19 Aug 2026 at 18:37:48 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VIRTUAL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 373.23 VIRTUAL at 0.601$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6543 (8.92 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5792 (3.58 %)

VIRTUAL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 18:37 → 06:00 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.6007$

Qty 373.2301 VIRTUAL

Size 224.1881$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6543 (+8.92%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.5792 (-3.58%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 2.49

Status win PnL +8.92% / +20$ MAE -0.00% MFE +9.94% 2.8R expires 20 Aug 06:37

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 75674)
#40 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2798

Quality Score
0.730
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#40 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#40 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.58×ATR
4h clear 3.10×ATR
1d near -0.13×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 18:31
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

18/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

19/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

19/08 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3872
Score SMA
—
Rank
#28 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4462 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 4.10% · ema21_slope: -0.0438% · dist_ema21: 0.920%
Force Relative 25% 0.4446 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.37% · rs_3d: 1.39% · beta_24h: 1.622
Volume 20% 0.1730 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.908 · trend: -24.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4766 ADX: 12.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3608 ATR%: 4.918% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.7300
Score SMA
0.5486
Rank
#40 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2798
Rank Norm SMA
0.5716
Calculé le
19/08/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8068 r1h: 1.724% · r4h: 4.576% · r1d: 6.99% · r3d: 11.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1600% · dist_ema21: 4.951%
Force Relative 25% 0.5787 rs_1h: 0.794% · rs_4h: 2.376% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: 0.90% · beta_24h: 0.229
Volume 20% 0.6493 rvol_20: 1.95× · zscore_50: 1.084 · trend: 58.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7561 ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 27.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.315% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 19/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5263
Score SMA
0.5209
Rank
#45 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2607
Rank Norm SMA
0.6551
Calculé le
19/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6470 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.462% · r1d: 3.90% · r3d: 7.96% · ema21_slope: 0.1629% · dist_ema21: 3.272%
Force Relative 25% 0.4216 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.251% · rs_1d: -2.05% · rs_3d: -1.06% · beta_24h: 0.427
Volume 20% 0.2428 rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.647 · trend: 14.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5213 ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 58.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.076% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.579% (0.0215)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.582% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.206% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.426% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +3.426% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h ★ +9.943% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +9.943% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 288

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.11
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early near 0.2ATR near -0.1ATR 0.65 bull_high_confirmed +2.47% -0.25 18/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.48 bull_high_confirmed +8.07% -0.12 19/08 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -1.6ATR 0.34 bull_high_confirmed +7.06% -0.16 19/08 18:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.61 bull_medium +4.03% +0.09 19/08 18:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 8b — 2.328×ATR p0 +0.519×ATR p32
4h ↑ up late 4b — 2.871×ATR p28 +1.989×ATR p90
1h ↑ up late 6b — 2.754×ATR p54 +2.019×ATR p91
15m ↑ up early 5b — 0×ATR p0 +0.595×ATR p34

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.6688
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.54×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.5792355
  5. tp_price: 0.65425625
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.76878402431469
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-20T10:37:40.381872
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.76878402431469
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.2071
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0021
  15. micro_price : 0.60263872
  16. spread_pct : 0.016595
  17. mid_price : 0.60265
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.604
  22. ask_wall_size : 141017.4
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.1912
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.024
  27. pressure_side : ask
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6990
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.590845
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.56932
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.5800825
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1787040000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1787176800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.5413
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    39
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7688
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1787166000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.590845
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8974
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    3
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.16
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 0.00847001
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.8974
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.16

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:37 0.60067000 -0.005%
2 18:44 0.60067000 -0.005%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6990ms Confidence avant OB : 77% → 67%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.207
avg -0.191 ± 0.024
OBI Top 10 -0.002

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.6027
Micro Price
0.6026
Spread
0.0166%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.6040
Size
141,017.40

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6007 0.5792 0.6543 2.49 0.5935
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6007
  • Stop Loss: 0.5792
  • Take Profit: 0.6543

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5792 - 0.6007 = -0.0215

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6007 - 0.6543 = -0.0536

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0536 / -0.0215 = 2.493

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
224.1881 100 373.2301 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0215

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0215 = -372.09

Taille de position USD = -372.09 x 0.6007 = -223.51

Donc, tu peux acheter -372.09 avec un stoploss a 0.5792

Avec un position size USD de -223.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -372.09 x -0.0215 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -372.09 x -0.0536 = 19.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -372.09
  • Taille de position USD -223.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.493

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
8.92 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.58 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
20 $ 8.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6007 0.5792 0.6543 2.49 0.5935
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6007
  • Stop Loss: 0.5792
  • Take Profit: 0.6543

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5792 - 0.6007 = -0.0215

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6007 - 0.6543 = -0.0536

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0536 / -0.0215 = 2.493

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.579% (0.0215)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.582% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.206% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.426% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +3.426% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h ★ +9.943% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +9.943% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 288

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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