Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 3.44 XMR at 422.78$ per unit. Take profit: 427.4273 (1.1 %) & Stop Loss: 420.4563 (0.55 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 3.44 XMR at 422.78$ per unit. Take profit: 427.4273 (1.1 %) & Stop Loss: 420.4563 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 422.78$
Qty 3.4428 XMR
Size 1455.5565$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 427.4273 (+1.1%)
TP $ 16$
SL 420.4563 (-0.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2868
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 19/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 19/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.21806 15m : 0.19868 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7602 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.69% · r3d: 0.96% · ema21_slope: 0.7541% · dist_ema21: 7.140% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4626 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.10% · rs_3d: -6.97% · beta_24h: 0.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1594 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.219 · trend: -19.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7374 | ADX: 34.9 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8443 | ATR%: 3.467% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6034 | r1h: -0.595% · r4h: 1.118% · r1d: 4.38% · r3d: 2.80% · ema21_slope: 0.1311% · dist_ema21: 1.592% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4166 | rs_1h: -0.428% · rs_4h: 1.313% · rs_1d: -3.22% · rs_3d: -6.33% · beta_24h: 0.221 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2907 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.459 · trend: 40.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7408 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.271% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6130 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.405% · r1d: 2.42% · r3d: 1.69% · ema21_slope: 0.1040% · dist_ema21: 2.173% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3443 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.589% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -7.48% · beta_24h: 0.226 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2187 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.353 · trend: 31.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5909 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.078% | 0.1R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.52 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.23 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.51% | -0.45 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | bull_high | +6.18% | -0.42 | 19/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.19 | bull_medium | +2.68% | -0.00 | 19/08 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.086×ATR | p16 | +1.721×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 36b | — | 4.497×ATR | p78 | +1.683×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.988×ATR | p24 | +1.022×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.507×ATR | p3 | +0.765×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69252.3
0.00166956
69368
0.21806
67504.3
0.0274145
69355
0.19868
65203.2
0.0638733
69368
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433.26
197
0.7584
0.6686
0.3819
0.2324
0.5042
1
0.3962
0.5595
0.7416
0.952
0.7418
0.7332
0.128
0.0713
1
0.5735
1.1912
0.75
0.25
1
2
1
0.5352
0.7046
4.413
0.5
1.1611
2.9303
1.1912
0.603
0.203
0.92
1.3118
0.5931
0.5487
0.739
0.7332
-1.4492
3.9819
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 422.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:10:00 | 431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 419.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 424.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:05:00 | 416.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 433.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:20:00 | 427 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:35:00 | 431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:30:00 | 429.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:20:00 | 422 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 11:45:00 | 417.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 413.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 421.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 16:45:00 | 422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 410.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 414.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 416.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 433.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:15:00 | 425.07 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 409.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 03:00:00 | 409.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:00:00 | 422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 410.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 433.83 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422.78 | 420.4563 | 427.4273 | 2 | 559.59 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 420.4563 - 422.78 = -2.3237
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 422.78 - 427.4273 = -4.6473
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.6473 / -2.3237 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1455.5565 | 100 | 3.4428 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.3237 = -3.44
Taille de position USD = -3.44 x 422.78 = -1454.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.44 avec un stoploss a 420.4563
Avec un position size USD de -1454.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.44 x -2.3237 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.44 x -4.6473 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.1 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6699 % | 303.84 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422.78 | 420.4563 | 427.4273 | 2 | 559.59 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 420.4563 - 422.78 = -2.3237
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 422.78 - 427.4273 = -4.6473
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.6473 / -2.3237 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.078% | 0.1R | -3.238% | 5.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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