Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 22.19 AAVE at 95.252$ per unit. Take profit: 95.9729 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 94.8916 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 22.19 AAVE at 95.252$ per unit. Take profit: 95.9729 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 94.8916 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 95.252$
Qty 22.1945 AAVE
Size 2114.0718$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 95.9729 (+0.76%)
TP $ 16$
SL 94.8916 (-0.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6207
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.40×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.735531 15m : 0.55516 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5925 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1563% · dist_ema21: 5.529% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4668 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.11% · rs_3d: -0.78% · beta_24h: 1.392 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0944 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.583 · trend: -53.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4727 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6449 | ATR%: 4.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7783 | r1h: -0.003% · r4h: 1.170% · r1d: 10.59% · r3d: 10.86% · ema21_slope: 0.4050% · dist_ema21: 3.771% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5939 | rs_1h: 0.564% · rs_4h: 1.081% · rs_1d: 2.84% · rs_3d: 1.50% · beta_24h: 0.684 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2346 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.244 · trend: -11.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9366 | ADX: 52.4 (trend) · Chop: 18.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.156% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7056 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.218% · r1d: 8.87% · r3d: 10.14% · ema21_slope: 0.2552% · dist_ema21: 6.163% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5054 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.076% · rs_1d: 0.74% · rs_3d: 0.48% · beta_24h: 0.763 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3228 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.794 · trend: 81.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7284 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 21.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.768% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.471% | 1.3R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.819% | 2.2R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.730% | 4.6R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 5.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.580% | 9.5R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 11.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.772% | 10.0R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 12.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near -0.4ATR | 0.71 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.67 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.08 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +6.49% | +0.15 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | +0.03 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.714×ATR | p14 | +1.56×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 5.558×ATR | p76 | +3.334×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.324×ATR | p0 | +2.493×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.735×ATR | p50 | +1.878×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69219.7
-0.00060291
69178
0.735531
67333.8
0.027388
69178
0.55516
65119.5
0.0619245
69152
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97.247
198
0.8119
0.5852
0.4477
0.2931
0.5742
0.8844
0.729
0.4811
0.7691
0.904
0.6673
0.8338
0.2798
0.185
1
1.912
3.9409
0.7
0.3
1
6
0.9474
0.4664
0.3893
5.1406
0.6
0.8844
1.9904
3.9409
0.7976
0.2605
0.84
1.0346
0.7095
0.5565
0.9462
0.8338
-1.7257
8.6583
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:30:00 | 92.178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 97.549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 97.493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 94.937 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:10:00 | 95.786 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 95.165 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:35:00 | 95.976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 94.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 97.247 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:05:00 | 95.247 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 88.599 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 09:30:00 | 87.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 89.856 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 94.529 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 91.842 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 97.549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 94.937 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 94.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 97.247 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 95.247 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 85.599 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 87.274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 85.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 86.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 87.585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 89.962 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 23:00:00 | 86.752 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 97.549 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.252 | 94.8916 | 95.9729 | 2 | 130.85 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.8916 - 95.252 = -0.3604
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 95.252 - 95.9729 = -0.7209
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7209 / -0.3604 = 2.0003
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2114.0718 | 100 | 22.1945 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.3604 = -22.2
Taille de position USD = -22.2 x 95.252 = -2114.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -22.2 avec un stoploss a 94.8916
Avec un position size USD de -2114.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -22.2 x -0.3604 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -22.2 x -0.7209 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3024 % | 79.92 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.252 | 94.8916 | 95.9729 | 2 | 130.85 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.8916 - 95.252 = -0.3604
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 95.252 - 95.9729 = -0.7209
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7209 / -0.3604 = 2.0003
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.471% | 1.3R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.819% | 2.2R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.730% | 4.6R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 5.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.580% | 9.5R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 11.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.772% | 10.0R | -0.302% | 0.8R | 12.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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