Long Trade on TRUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 225.69 TRUMP at 1.688$ per unit. Take profit: 1.759 (4.2 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6527 (2.1 %)
Long Trade on TRUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 225.69 TRUMP at 1.688$ per unit. Take profit: 1.759 (4.2 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6527 (2.1 %)
Position
Entry 1.6881$
Qty 225.69 TRUMP
Size 380.9873$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.759 (+4.2%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1.6527 (-2.1%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9538
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.31×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.177626 15m : 0.294176 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6223 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.98% · r3d: 24.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0283% · dist_ema21: 15.238% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6950 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.39% · rs_3d: 16.56% · beta_24h: 2.403 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2893 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.688 · trend: 51.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6309 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 25.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3979 | ATR%: 4.806% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7116 | r1h: -3.869% · r4h: -1.532% · r1d: 20.65% · r3d: 20.19% · ema21_slope: 0.9965% · dist_ema21: 7.721% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5564 | rs_1h: -3.302% · rs_4h: -1.621% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 10.82% · beta_24h: 0.729 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5267 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: 0.578 · trend: 173.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9627 | ADX: 55.5 (trend) · Chop: -10.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9757 | ATR%: 3.073% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7698 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.003% · r1d: 23.27% · r3d: 23.07% · ema21_slope: 0.4191% · dist_ema21: 17.673% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7615 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.297% · rs_1d: 15.14% · rs_3d: 13.41% · beta_24h: 0.768 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4827 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: 0.213 · trend: 321.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7115 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: -12.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.704% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.296% | 0.1R | -2.512% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.296% | 0.1R | -3.252% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.296% | 0.1R | -3.252% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.049% | 0.5R | -3.252% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.049% | 0.5R | -4.550% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.51 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.77 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.86 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +6.49% | +0.81 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | +0.24 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.468×ATR | p27 | +2.758×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 7.73×ATR | p100 | +5.437×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.189×ATR | p58 | +1.828×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 0.053×ATR | p0 | -0.013×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69223.8
-0.000502918
69189
0.177626
67334
0.027548
69189
0.294176
65037.3
0.0656331
69306
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7.8022
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0.6719
0.6609
-2.2526
4.3902
1
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0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:10:00 | 1.4419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 22:55:00 | 1.7194 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:20:00 | 1.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 1.8296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:10:00 | 1.7296 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:35:00 | 1.8635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:05:00 | 1.8293 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:25:00 | 1.745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:55:00 | 1.7932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.6697 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 05:45:00 | 1.4001 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:00:00 | 1.4057 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 09:00:00 | 1.4133 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 09:45:00 | 1.4078 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 1.4181 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 13:30:00 | 1.4033 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:30:00 | 1.4628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:15:00 | 1.4396 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 1.8635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.6697 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.3897 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 1.4184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 1.3944 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 1.3731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:00:00 | 1.4157 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:00:00 | 1.3894 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 03:00:00 | 1.4129 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 1.4001 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 13:00:00 | 1.4033 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 1.8635 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6881 | 1.6527 | 1.759 | 2 | 1.1835 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6527 - 1.6881 = -0.0354
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6881 - 1.759 = -0.0709
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0709 / -0.0354 = 2.0028
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 380.9873 | 100 | 225.69 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0354 = -225.99
Taille de position USD = -225.99 x 1.6881 = -381.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -225.99 avec un stoploss a 1.6527
Avec un position size USD de -381.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -225.99 x -0.0354 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -225.99 x -0.0709 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.1 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -2.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5117 % | 119.78 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6881 | 1.6527 | 1.759 | 2 | 1.1835 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6527 - 1.6881 = -0.0354
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6881 - 1.759 = -0.0709
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0709 / -0.0354 = 2.0028
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.296% | 0.1R | -2.512% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.296% | 0.1R | -3.252% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.296% | 0.1R | -3.252% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.049% | 0.5R | -3.252% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.049% | 0.5R | -4.550% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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