Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 387221.68 PENGU at 0.00641$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006453 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006391 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 387221.68 PENGU at 0.00641$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006453 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006391 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.006412$
Qty 387221.6844 PENGU
Size 2482.8654$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006453 (+0.64%)
TP $ 15.88$
SL 0.006391 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8.13$
RR 1.95
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4843
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.39×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.50×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.06×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.718851 15m : 0.64127 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5484 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.25% · r3d: 7.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0260% · dist_ema21: 4.633% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4493 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.16% · rs_3d: -0.18% · beta_24h: 0.960 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1258 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.625 · trend: -24.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4869 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4250 | ATR%: 4.725% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6847 | r1h: 0.431% · r4h: -0.351% · r1d: 7.35% · r3d: 9.87% · ema21_slope: 0.2692% · dist_ema21: 2.992% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4852 | rs_1h: 0.105% · rs_4h: -0.225% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 0.285 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2450 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.310 · trend: -0.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9850 | ADX: 58.2 (trend) · Chop: 26.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.247% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6554 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.325% · r1d: 6.34% · r3d: 8.51% · ema21_slope: 0.1951% · dist_ema21: 5.038% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4334 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.031% · rs_1d: -1.79% · rs_3d: -1.15% · beta_24h: 0.250 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3246 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.796 · trend: 83.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7848 | ADX: 34.2 (trend) · Chop: 26.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.958% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.343% | 1.1R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.388% | 4.2R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.293% | 7.0R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.346% | 22.4R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 11.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +13.662% | 41.7R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 20.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.73 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.20 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.51 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.22 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.35 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.34 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | -0.09 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 1.384×ATR | p0 | +0.951×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.726×ATR | p0 | +2.294×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.591×ATR | p46 | +0.865×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.177×ATR | p35 | -0.505×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69225.9
0.00105463
69299
0.718851
67336.2
0.0291484
69299
0.64127
65037.3
0.0656331
69306
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194
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1
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1
5
0.9474
0.5212
0.932
6.0683
0.6
1.1779
5.5692
2.3547
0.5461
0.208
0.92
0.8743
0.5524
0.5945
0.9074
0.7337
-2.3009
6.3407
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:00 | 0.00641200 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:14 | 0.00639200 | -0.312% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:10:00 | 0.00633 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:30:00 | 0.006292 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 0.006656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 0.006436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:20:00 | 0.006424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:50:00 | 0.006526 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.006445 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:55:00 | 0.006539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.006412 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 12:15:00 | 0.006246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 0.006246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:30:00 | 0.006175 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.006598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 0.006272 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 19:30:00 | 0.006292 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.006656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:15:00 | 0.006424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 0.006539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.006412 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.00602 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.005916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 0.006017 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 0.005903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 0.006089 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.00592 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.006131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 20:00:00 | 0.006009 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 0.006598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.006656 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006412 | 0.006391 | 0.006453 | 1.95 | 0.006326 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006391 - 0.006412 = -2.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006412 - 0.006453 = -4.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1E-5 / -2.1E-5 = 1.9524
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2482.8654 | 100 | 387221.6844 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.1E-5 = -380952.38
Taille de position USD = -380952.38 x 0.006412 = -2442.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -380952.38 avec un stoploss a 0.006391
Avec un position size USD de -2442.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -380952.38 x -2.1E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -380952.38 x -4.1E-5 = 15.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.62$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 15.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8.13 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.13 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4991 % | 152.4 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006412 | 0.006391 | 0.006453 | 1.95 | 0.006326 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006391 - 0.006412 = -2.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006412 - 0.006453 = -4.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1E-5 / -2.1E-5 = 1.9524
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.343% | 1.1R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.388% | 4.2R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.293% | 7.0R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.346% | 22.4R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 11.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +13.662% | 41.7R | -0.655% | 2.0R | 20.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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