Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 10454.92 ARB at 0.0872$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08877 (1.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08647 (0.88 %)
Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 10454.92 ARB at 0.0872$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08877 (1.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08647 (0.88 %)
Position
Entry 0.08724$
Qty 10454.9197 ARB
Size 912.0872$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08877 (+1.75%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.08647 (-0.88%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 1.99
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9077
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.498061 15m : 0.431243 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5655 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.12% · r3d: 17.65% · ema21_slope: -0.1636% · dist_ema21: 10.951% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5894 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.53% · rs_3d: 9.72% · beta_24h: 1.675 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1919 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.713 · trend: -20.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6897 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4245 | ATR%: 4.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8582 | r1h: -0.302% · r4h: 5.368% · r1d: 18.65% · r3d: 20.71% · ema21_slope: 0.6528% · dist_ema21: 8.593% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7795 | rs_1h: -0.625% · rs_4h: 4.616% · rs_1d: 10.75% · rs_3d: 10.12% · beta_24h: 0.607 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5622 | rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: 0.863 · trend: 132.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 65.6 (trend) · Chop: -0.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.647% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8154 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.470% · r1d: 17.47% · r3d: 19.41% · ema21_slope: 0.4333% · dist_ema21: 13.172% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7354 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.764% · rs_1d: 9.34% · rs_3d: 9.75% · beta_24h: 0.672 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3591 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.613 · trend: 136.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7514 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 2.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.125% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.997% | 1.1R | -0.057% | 0.1R | 17.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.318% | 1.5R | -0.310% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.318% | 1.5R | -0.310% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.897% | 4.4R | -0.390% | 0.4R | 10.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.897% | 4.4R | -0.390% | 0.4R | 10.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.71 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.20 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.50 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.81% | +0.65 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bull_medium | +6.71% | +0.63 | 19/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bull_medium | +3.29% | +0.39 | 19/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.894×ATR | p47 | +2.175×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 8.217×ATR | p96 | +4.721×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.794×ATR | p7 | +2.943×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.232×ATR | p29 | -0.1×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69034.2
0.00755763
69556
0.498061
67078.7
0.037125
69569
0.431243
64953.6
0.0696852
69480
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0.2284
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2.5244
4.4715
0.6
0.4
1
2
1
0.4792
0.713
7.7175
0.6
7.469
12.4525
4.4715
0.0632
0.2766
0.94
2.5537
0.803
0.5892
0.7895
0.8327
-1.6454
8.1894
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 0.0797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 0.08055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:10:00 | 0.08006 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 0.08384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:45:00 | 0.08294 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 0.08884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:20:00 | 0.08916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:35:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:10:00 | 0.08754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:25:00 | 0.08721 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 05:00:00 | 0.07643 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:15:00 | 0.07537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:45:00 | 0.07757 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:45:00 | 0.07731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 11:45:00 | 0.07682 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:30:00 | 0.07697 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:30:00 | 0.08115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 0.0797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.08721 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.07503 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.07272 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.07566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.07436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.07582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.07355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.07598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 0.07479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08724 | 0.08647 | 0.08877 | 1.99 | 0.1673 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08647 - 0.08724 = -0.00076999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08724 - 0.08877 = -0.00153
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00153 / -0.00076999999999999 = 1.987
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 912.0872 | 100 | 10454.9197 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00076999999999999 = -10389.61
Taille de position USD = -10389.61 x 0.08724 = -906.39
Donc, tu peux acheter -10389.61 avec un stoploss a 0.08647
Avec un position size USD de -906.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10389.61 x -0.00076999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10389.61 x -0.00153 = 15.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.75 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.88 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3897 % | 44.15 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08724 | 0.08647 | 0.08877 | 1.99 | 0.1673 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08647 - 0.08724 = -0.00076999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08724 - 0.08877 = -0.00153
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00153 / -0.00076999999999999 = 1.987
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.997% | 1.1R | -0.057% | 0.1R | 17.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.318% | 1.5R | -0.310% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.318% | 1.5R | -0.310% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.897% | 4.4R | -0.390% | 0.4R | 10.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.897% | 4.4R | -0.390% | 0.4R | 10.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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