Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 3947.13 SPX at 0.36$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3645 (1.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3584 (0.55 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 3947.13 SPX at 0.36$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3645 (1.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3584 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 0.3604$
Qty 3947.1282 SPX
Size 1422.6634$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3645 (+1.14%)
TP $ 16.18$
SL 0.3584 (-0.55%)
SL $ 7.89$
RR 2.05
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8248
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.17×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.575004 15m : 0.629993 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.66% · r3d: 14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0189% · dist_ema21: 10.276% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5678 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 6.93% · beta_24h: 1.771 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1330 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.190 · trend: -40.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4694 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3074 | ATR%: 5.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8446 | r1h: 0.566% · r4h: 2.304% · r1d: 16.44% · r3d: 17.58% · ema21_slope: 0.6475% · dist_ema21: 7.040% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7240 | rs_1h: 0.240% · rs_4h: 2.430% · rs_1d: 8.27% · rs_3d: 7.20% · beta_24h: 1.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2891 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.281 · trend: 30.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9887 | ADX: 58.6 (trend) · Chop: 7.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.677% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7996 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.081% · r1d: 15.32% · r3d: 15.22% · ema21_slope: 0.3455% · dist_ema21: 11.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6677 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.376% · rs_1d: 7.19% · rs_3d: 5.56% · beta_24h: 1.321 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3578 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.633 · trend: 107.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7176 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 13.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.220% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.857% | 1.6R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.104% | 2.0R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.323% | 7.8R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 15.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.750% | 14.0R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 28.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.080% | 14.6R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 29.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.75 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.30 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.62 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.31 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +6.49% | +0.44 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | +0.14 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.142×ATR | p18 | +2.097×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 6.601×ATR | p100 | +4.048×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.6×ATR | p8 | +1.956×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.614×ATR | p35 | +0.047×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69223.8
-0.000502918
69189
0.575004
67334
0.027548
69189
0.629993
65037.3
0.0656331
69306
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0.88
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0.8878
0.8427
-1.3477
7.221
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:01 | 0.36043000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 23:15 | 0.36025000 | -0.042% |
| 3 | 23:26 | 0.36144000 | +0.289% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:20:00 | 0.34464 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:50:00 | 0.3446 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:10:00 | 0.36752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:05:00 | 0.35675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:10:00 | 0.37108 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 0.36314 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:25:00 | 0.37373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.3652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 0.37097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.36002 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 07:00:00 | 0.32318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 08:15:00 | 0.32006 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 09:15:00 | 0.32457 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:15:00 | 0.32085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 12:15:00 | 0.32132 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:00:00 | 0.35148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 0.34005 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.36752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 0.37373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.36002 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.32146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.31391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.32745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.31193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.32582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.31742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 04:00:00 | 0.31053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.3224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 02:00:00 | 0.31707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 0.37373 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3604 | 0.3584 | 0.3645 | 2.05 | 0.3548 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3584 - 0.3604 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3604 - 0.3645 = -0.0041
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0041 / -0.002 = 2.05
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1422.6634 | 100 | 3947.1282 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.002 = -4000
Taille de position USD = -4000 x 0.3604 = -1441.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -4000 avec un stoploss a 0.3584
Avec un position size USD de -1441.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4000 x -0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4000 x -0.0041 = 16.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.4$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 16.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.18 $ | 1.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2719 % | 49 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3604 | 0.3584 | 0.3645 | 2.05 | 0.3548 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3584 - 0.3604 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3604 - 0.3645 = -0.0041
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0041 / -0.002 = 2.05
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.857% | 1.6R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.104% | 2.0R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.323% | 7.8R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 15.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.750% | 14.0R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 28.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.080% | 14.6R | -0.272% | 0.5R | 29.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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