Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 7467.84 ARB at 0.0878$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08995 (2.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08674 (1.22 %)
Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 7467.84 ARB at 0.0878$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08995 (2.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08674 (1.22 %)
Position
Entry 0.08781$
Qty 7467.8416 ARB
Size 655.7512$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08995 (+2.44%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 0.08674 (-1.22%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9136
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 17.23×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 18/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.455903 15m : 0.438578 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2728 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 2.26% · ema21_slope: -0.4431% · dist_ema21: -3.055% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.08% · rs_3d: -0.44% · beta_24h: 0.666 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1513 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.730 · trend: -60.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4774 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5373 | ATR%: 4.388% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9389 | r1h: 0.246% · r4h: 7.559% · r1d: 19.20% · r3d: 22.02% · ema21_slope: 0.5919% · dist_ema21: 10.154% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8546 | rs_1h: 0.154% · rs_4h: 6.237% · rs_1d: 12.07% · rs_3d: 11.79% · beta_24h: 0.621 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4898 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.451 · trend: 159.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 65.3 (trend) · Chop: -2.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.565% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8154 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.470% · r1d: 17.47% · r3d: 19.41% · ema21_slope: 0.4333% · dist_ema21: 13.172% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7354 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.764% · rs_1d: 9.34% · rs_3d: 9.75% · beta_24h: 0.672 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3591 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.613 · trend: 136.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7514 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 2.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.125% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.130% | 1.8R | -0.023% | 0.0R | 93.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.130% | 1.8R | -0.843% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.130% | 1.8R | -0.957% | 0.8R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.223% | 2.6R | -1.036% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.223% | 2.6R | -1.036% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.71 | bull_high_confirmed | +2.47% | -0.15 | 18/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.50 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.02% | +0.70 | 19/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
choppy 56% | late | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high_confirmed | +6.94% | +0.73 | 19/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | — | bull_medium | +3.88% | +0.76 | 19/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 5.766×ATR | p83 | +0.6×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 9.171×ATR | p96 | +6.193×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 7.09×ATR | p98 | +5.085×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 9.382×ATR | p100 | +2.455×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
68961.3
0.0086671
69559
0.455903
66812.5
0.0411063
69559
0.438578
64868.8
0.0719007
69533
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0.0797
192
0.824
0.6629
0.3728
0.247
0.4758
0.2509
0.5588
0.762
0.7207
0.952
0.7008
0.9348
0.4939
0.2609
1
4.2887
6.4435
0.55
0.45
1
8
1
0.5061
0.562
6.8397
0.6
0.2509
1.7161
6.4435
0.3161
0.3293
0.92
2.5039
0.7733
0.5634
0.7551
0.9348
-0.7321
10.4997
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:13 | 0.08781000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:20 | 0.08762000 | -0.216% |
| 3 | 21:28 | 0.08755000 | -0.296% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 16:40:00 | 0.08115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 0.0797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 0.08055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:10:00 | 0.08006 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 0.08384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:45:00 | 0.08294 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 0.08884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:20:00 | 0.08916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:35:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:10:00 | 0.08754 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 05:00:00 | 0.07643 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:15:00 | 0.07537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:45:00 | 0.07757 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:45:00 | 0.07731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 11:45:00 | 0.07682 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:30:00 | 0.07697 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:30:00 | 0.08115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 0.0797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 0.08754 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.07503 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.07272 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.07566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.07436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.07582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.07355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.07598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 0.07479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08781 | 0.08674 | 0.08995 | 2 | 0.1659 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08674 - 0.08781 = -0.00107
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08781 - 0.08995 = -0.00214
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00214 / -0.00107 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 655.7512 | 100 | 7467.8416 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00107 = -7476.64
Taille de position USD = -7476.64 x 0.08781 = -656.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -7476.64 avec un stoploss a 0.08674
Avec un position size USD de -656.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7476.64 x -0.00107 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7476.64 x -0.00214 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.44 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.22 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 2.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0363 % | 85.05 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08781 | 0.08674 | 0.08995 | 2 | 0.1659 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08674 - 0.08781 = -0.00107
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08781 - 0.08995 = -0.00214
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00214 / -0.00107 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.130% | 1.8R | -0.023% | 0.0R | 93.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.130% | 1.8R | -0.843% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.130% | 1.8R | -0.957% | 0.8R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.223% | 2.6R | -1.036% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.223% | 2.6R | -1.036% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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