Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 37486.53 PUMP at 0.00326$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003796 (16.37 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003049 (6.53 %)
19 Aug 2026 at 23:16:32
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
19 Aug 2026 23:16
→ 11:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.003262$
Qty 37486.5283 PUMP
Size 122.2811$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003796 (+16.37%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.003049 (-6.53%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+15.08%
/ +18.44$
MAE -3.28%
MFE +16.16%
2.5R
expires
20 Aug 11:16
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76140)
#5 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 19/08/2026 23:00
score du 19/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3719
Quality Score
0.752
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.61×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
93.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
19/08 23:02
19/08 23:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1654
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
19/08 23:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5877
Score SMA
—
Rank
#7
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8660 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: 10.09% · ema21_slope: 1.9013% · dist_ema21: 15.554% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6099 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.22% · rs_3d: 2.16% · beta_24h: -0.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2165 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.434 · trend: 34.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8807 | ADX: 48.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.239% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.7520
Score SMA
0.5515
Rank
#5
/ 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3719
Rank Norm SMA
0.5677
Calculé le
19/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9148 | r1h: 4.014% · r4h: 8.797% · r1d: 7.86% · r3d: 15.82% · ema21_slope: 0.2734% · dist_ema21: 6.219% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8052 | rs_1h: 4.581% · rs_4h: 8.708% · rs_1d: 0.11% · rs_3d: 6.46% · beta_24h: 0.324 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3423 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.109 · trend: 13.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7185 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.594% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5230
Score SMA
0.5627
Rank
#56
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4496
Rank Norm SMA
0.6894
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6887 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.732% · r1d: 0.73% · r3d: 7.50% · ema21_slope: 0.3835% · dist_ema21: 3.050% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4051 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.438% · rs_1d: -7.40% · rs_3d: -2.17% · beta_24h: 0.346 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2536 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -1.144 · trend: 47.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6809 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6226 | ATR%: 4.132% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.530%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.472% | 0.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.472% | 0.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.472% | 0.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.047% | 0.6R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +16.156% | 2.5R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 4.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.785% | 3.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 6.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.84
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.99 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.25 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.34 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.20 | bull_high | +6.49% | +0.11 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | — | bull_medium | +2.98% | +0.22 | 19/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 37b | — | 7.59×ATR | p89 | +1.745×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 3.155×ATR | p52 | +1.476×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.684×ATR | p84 | +1.885×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 6.706×ATR | p97 | +2.987×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.827
- reason: up_bo width=2.64×ATR dur=29b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.00304859
- tp_price: 0.00379553
- atr:
- score: 0.75695357563638
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T15:16:24.151421
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.75695357563638
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2845
- obi_top10 : 0.2002
- micro_price : 0.00327855
- spread_pct : 0.030506
- mid_price : 0.0032785
- bid_wall_price : 0.00324
- bid_wall_size : 60903246.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2469
- obi_top5_std : 0.0922
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7034
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0031715
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002943
- balance_zone_mid:
0.00305725
- balance_zone_start_time:
1787094000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787194800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6383
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
29
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.757
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787191200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0031715
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.931
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0449
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 8.661E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
29
inside_close_ratio
0.931
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0449
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7034ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.285
avg 0.247
± 0.092
OBI Top 10
0.200
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0033
Micro Price
0.0033
Spread
0.0305%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0032
Size
60,903,246.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003262 | 0.003049 | 0.003796 | 2.51 | 0.003637 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.003262
- Stop Loss: 0.003049
- Take Profit: 0.003796
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.003049 - 0.003262 = -0.000213
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003262 - 0.003796 = -0.000534
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000534 / -0.000213 = 2.507
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122.2811 | 100 | 37486.5283 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000213
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000213 = -37558.69
Taille de position USD = -37558.69 x 0.003262 = -122.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -37558.69 avec un stoploss a 0.003049
Avec un position size USD de -122.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -37558.69 x -0.000213 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -37558.69 x -0.000534 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -37558.69
- Taille de position USD -122.52
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.507
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 16.37 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.53 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 18.44 $ | 15.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2802 % | 50.24 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003262 | 0.003049 | 0.003796 | 2.51 | 0.003637 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.003262
- Stop Loss: 0.003049
- Take Profit: 0.003796
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.003049 - 0.003262 = -0.000213
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003262 - 0.003796 = -0.000534
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000534 / -0.000213 = 2.507
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.530%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.472% | 0.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.472% | 0.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.472% | 0.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.047% | 0.6R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +16.156% | 2.5R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 4.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.785% | 3.2R | -3.280% | 0.5R | 6.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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