Long Trade on RENDER (CatchTheWave)
With 3129.01 RENDER at 1.363$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3681 (0.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3604 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on RENDER (CatchTheWave)
With 3129.01 RENDER at 1.363$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3681 (0.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3604 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 1.363$
Qty 3129.009 RENDER
Size 4264.8393$ (margin 100$) (leverage 43)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3681 (+0.37%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 1.3604 (-0.19%)
SL $ 8.14$
RR 1.96
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5536
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.88×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 21.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.633188 15m : 0.602573 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4881 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.41% · r3d: 7.89% · ema21_slope: -0.3800% · dist_ema21: 3.678% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4342 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: -0.04% · beta_24h: 1.090 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1725 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.430 · trend: 0.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7196 | ADX: 38.5 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8597 | ATR%: 3.421% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7095 | r1h: 0.132% · r4h: -0.713% · r1d: 8.46% · r3d: 7.26% · ema21_slope: 0.3897% · dist_ema21: 2.180% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4735 | rs_1h: -0.102% · rs_4h: -0.640% · rs_1d: 0.58% · rs_3d: -1.94% · beta_24h: 0.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1710 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.518 · trend: -45.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9471 | ADX: 53.7 (trend) · Chop: 23.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.207% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6348 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.183% · r1d: 8.08% · r3d: 8.04% · ema21_slope: 0.2158% · dist_ema21: 5.316% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4892 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.22% · rs_3d: -1.13% · beta_24h: 0.489 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3234 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.561 · trend: 70.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7656 | ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 15.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.599% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.712% | 3.7R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 12.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.939% | 4.9R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 16.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.869% | 15.0R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 48.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.419% | 17.9R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 58.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.622% | 24.2R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 78.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.76 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.65 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.00% | -0.14 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_medium | +6.46% | -0.02 | 20/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | bull_low | +2.67% | -0.09 | 20/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.189×ATR | p35 | +1.152×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.541×ATR | p0 | +2.871×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.694×ATR | p9 | +1.383×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.37×ATR | p36 | +0.138×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69434.6
-0.000830742
69377
0.633188
67735.1
0.0245339
69397
0.602573
65297.7
0.0651216
69550
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0.82
1.4612
0.6852
0.5258
0.9032
0.7769
-2.1677
7.5504
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:56 | 1.36300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:05 | 1.36270000 | -0.022% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 23:50:00 | 1.3687 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:25:00 | 1.3917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 1.372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 1.3935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 1.3542 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:10:00 | 1.3667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:30:00 | 1.362 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:00:00 | 1.371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:35:00 | 1.371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:55:00 | 1.363 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 14:15:00 | 1.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:30:00 | 1.3231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 1.3285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 1.4025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 1.3651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 1.3917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 1.3935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.3542 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:00:00 | 1.371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:30:00 | 1.371 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:00:00 | 1.274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 1.2582 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:00:00 | 1.2792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 1.2767 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 1.2451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 1.2766 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 1.2555 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 1.4025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.3542 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.363 | 1.3604 | 1.3681 | 1.96 | 1.5747 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3604 - 1.363 = -0.0025999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.363 - 1.3681 = -0.0051000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0051000000000001 / -0.0025999999999999 = 1.9615
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4264.8393 | 100 | 3129.009 | 43.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0025999999999999 = -3076.92
Taille de position USD = -3076.92 x 1.363 = -4193.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -3076.92 avec un stoploss a 1.3604
Avec un position size USD de -4193.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3076.92 x -0.0025999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3076.92 x -0.0051000000000001 = 15.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.69$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.96 $ | 0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0587 % | 30.77 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.363 | 1.3604 | 1.3681 | 1.96 | 1.5747 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3604 - 1.363 = -0.0025999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.363 - 1.3681 = -0.0051000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0051000000000001 / -0.0025999999999999 = 1.9615
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.712% | 3.7R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 12.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.939% | 4.9R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 16.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.869% | 15.0R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 48.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.419% | 17.9R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 58.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.622% | 24.2R | -0.059% | 0.3R | 78.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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