Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 10190.95 XLM at 0.169$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1704 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1681 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 10190.95 XLM at 0.169$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1704 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1681 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.1688$
Qty 10190.953 XLM
Size 1720.7424$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1704 (+0.95%)
TP $ 16.31$
SL 0.1681 (-0.41%)
SL $ 7.13$
RR 2.29
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6688
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.664202 15m : 0.702085 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4504 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.38% · r3d: 8.11% · ema21_slope: -0.3488% · dist_ema21: 3.455% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4205 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.03% · rs_3d: 0.18% · beta_24h: 1.028 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1013 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -1.486 · trend: -49.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5281 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8107 | ATR%: 3.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7278 | r1h: -1.079% · r4h: 0.471% · r1d: 10.19% · r3d: 7.65% · ema21_slope: 0.4593% · dist_ema21: 3.240% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5027 | rs_1h: -0.513% · rs_4h: 0.382% · rs_1d: 2.43% · rs_3d: -1.72% · beta_24h: 0.637 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2910 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.458 · trend: 41.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9967 | ADX: 59.6 (trend) · Chop: 19.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.270% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6563 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.664% · r1d: 10.80% · r3d: 8.30% · ema21_slope: 0.1235% · dist_ema21: 6.968% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5071 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.369% · rs_1d: 2.67% · rs_3d: -1.36% · beta_24h: 0.748 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3800 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.371 · trend: 106.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7379 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 13.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.660% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 0.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.284% | 0.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.284% | 0.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.137% | 14.8R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.981% | 21.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.80 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.59 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | -0.11 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bull_high | +6.49% | +0.06 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.3ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | bull_medium | +2.96% | +0.00 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 3.052×ATR | p13 | +1.105×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 6.69×ATR | p94 | +3.568×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 0.684×ATR | p0 | +1.796×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.553×ATR | p0 | +0.682×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69209.9
-0.00359632
68961
0.664202
67329.5
0.0242306
68961
0.702085
65119.5
0.0619245
69152
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0.17288
197
0.7824
0.7167
0.3825
0.295
0.4542
0.9797
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0.4762
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0.88
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0.8427
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0.1848
1
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3.7248
0.5
0.5
1
6
0.9474
0.4626
0.6707
4.247
0.7
0.9797
1.7777
3.7248
0.7883
0.2584
0.8
1.1631
0.66
0.5675
0.961
0.8427
-1.4355
7.6899
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:13 | 0.16885000 | +0.03% |
| 2 | 23:25 | 0.16827000 | -0.314% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 19:10:00 | 0.16567 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 19:25:00 | 0.16471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.17296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:05:00 | 0.16901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 0.172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.17027 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:50:00 | 0.17288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 0.16835 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 03:15:00 | 0.15534 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 05:00:00 | 0.15726 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 07:00:00 | 0.15736 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 0.15595 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 0.16835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 0.16382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 0.17296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 0.16901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 0.17288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.16835 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.15647 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.15965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.1558 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.15907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:00:00 | 0.15704 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 0.15931 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 0.15824 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 12:00:00 | 0.1523 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 15:00:00 | 0.15534 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.17296 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1688 | 0.1681 | 0.1704 | 2.29 | 0.148 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1681 - 0.1688 = -0.00070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1688 - 0.1704 = -0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0016 / -0.00070000000000001 = 2.2857
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1720.7424 | 100 | 10190.953 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00070000000000001 = -11428.57
Taille de position USD = -11428.57 x 0.1688 = -1929.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1681
Avec un position size USD de -1929.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11428.57 x -0.00070000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11428.57 x -0.0016 = 18.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 18.29$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 16.31 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 7.13 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.14 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2737 % | 307.14 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1688 | 0.1681 | 0.1704 | 2.29 | 0.148 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1681 - 0.1688 = -0.00070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1688 - 0.1704 = -0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0016 / -0.00070000000000001 = 2.2857
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 0.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.284% | 0.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.284% | 0.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.137% | 14.8R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.981% | 21.7R | -1.463% | 3.5R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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