Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 8637.91 JUP at 0.18$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1822 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1794 (0.55 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 8637.91 JUP at 0.18$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1822 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1794 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 0.1804$
Qty 8637.9096 JUP
Size 1557.9334$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1822 (+1%)
TP $ 15.55$
SL 0.1794 (-0.55%)
SL $ 8.64$
RR 1.8
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4749
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.751144 15m : 0.711202 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4044 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 7.79% · ema21_slope: -0.5541% · dist_ema21: 1.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4168 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -0.14% · beta_24h: 0.909 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1028 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.713 · trend: -37.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5435 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5353 | ATR%: 4.394% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7433 | r1h: 0.502% · r4h: 1.245% · r1d: 9.32% · r3d: 8.87% · ema21_slope: 0.3765% · dist_ema21: 4.209% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5211 | rs_1h: 0.179% · rs_4h: 0.493% · rs_1d: 1.42% · rs_3d: -1.72% · beta_24h: 0.495 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4385 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.549 · trend: 29.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9083 | ADX: 49.0 (trend) · Chop: 8.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.201% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6164 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.237% · r1d: 8.75% · r3d: 7.99% · ema21_slope: 0.1428% · dist_ema21: 6.020% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4685 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.057% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: -1.67% · beta_24h: 0.553 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2010 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.520 · trend: 26.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7953 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 15.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.676% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.859% | 1.6R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.859% | 1.6R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.859% | 1.6R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.009% | 10.8R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 5.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.159% | 11.1R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.93 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.48 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.15% | -0.20 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +7.15% | +0.09 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
68%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | — | bull_medium | +3.89% | +0.10 | 19/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.306×ATR | p0 | +0.327×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 6.154×ATR | p90 | +3.142×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.54×ATR | p9 | +2.682×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.002×ATR | p15 | +1.561×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69064.5
0.00413373
69350
0.751144
66998.6
0.035096
69350
0.711202
64952.2
0.0686153
69409
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1
0.4562
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3.2679
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0.42
0.281
0.9
1.613
0.7027
0.5644
0.8734
0.8145
-1.7827
7.8286
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:15:00 | 0.17863 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:45:00 | 0.17711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 0.17924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:40:00 | 0.17744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:35:00 | 0.17986 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:25:00 | 0.18154 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:45:00 | 0.18045 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:25:00 | 0.18278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 0.18036 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 05:00:00 | 0.1677 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 0.16617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 07:00:00 | 0.16811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 0.16871 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:15:00 | 0.1664 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.17702 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 0.17986 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 0.18278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 0.18036 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 0.16502 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.17055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 17:00:00 | 0.16914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 20:00:00 | 0.16695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 0.16851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 0.16298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 0.16585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.16819 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.1659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.18557 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1804 | 0.1794 | 0.1822 | 1.8 | 0.246 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1794 - 0.1804 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1804 - 0.1822 = -0.0018
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0018 / -0.001 = 1.8
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1557.9334 | 100 | 8637.9096 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001 = -8000
Taille de position USD = -8000 x 0.1804 = -1443.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -8000 avec un stoploss a 0.1794
Avec un position size USD de -1443.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8000 x -0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8000 x -0.0018 = 14.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.4$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 15.55 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 8.64 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.64 $ | -0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1419 % | 206.01 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1804 | 0.1794 | 0.1822 | 1.8 | 0.246 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1794 - 0.1804 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1804 - 0.1822 = -0.0018
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0018 / -0.001 = 1.8
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.859% | 1.6R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.859% | 1.6R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.859% | 1.6R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.009% | 10.8R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 5.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.159% | 11.1R | -1.142% | 2.1R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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