Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 361.68 AVAX at 6.73$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7743 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 6.708 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 361.68 AVAX at 6.73$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7743 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 6.708 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 6.7301$
Qty 361.6767 AVAX
Size 2434.1206$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 6.7743 (+0.66%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 6.708 (-0.33%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4073
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.45×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.39×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.773593 15m : 0.787038 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5420 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.25% · r3d: 6.58% · ema21_slope: -0.0238% · dist_ema21: 4.320% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4440 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.66% · rs_3d: -1.35% · beta_24h: 0.871 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1255 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.912 · trend: -10.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4284 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6341 | ATR%: 4.098% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6860 | r1h: 0.116% · r4h: 0.043% · r1d: 7.28% · r3d: 6.84% · ema21_slope: 0.3460% · dist_ema21: 3.045% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5006 | rs_1h: 0.683% · rs_4h: -0.047% · rs_1d: -0.47% · rs_3d: -2.52% · beta_24h: 0.811 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2292 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.439 · trend: -6.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8864 | ADX: 46.4 (trend) · Chop: 17.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.082% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6282 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.063% · r1d: 6.61% · r3d: 6.57% · ema21_slope: 0.1112% · dist_ema21: 4.941% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4159 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.358% · rs_1d: -1.52% · rs_3d: -3.09% · beta_24h: 0.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3599 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.601 · trend: 121.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6890 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 28.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.720% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.695% | 2.1R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.765% | 2.3R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.153% | 3.5R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.529% | 10.8R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 8.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.587% | 14.0R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 10.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.79 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.41 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.29 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.55 | bull_high | +6.49% | -0.08 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | bull_medium | +2.96% | +0.01 | 19/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.362×ATR | p0 | +1.084×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.471×ATR | p37 | +2.682×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 1.05×ATR | p0 | +1.926×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 1.461×ATR | p3 | +1.069×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69219.7
-0.00060291
69178
0.773593
67333.8
0.027388
69178
0.787038
65119.5
0.0619245
69152
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6.8815
193
0.7706
0.7424
0.3417
0.2734
0.3975
1
0.5704
0.5121
0.7075
0.844
0.7902
0.7864
0.2614
0.1654
1
1.5673
3.2731
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.4531
0.8164
7.0324
0.5
1.6726
5.9785
3.2731
0.5634
0.2347
0.74
1.8976
0.7242
0.4743
0.9057
0.7864
-1.8427
6.7845
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:06 | 6.73010000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:19 | 6.73900000 | +0.132% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:00:00 | 6.5186 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 6.8648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 6.8815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:35:00 | 6.7659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:10:00 | 6.7471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 6.8281 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 6.7524 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:10:00 | 6.7943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 6.8141 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:05:00 | 6.7291 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 11:45:00 | 6.3006 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 6.3646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 6.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 6.727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 6.4973 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 6.8815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 6.7471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 6.8281 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 6.8141 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 6.7291 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 6.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:00:00 | 6.2895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 6.4459 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 6.2321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 6.3943 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:00:00 | 6.3011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:00:00 | 6.3902 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 6.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 6.8815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 6.7407 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7301 | 6.708 | 6.7743 | 2 | 8.1804 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.708 - 6.7301 = -0.0221
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7301 - 6.7743 = -0.0442
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0442 / -0.0221 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2434.1206 | 100 | 361.6767 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0221 = -361.99
Taille de position USD = -361.99 x 6.7301 = -2436.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -361.99 avec un stoploss a 6.708
Avec un position size USD de -2436.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -361.99 x -0.0221 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -361.99 x -0.0442 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.425 % | 129.42 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7301 | 6.708 | 6.7743 | 2 | 8.1804 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.708 - 6.7301 = -0.0221
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7301 - 6.7743 = -0.0442
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0442 / -0.0221 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.695% | 2.1R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.765% | 2.3R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.153% | 3.5R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.529% | 10.8R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 8.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.587% | 14.0R | -0.425% | 1.3R | 10.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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