm SMA
0.7061
Calculé le
19/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6785 | r1h: -0.998% · r4h: 0.940% · r1d: 4.35% · r3d: 21.40% · ema21_slope: 0.1467% · dist_ema21: 1.276% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5375 | rs_1h: -1.331% · rs_4h: 0.645% · rs_1d: -1.98% · rs_3d: 12.51% · beta_24h: 0.386 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2189 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.783 · trend: 3.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5605 | ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.097% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6925
Score SMA
0.7124
Rank
#4
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9541
Rank Norm SMA
0.9889
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8051 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.007% · r1d: 2.60% · r3d: 22.16% · ema21_slope: 0.9029% · dist_ema21: 6.715% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6635 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.217% · rs_1d: -3.36% · rs_3d: 13.14% · beta_24h: 0.518 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2788 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.721 · trend: 45.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9019 | ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 35.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9405 | ATR%: 3.179% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.260%
(0.6222)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.041% | 0.2R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.041% | 0.2R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.191% | 0.5R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.191% | 0.5R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.191% | 0.5R | -3.834% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.615% | 0.6R | -4.396% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.43 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | +0.72 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.40 | bull_high_confirmed | +6.82% | +0.79 | 19/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.24 | bull_medium_confirmed | +6.38% | -0.40 | 19/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | bull_medium | +4.09% | -0.09 | 19/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.238×ATR | p32 | +2.104×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.025×ATR | p0 | +1.543×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.375×ATR | p0 | +0.595×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.746×ATR | p8 | +0.105×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7198
- reason: up_bo width=2.48×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 13.98379417
- tp_price: 16.16151456
- atr:
- score: 0.7197529336053
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T09:20:04.905784
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7197529336053
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.058
- obi_top10 : -0.0144
- micro_price : 14.6275
- spread_pct : 0.075229
- mid_price : 14.6275
- bid_wall_price : 14.5
- bid_wall_size : 3808.642
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 14.7
- ask_wall_size : 3569.414
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0443
- obi_top5_std : 0.0166
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7032
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
14.416
- balance_zone_bottom:
13.616
- balance_zone_mid:
14.016
- balance_zone_start_time:
1787007600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787173200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.484
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7198
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787166000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
14.416
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6809
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.59
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.32205826 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.6809
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.59
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:20 | 14.60600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:26 | 14.60600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:32 | 14.60600000 | 0% |
| 4 | 17:38 | 14.67300000 | +0.459% |
| 5 | 17:44 | 14.67300000 | +0.459% |
| 6 | 17:50 | 14.69800000 | +0.63% |
| 7 | 17:56 | 14.69800000 | +0.63% |
| 8 | 18:04 | 14.69800000 | +0.63% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7032ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
72%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.058
avg 0.044
± 0.017
OBI Top 10
-0.014
Microstructure
Mid Price
14.6275
Micro Price
14.6275
Spread
0.0752%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
14.5000
Size
3,808.64
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
14.7000
Size
3,569.41
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.606 | 13.9838 | 16.1615 | 2.5 | 22.194 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.606
- Stop Loss: 13.9838
- Take Profit: 16.1615
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.9838 - 14.606 = -0.6222
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.606 - 16.1615 = -1.5555
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5555 / -0.6222 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187.7964 | 100 | 12.8575 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.6222
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6222 = -12.86
Taille de position USD = -12.86 x 14.606 = -187.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -12.86 avec un stoploss a 13.9838
Avec un position size USD de -187.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12.86 x -0.6222 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12.86 x -1.5555 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -12.86
- Taille de position USD -187.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.65 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.71 $ | -1.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.834 % | 90 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.606 | 13.9838 | 16.1615 | 2.5 | 22.194 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.606
- Stop Loss: 13.9838
- Take Profit: 16.1615
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.9838 - 14.606 = -0.6222
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.606 - 16.1615 = -1.5555
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5555 / -0.6222 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.260%
(0.6222)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.041% | 0.2R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.041% | 0.2R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.191% | 0.5R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.191% | 0.5R | -3.375% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.191% | 0.5R | -3.834% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.615% | 0.6R | -4.396% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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