Long Trade on LDO (CatchTheWave)
With 3651.82 LDO at 0.332$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3369 (1.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3304 (0.63 %)
Long Trade on LDO (CatchTheWave)
With 3651.82 LDO at 0.332$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3369 (1.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3304 (0.63 %)
Position
Entry 0.3325$
Qty 3651.8175 LDO
Size 1214.4119$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3369 (+1.32%)
TP $ 16.07$
SL 0.3304 (-0.63%)
SL $ 7.67$
RR 2.1
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7334
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.90×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.560884 15m : 0.610887 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5120 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.76% · r3d: 8.16% · ema21_slope: -0.2260% · dist_ema21: 5.777% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4367 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.35% · rs_3d: 0.23% · beta_24h: 0.945 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1381 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.929 · trend: -50.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5387 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 57.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1782 | ATR%: 5.466% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8097 | r1h: 0.050% · r4h: 0.851% · r1d: 11.37% · r3d: 11.27% · ema21_slope: 0.4448% · dist_ema21: 5.133% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5563 | rs_1h: -0.275% · rs_4h: 0.977% · rs_1d: 3.21% · rs_3d: 0.89% · beta_24h: 1.380 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6387 | rvol_20: 1.47× · zscore_50: 1.241 · trend: 132.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9135 | ADX: 49.6 (trend) · Chop: 15.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.586% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6987 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.421% · r1d: 8.05% · r3d: 8.75% · ema21_slope: 0.2610% · dist_ema21: 5.908% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5145 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.127% · rs_1d: -0.08% · rs_3d: -0.91% · beta_24h: 1.186 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3535 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.433 · trend: 82.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7415 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 21.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.144% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 1.2R | -1.158% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.785% | 1.2R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.768% | 2.8R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.547% | 7.2R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.547% | 7.2R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.90 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.31 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.02 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +7.03% | -0.01 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | — | bull_medium | +3.52% | -0.13 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.168×ATR | p24 | +1.33×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.492×ATR | p25 | +3.179×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.609×ATR | p2 | +1.69×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.816×ATR | p10 | +0.835×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69151.9
0.00552468
69534
0.560884
67220.6
0.0354409
69603
0.610887
65044.4
0.0710058
69663
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0.32606
196
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0.8332
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1
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3.4308
0.65
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1
0.3212
0.802
5.4247
0.5
0.617
3.347
3.4308
0.4404
0.2045
0.88
1.8098
0.9333
0.4439
0.9405
0.8332
-1.3376
6.6815
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:22 | 0.33255000 | +0.015% |
| 2 | 22:29 | 0.33219000 | -0.093% |
| 3 | 22:38 | 0.33227000 | -0.069% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 18:05:00 | 0.31917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:25:00 | 0.31598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 0.3423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:35:00 | 0.32606 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:05:00 | 0.33984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 0.33509 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:35:00 | 0.33993 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:20:00 | 0.33255 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 08:45:00 | 0.30651 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:15:00 | 0.30443 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:00:00 | 0.30641 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 12:30:00 | 0.30558 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:45:00 | 0.33049 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:15:00 | 0.31598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.3423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 0.32606 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:30:00 | 0.33993 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 0.33339 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.30749 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:00:00 | 0.3011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 0.30655 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 0.30553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.29897 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 0.30037 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.30599 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.30529 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 0.30937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.3423 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3325 | 0.3304 | 0.3369 | 2.1 | 0.327 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3304 - 0.3325 = -0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3325 - 0.3369 = -0.0044
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0044 / -0.0021 = 2.0952
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1214.4119 | 100 | 3651.8175 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0021 = -3809.52
Taille de position USD = -3809.52 x 0.3325 = -1266.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.3304
Avec un position size USD de -1266.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0021 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0044 = 16.76
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.76$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.32 % | 16.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 7.67 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.67 $ | -0.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1579 % | 183.33 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3325 | 0.3304 | 0.3369 | 2.1 | 0.327 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3304 - 0.3325 = -0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3325 - 0.3369 = -0.0044
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0044 / -0.0021 = 2.0952
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 1.2R | -1.158% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.785% | 1.2R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.768% | 2.8R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.547% | 7.2R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.547% | 7.2R | -1.242% | 2.0R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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