Short Trade on NIL

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19 Aug 2026 at 23:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 3058.74 NIL at 0.0413$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04394 (6.34 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 19 Aug 2026 23:10 → 02:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04132$

Qty 3058.7354 NIL

Size 126.39$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 126.39$

SL 0.04394 (-6.34%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status loss PnL -3.01% / -3.8$ MAE -5.93% MFE +0.43% 0.1R expires 20 Aug 02:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 76139)

#67 / 68

seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0367

Quality Score

0.360

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#67 / 68

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.34 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#67 / 68

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.34 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.63×ATR
4h	clear	0.57×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

N/A

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 23:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +1 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

19/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

19/08 22:00

Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1654

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_breakout_attempt

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bull —	transition -1
Tactical	bull —	transition -1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.93

Transition risk : 0.07

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.71

Snapshot évalué : 19/08 23:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5043

Score SMA

—

Rank

#11 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

—

Rank Norm SMA

—

Calculé le

18/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7128	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.70% · r3d: -6.10% · ema21_slope: 1.6008% · dist_ema21: 8.547%
Force Relative	25%	0.5171	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.158
Volume	20%	0.2006	rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -2.90%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8068	ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.451% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 19/08/2026 23:00

Score brut

0.3602

Score SMA

0.5342

Rank

#67 / 68

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0367

Rank Norm SMA

0.5224

Calculé le

19/08/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2421	r1h: -0.179% · r4h: -2.420% · r1d: -5.91% · r3d: -17.62% · ema21_slope: -0.1557% · dist_ema21: -2.479%
Force Relative	25%	0.2139	rs_1h: 0.388% · rs_4h: -2.510% · rs_1d: -13.66% · rs_3d: -26.98% · beta_24h: 0.518
Volume	20%	0.2089	rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.509 · trend: -17.87%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6155	ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.341% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.583%	0.9R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	96
12h	+1.271%	0.2R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.11

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	—
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	27%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.22	bull_high_confirmed	+8.33%	-0.95	19/08 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -0.6ATR	—	0.03	bull_high	+6.49%	-0.82	19/08 22:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	—	bull_medium	+2.98%	-0.37	19/08 22:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
4h	↓ down	mid	17b	—	3.805×ATR	p53	-1.346×ATR	p76
1h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	2.731×ATR	p52	-1.037×ATR	p52
15m	↓ down	late	21b	—	6.805×ATR	p94	-1.406×ATR	p65

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04393646
atr: 0.00087182
expires_at: 2026-08-20T06:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 67
total: 68
score: 0.2421
confidence: 0.985

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04132	0.04394			0.05638

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04132
Stop Loss: 0.04394
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04394 - 0.04132 = 0.00262
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04132 - = 0.04132
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04132 / 0.00262 = 15.771

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
126.39	100	3058.7354	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00262

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00262 = 3053.44

Taille de position USD = 3053.44 x 0.04132 = 126.17

Donc, tu peux acheter 3053.44 avec un stoploss a 0.04394

Avec un position size USD de 126.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3053.44 x 0.00262 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3053.44 x 0.04132 = 126.17

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 126.17$

Résumé

Taille de position 3053.44
Taille de position USD 126.17
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 126.17
Risk-Reward Ratio 15.771

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	126.39 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.34 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.8 $	-3.01

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-5.9342 %	93.59 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04132	0.04394			0.05638

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04132
Stop Loss: 0.04394
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04394 - 0.04132 = 0.00262
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04132 - = 0.04132
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04132 / 0.00262 = 15.771

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.341% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.583%	0.9R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.431%	0.1R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.1×	96
12h	+1.271%	0.2R	-5.934%	0.9R	0.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

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