Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3363.55 NIL at 0.0415$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04046 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04388 (5.73 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 22:10:05
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 22:10
→ 04:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0415$
Qty 3363.5492 NIL
Size 139.5873$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04046 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.5$
SL 0.04388 (-5.73%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.44
Status
loss
PnL
-2.64%
/ -3.68$
MAE -5.47%
MFE +0.86%
0.2R
expires
20 Aug 04:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76071)
#68 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 22:00
score du 19/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0349
Quality Score
0.327
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#68 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#68 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 22:02
19/08 22:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 19/08 21:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1653
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 22:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5043
Score SMA
—
Rank
#11
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
18/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7128 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.70% · r3d: -6.10% · ema21_slope: 1.6008% · dist_ema21: 8.547% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5171 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.158 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -2.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8068 | ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.451% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.3270
Score SMA
0.5354
Rank
#68
/ 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0349
Rank Norm SMA
0.5269
Calculé le
19/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2021 | r1h: -1.035% · r4h: -4.275% · r1d: -5.36% · r3d: -15.91% · ema21_slope: -0.1757% · dist_ema21: -3.121% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1069 | rs_1h: -1.360% · rs_4h: -4.149% · rs_1d: -13.53% · rs_3d: -26.29% · beta_24h: 0.512 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2326 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.437 · trend: -3.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6208 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.483% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.735%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.747% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.125% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.03 | bull_high | +7.13% | -0.87 | 19/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | — | bull_medium | +3.95% | -0.40 | 19/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.807×ATR | p54 | -1.278×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.82×ATR | p91 | -1.349×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04387844
- tp_price: 0.0404625
- atr: 0.00095138
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T08:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 68
- total: 68
- score: 0.2021
- delta_2h: -0.1417
- extension_atr: -0.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0349
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:10 | 0.04150000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:10 | 0.04132100 | -0.431% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0415 | 0.04388 | 0.04046 | 0.44 | 0.06104 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0415
- Stop Loss: 0.04388
- Take Profit: 0.04046
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04388 - 0.0415 = 0.00238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0415 - 0.04046 = 0.00104
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00104 / 0.00238 = 0.437
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139.5873 | 100 | 3363.5492 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00238
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00238 = 3361.34
Taille de position USD = 3361.34 x 0.0415 = 139.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 3361.34 avec un stoploss a 0.04388
Avec un position size USD de 139.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3361.34 x 0.00238 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3361.34 x 0.00104 = 3.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.5$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3361.34
- Taille de position USD 139.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.5
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.437
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.5 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.73 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.68 $ | -2.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.4747 % | 95.46 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0415 | 0.04388 | 0.04046 | 0.44 | 0.06104 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0415
- Stop Loss: 0.04388
- Take Profit: 0.04046
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04388 - 0.0415 = 0.00238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0415 - 0.04046 = 0.00104
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00104 / 0.00238 = 0.437
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.735%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.747% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.125% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.863% | 0.2R | -5.475% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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