Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 563.63 AVAX at 6.739$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7678 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7252 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 563.63 AVAX at 6.739$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7678 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7252 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 6.7394$
Qty 563.6335 AVAX
Size 3798.5517$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 6.7678 (+0.42%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 6.7252 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3788
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.39×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.605994 15m : 0.788419 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5420 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.25% · r3d: 6.58% · ema21_slope: -0.0238% · dist_ema21: 4.320% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4440 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.66% · rs_3d: -1.35% · beta_24h: 0.871 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1255 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.912 · trend: -10.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4284 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6341 | ATR%: 4.098% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6607 | r1h: -0.170% · r4h: -0.580% · r1d: 6.49% · r3d: 6.36% · ema21_slope: 0.3175% · dist_ema21: 1.752% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4320 | rs_1h: -0.262% · rs_4h: -0.363% · rs_1d: -1.83% · rs_3d: -3.19% · beta_24h: 0.840 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1754 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.369 · trend: -54.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8916 | ADX: 47.0 (trend) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6005 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.046% · r1d: 6.42% · r3d: 6.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1520% · dist_ema21: 4.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4224 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.229% · rs_1d: -1.44% · rs_3d: -2.93% · beta_24h: 0.707 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3032 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.803 · trend: 67.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7125 | ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 29.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.725% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.013% | 4.8R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 9.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.850% | 8.8R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 17.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.146% | 14.9R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 29.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.386% | 16.1R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 31.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.654% | 41.1R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 79.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.79 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.41 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.00% | -0.32 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.55 | bull_medium | +6.46% | -0.14 | 20/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.78 | bull_low | +2.67% | -0.07 | 20/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.362×ATR | p0 | +1.084×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.296×ATR | p26 | +2.217×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 1.785×ATR | p15 | +1.459×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.025×ATR | p25 | -0.107×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69444.2
-0.000810565
69388
0.605994
67761.7
0.0239995
69388
0.788419
65376.1
0.0612129
69378
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6.8815
190
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1
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1
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0.4814
0.8164
7.0324
0.5
1.6726
5.9785
3.4971
0.5634
0.2251
0.68
1.2151
0.6728
0.5116
0.8907
0.7878
-2.2194
8.2384
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 6.8281 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:10:00 | 6.7524 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:10:00 | 6.7943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 6.8141 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 6.7015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:50:00 | 6.7769 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:40:00 | 6.7333 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:00:00 | 6.7816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:15:00 | 6.7499 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:05:00 | 6.7394 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 6.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 6.727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 18:00:00 | 6.4973 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 6.8815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 6.7471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 6.8281 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 6.8141 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 6.7015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:00:00 | 6.7816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 6.7394 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 6.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:00:00 | 6.2895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 01:00:00 | 6.4459 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 6.2321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 6.3943 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 21:00:00 | 6.3011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 08:00:00 | 6.3902 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 6.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 6.8815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 6.7015 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7394 | 6.7252 | 6.7678 | 2 | 8.5114 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7252 - 6.7394 = -0.0142
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7394 - 6.7678 = -0.0284
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0284 / -0.0142 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3798.5517 | 100 | 563.6335 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0142 = -563.38
Taille de position USD = -563.38 x 6.7394 = -3796.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -563.38 avec un stoploss a 6.7252
Avec un position size USD de -3796.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -563.38 x -0.0142 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -563.38 x -0.0284 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1083 % | 51.4 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7394 | 6.7252 | 6.7678 | 2 | 8.5114 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7252 - 6.7394 = -0.0142
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7394 - 6.7678 = -0.0284
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0284 / -0.0142 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.013% | 4.8R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 9.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.850% | 8.8R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 17.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.146% | 14.9R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 29.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.386% | 16.1R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 31.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.654% | 41.1R | -0.108% | 0.5R | 79.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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