Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 0.8 ETH at 2235.6$ per unit. Take profit: 2255.6207 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 2225.5896 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 0.8 ETH at 2235.6$ per unit. Take profit: 2255.6207 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 2225.5896 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 2235.6$
Qty 0.7992 ETH
Size 1786.6269$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 2255.6207 (+0.9%)
TP $ 16$
SL 2225.5896 (-0.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8860
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.00×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.33×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 19/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.726509 15m : 0.768192 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8659 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 18.15% · ema21_slope: 0.3664% · dist_ema21: 15.805% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6998 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.11% · rs_3d: 10.22% · beta_24h: 1.869 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2549 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.209 · trend: 51.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6894 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 17.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9729 | ATR%: 3.081% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8093 | r1h: -0.419% · r4h: 0.284% · r1d: 18.36% · r3d: 18.70% · ema21_slope: 0.8530% · dist_ema21: 6.540% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7130 | rs_1h: 0.148% · rs_4h: 0.195% · rs_1d: 10.61% · rs_3d: 9.33% · beta_24h: 1.602 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2349 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.395 · trend: -4.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 65.8 (trend) · Chop: -4.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.460% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8643 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.164% · r1d: 18.10% · r3d: 18.79% · ema21_slope: 0.4355% · dist_ema21: 13.314% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7627 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.130% · rs_1d: 9.97% · rs_3d: 9.13% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3689 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.467 · trend: 187.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7698 | ADX: 32.4 (trend) · Chop: -17.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.848% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.042% | 2.3R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 33.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.042% | 2.3R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 33.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.534% | 3.4R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 49.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.778% | 6.2R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 88.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.771% | 8.4R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 120.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
choppy 43% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.91 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.73 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.86 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.33% | +0.69 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
66%
|
choppy 55% | late | — | — | 0.84 | bull_high | +6.49% | +0.71 | 19/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.77 | bull_medium | +2.89% | -0.08 | 19/08 23:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 55b | — | 10.757×ATR | p100 | +4.897×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.858×ATR | p0 | +5.714×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.726×ATR | p50 | +2.803×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 23b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.809×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69202.9
-0.00196404
69067
0.726509
67364
0.0252804
69067
0.768192
65116.2
0.0594288
68986
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2346.8
193
0.8773
0.8437
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0.7532
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0.2637
1
2.5225
5.3279
0.8
0.2
1
6
1
0.5234
0.847
8.9862
0.75
5.2854
12.7787
5.3279
0.2738
0.277
0.84
4.4614
0.816
0.571
0.9158
0.7532
-3.1403
9.5831
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:19 | 2235.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:29 | 2234.90000000 | -0.031% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 21:05:00 | 2346.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 2306 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 2242.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 2244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:40:00 | 2262.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 2274.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 2250.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 2270 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:00:00 | 2270 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 2224 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 08:30:00 | 1929 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:15:00 | 1916.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 11:00:00 | 1925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 12:45:00 | 1942 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 2120.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 2067.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 2346.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 2242.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 2274.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 2224 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1890.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 1914.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 1917.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 1884.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 1922 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 23:00:00 | 1919.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 1905.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 2346.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 2224 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2235.6 | 2225.5896 | 2255.6207 | 2 | 2133.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2225.5896 - 2235.6 = -10.0104
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2235.6 - 2255.6207 = -20.0207
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -20.0207 / -10.0104 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1786.6269 | 100 | 0.7992 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -10.0104 = -0.8
Taille de position USD = -0.8 x 2235.6 = -1788.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.8 avec un stoploss a 2225.5896
Avec un position size USD de -1788.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.8 x -10.0104 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.8 x -20.0207 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0313 % | 6.99 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2235.6 | 2225.5896 | 2255.6207 | 2 | 2133.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2225.5896 - 2235.6 = -10.0104
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2235.6 - 2255.6207 = -20.0207
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -20.0207 / -10.0104 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.042% | 2.3R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 33.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.042% | 2.3R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 33.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.534% | 3.4R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 49.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.778% | 6.2R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 88.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.771% | 8.4R | -0.031% | 0.1R | 120.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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