Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.47 TAO at 204.66$ per unit. Take profit: 206.3491 (0.83 %) & Stop Loss: 203.8154 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.47 TAO at 204.66$ per unit. Take profit: 206.3491 (0.83 %) & Stop Loss: 203.8154 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 204.66$
Qty 9.4724 TAO
Size 1938.63$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 206.3491 (+0.83%)
TP $ 16$
SL 203.8154 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5492
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.720832 15m : 0.628939 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5243 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.20% · r3d: 4.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0824% · dist_ema21: 3.719% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4129 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.21% · rs_3d: -2.95% · beta_24h: 0.837 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1197 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -1.869 · trend: -16.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4086 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 64.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6434 | ATR%: 4.070% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6674 | r1h: 0.436% · r4h: -0.752% · r1d: 8.55% · r3d: 5.55% · ema21_slope: 0.3384% · dist_ema21: 3.783% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4560 | rs_1h: 0.110% · rs_4h: -0.626% · rs_1d: 0.38% · rs_3d: -4.83% · beta_24h: 0.388 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3136 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.188 · trend: 44.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9063 | ADX: 48.8 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.204% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6042 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.287% · r1d: 7.96% · r3d: 4.56% · ema21_slope: -0.0062% · dist_ema21: 4.859% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4176 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.008% · rs_1d: -0.17% · rs_3d: -5.10% · beta_24h: 0.408 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3603 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.596 · trend: 111.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8193 | ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 22.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.619% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.088% | 0.2R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.318% | 0.8R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.987% | 2.4R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.578% | 11.1R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.578% | 11.1R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 5.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.8ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.61 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.36 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.61 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.48 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.44 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.04 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | -0.07 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 0.529×ATR | p0 | +0.92×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 5.405×ATR | p97 | +2.833×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 0.747×ATR | p2 | +1.738×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.52×ATR | p7 | +0.244×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69224.8
0.00170638
69343
0.720832
67298.3
0.0300554
69321
0.628939
65037.3
0.0656331
69306
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204.14
196
0.7472
0.7904
0.3621
0.2394
0.4625
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0.8087
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0.2589
0.1428
1
1.9027
3.1443
0.5
0.5
1
4
1
0.5213
0.8064
5.2551
0.65
0.4295
2.2571
3.1443
0.1822
0.2736
0.88
1.0656
0.6184
0.5884
0.8622
0.8171
-1.3736
6.1377
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 18:40:00 | 198.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:45:00 | 199.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:10:00 | 197.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 209.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 204.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 204.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 207.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 204.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:00:00 | 208.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:55:00 | 204.66 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 09:00:00 | 192.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 09:30:00 | 191.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:30:00 | 191.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:45:00 | 192.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:45:00 | 199.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 196.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 209.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 204.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:00:00 | 208.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:45:00 | 205.74 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 195.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 197.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 194.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:00:00 | 198.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 194.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 197.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 189.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 191.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 188.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:00:00 | 209.93 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.66 | 203.8154 | 206.3491 | 2 | 220.96 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.8154 - 204.66 = -0.84459999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 204.66 - 206.3491 = -1.6891
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6891 / -0.84459999999999 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1938.63 | 100 | 9.4724 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.84459999999999 = -9.47
Taille de position USD = -9.47 x 204.66 = -1938.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.47 avec un stoploss a 203.8154
Avec un position size USD de -1938.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.47 x -0.84459999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.47 x -1.6891 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.83 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4251 % | 103 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.66 | 203.8154 | 206.3491 | 2 | 220.96 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.8154 - 204.66 = -0.84459999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 204.66 - 206.3491 = -1.6891
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6891 / -0.84459999999999 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.088% | 0.2R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.318% | 0.8R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.987% | 2.4R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.578% | 11.1R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.578% | 11.1R | -0.884% | 2.1R | 5.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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