Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 2.69 XMR at 414.4$ per unit. Take profit: 420.3526 (1.44 %) & Stop Loss: 411.4237 (0.72 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 2.69 XMR at 414.4$ per unit. Take profit: 420.3526 (1.44 %) & Stop Loss: 411.4237 (0.72 %)
Position
Entry 414.4$
Qty 2.6879 XMR
Size 1113.8599$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 420.3526 (+1.44%)
TP $ 16$
SL 411.4237 (-0.72%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2868
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.49×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.203686 15m : 0.194456 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7602 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.69% · r3d: 0.96% · ema21_slope: 0.7541% · dist_ema21: 7.140% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4626 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.10% · rs_3d: -6.97% · beta_24h: 0.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1594 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.219 · trend: -19.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7374 | ADX: 34.9 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8443 | ATR%: 3.467% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6034 | r1h: -0.595% · r4h: 1.118% · r1d: 4.38% · r3d: 2.80% · ema21_slope: 0.1311% · dist_ema21: 1.592% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4166 | rs_1h: -0.428% · rs_4h: 1.313% · rs_1d: -3.22% · rs_3d: -6.33% · beta_24h: 0.221 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2907 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.459 · trend: 40.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7408 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.271% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6130 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.405% · r1d: 2.42% · r3d: 1.69% · ema21_slope: 0.1040% · dist_ema21: 2.173% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3443 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.589% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -7.48% · beta_24h: 0.226 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2187 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -1.353 · trend: 31.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5909 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.613% | 0.9R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.613% | 0.9R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.001% | 1.4R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.665% | 2.3R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.828% | 3.9R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +4.72% | +0.52 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.24 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.66% | -0.55 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.15 | bull_medium | +6.29% | -0.59 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | — | bull_low | +2.64% | -0.16 | 20/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.086×ATR | p16 | +1.721×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 37b | — | 4.254×ATR | p70 | +1.167×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.643×ATR | p46 | -0.432×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.752×ATR | p87 | -2.178×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69263.1
0.00337611
69497
0.203686
67572.7
0.0266719
69375
0.194456
65202.8
0.063603
69350
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 19:00:00
[1] => 409.88
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 413.65
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 06:00:00
[1] => 422.1
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 13:00:00
[1] => 409.08
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 16:00:00
[1] => 420.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 03:00:00
[1] => 409.69
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 16:00:00
[1] => 422
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 18:00:00
[1] => 410.48
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:00:00
[1] => 433.83
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:00:00
[1] => 415.72
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.7526219947906
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.44020013470605
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.356297507938
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 11:45:00
[1] => 417.34
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 14:00:00
[1] => 413.49
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:15:00
[1] => 421.46
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 16:45:00
[1] => 422
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 18:00:00
[1] => 410.48
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 20:00:00
[1] => 414.42
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:00:00
[1] => 431
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:00:00
[1] => 416.97
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:45:00
[1] => 433.83
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:30:00
[1] => 415.72
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.6811654334647
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51476955643221
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.356297507938
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:45:00
[1] => 422.98
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:10:00
[1] => 431
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:15:00
[1] => 419.68
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:45:00
[1] => 424.89
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:05:00
[1] => 416.97
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:45:00
[1] => 433.83
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:20:00
[1] => 427
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:35:00
[1] => 431
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:30:00
[1] => 429.91
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:55:00
[1] => 414.06
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.6077318508525
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.082113703328014
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8279476404386
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
433.26
197
0.5855
0.6686
0.3812
0.2309
0.5042
1
0.291
0.5219
0.7416
0.988
0.7467
0.5041
0.0865
0.051
0.3333
-0.4577
-0.0034
0.75
0.25
1
2
1
0.5382
0.7046
4.413
0.5
1.1611
2.9303
-0.0034
0.603
0.1981
0.98
1.7886
0.642
0.5567
0.7396
0.5041
-2.2327
2.2697
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:58 | 414.40000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:07 | 415.16000000 | +0.183% |
| 3 | 01:15 | 415.83000000 | +0.345% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 422.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:10:00 | 431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 419.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:45:00 | 424.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:05:00 | 416.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 433.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:20:00 | 427 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:35:00 | 431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:30:00 | 429.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:55:00 | 414.06 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 11:45:00 | 417.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 413.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 421.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 16:45:00 | 422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 410.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 414.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 416.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 433.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:30:00 | 415.72 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 19:00:00 | 409.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 413.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 06:00:00 | 422.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 13:00:00 | 409.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 420.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 03:00:00 | 409.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:00:00 | 422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 410.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 433.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:00:00 | 415.72 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414.4 | 411.4237 | 420.3526 | 2 | 568.65 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.4237 - 414.4 = -2.9763
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 414.4 - 420.3526 = -5.9526
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.9526 / -2.9763 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1113.8599 | 100 | 2.6879 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.9763 = -2.69
Taille de position USD = -2.69 x 414.4 = -1114.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.69 avec un stoploss a 411.4237
Avec un position size USD de -1114.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.69 x -2.9763 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.69 x -5.9526 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.44 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9701 % | 135.07 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414.4 | 411.4237 | 420.3526 | 2 | 568.65 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.4237 - 414.4 = -2.9763
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 414.4 - 420.3526 = -5.9526
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.9526 / -2.9763 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 420.3526
[entry_price] => 414.4
[stop_loss] => 411.12607
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 05:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 420.3526
[entry_price] => 414.4
[stop_loss] => 410.82844
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 05:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 420.3526
[entry_price] => 414.4
[stop_loss] => 410.53081
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 05:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 420.3526
[entry_price] => 414.4
[stop_loss] => 409.93555
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 05:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.613% | 0.9R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.613% | 0.9R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.001% | 1.4R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.665% | 2.3R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.828% | 3.9R | -1.281% | 1.8R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.