Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 529.31 GRASS at 0.296$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2882 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3107 (5.11 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05
hyperliquid
GRASS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 21:10
→ 23:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.2956$
Qty 529.3057 GRASS
Size 156.4522$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2882 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.92$
SL 0.3107 (-5.11%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.49
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.92$
MAE -0.76%
MFE +3.12%
0.6R
expires
20 Aug 03:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 75992)
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 21:00
score du 19/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5758
Quality Score
0.385
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.38×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.95×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 21:02
19/08 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1652
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 21:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1999
Score SMA
—
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2491 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.06% · r3d: -7.98% · ema21_slope: -0.2079% · dist_ema21: -6.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1440 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -15.91% · beta_24h: -0.383 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1692 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.911 · trend: -27.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3686 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.910% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3846
Score SMA
0.4693
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5758
Rank Norm SMA
0.3671
Calculé le
19/08/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2921 | r1h: -0.880% · r4h: -7.174% · r1d: -5.30% · r3d: -8.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1767% · dist_ema21: -4.918% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0749 | rs_1h: -1.204% · rs_4h: -7.926% · rs_1d: -13.20% · rs_3d: -19.30% · beta_24h: -0.277 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4054 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: 0.015 · trend: 126.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6475 | ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 25.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.129% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3853
Score SMA
—
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3275 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.354% · r1d: -4.68% · r3d: -8.01% · ema21_slope: -0.2087% · dist_ema21: -5.399% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1673 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.060% · rs_1d: -12.81% · rs_3d: -17.67% · beta_24h: -0.150 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3549 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.677 · trend: 134.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5615 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9000 | ATR%: 3.300% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.108%
(0.0151)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.900% | 0.2R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.909% | 0.6R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.119% | 0.6R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.119% | 0.6R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.119% | 0.6R | -8.826% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.119% | 0.6R | -8.826% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.92 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.33 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.15% | -0.96 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.08 | bull_high | +7.15% | -0.90 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | — | bull_medium | +3.89% | -0.66 | 19/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 48b | — | 12.979×ATR | p100 | -0.95×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3×ATR | p31 | -1.729×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.553×ATR | p79 | -2.012×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 0.695×ATR | p3 | -1.809×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.31069414
- tp_price: 0.2881905
- atr: 0.00604566
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T07:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 65
- total: 65
- score: 0.2921
- delta_2h: -0.0385
- extension_atr: -2.02
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5758
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2956 | 0.3107 | 0.2882 | 0.49 | 0.4889 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2956
- Stop Loss: 0.3107
- Take Profit: 0.2882
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3107 - 0.2956 = 0.0151
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2956 - 0.2882 = 0.0074
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0074 / 0.0151 = 0.4901
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156.4522 | 100 | 529.3057 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0151
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0151 = 529.8
Taille de position USD = 529.8 x 0.2956 = 156.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 529.8 avec un stoploss a 0.3107
Avec un position size USD de 156.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 529.8 x 0.0151 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 529.8 x 0.0074 = 3.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position 529.8
- Taille de position USD 156.61
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4901
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.11 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.92 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7578 % | 14.83 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2956 | 0.3107 | 0.2882 | 0.49 | 0.4889 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2956
- Stop Loss: 0.3107
- Take Profit: 0.2882
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3107 - 0.2956 = 0.0151
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2956 - 0.2882 = 0.0074
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0074 / 0.0151 = 0.4901
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.108%
(0.0151)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.900% | 0.2R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.909% | 0.6R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.119% | 0.6R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.119% | 0.6R | -0.758% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.119% | 0.6R | -8.826% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.119% | 0.6R | -8.826% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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