Long Trade on MEGA (CatchTheWave)
With 63151.25 MEGA at 0.0348$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03502 (0.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03464 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on MEGA (CatchTheWave)
With 63151.25 MEGA at 0.0348$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03502 (0.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03464 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 0.03476$
Qty 63151.2472 MEGA
Size 2195.3268$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03502 (+0.75%)
TP $ 16.42$
SL 0.03464 (-0.35%)
SL $ 7.58$
RR 2.17
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5497
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.90×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.473837 15m : 0.31007 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3859 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.14% · r3d: 8.21% · ema21_slope: -0.9102% · dist_ema21: -0.578% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3761 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.55% · rs_3d: 0.29% · beta_24h: 1.145 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1589 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.238 · trend: -18.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5918 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7043 | r1h: -1.106% · r4h: -0.232% · r1d: 8.45% · r3d: 10.59% · ema21_slope: 0.4091% · dist_ema21: 2.081% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4599 | rs_1h: -1.199% · rs_4h: -0.015% · rs_1d: 0.12% · rs_3d: 1.04% · beta_24h: 0.524 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2255 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.024 · trend: -29.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8977 | ADX: 47.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.733% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6565 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.419% · r1d: 9.79% · r3d: 11.83% · ema21_slope: 0.2796% · dist_ema21: 7.160% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5482 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.235% · rs_1d: 1.93% · rs_3d: 2.66% · beta_24h: 0.584 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3705 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.442 · trend: 126.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7018 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 29.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.775% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.924% | 2.7R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.853% | 5.4R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 6.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.869% | 11.2R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 13.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +13.867% | 40.2R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 49.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +13.867% | 40.2R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 49.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 30% | late | — | — | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.72% | -0.91 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.00% | +0.06 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.28 | bull_medium | +6.46% | +0.14 | 20/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | bull_low | +2.48% | -0.03 | 20/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 66b | — | 14.791×ATR | p92 | -0.097×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.053×ATR | p81 | +2.146×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.659×ATR | p0 | +0.887×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.188×ATR | p25 | -0.514×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69406.7
-0.000644958
69362
0.473837
67786.8
0.0232365
69362
0.31007
65375.9
0.0610482
69367
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 04:00:00
[1] => 0.03181
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:00:00
[1] => 0.030985
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 21:00:00
[1] => 0.033175
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 08:00:00
[1] => 0.03109
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.03221
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 00:00:00
[1] => 0.031736
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 06:00:00
[1] => 0.032681
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 10:00:00
[1] => 0.031495
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:00:00
[1] => 0.036238
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:00:00
[1] => 0.035439
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.949829284122
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.328623591046
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2545782894551
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 14:00:00
[1] => 0.031916
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 18:15:00
[1] => 0.035912
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 20:00:00
[1] => 0.033953
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:00:00
[1] => 0.036238
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:45:00
[1] => 0.034646
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:30:00
[1] => 0.035132
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:15:00
[1] => 0.034463
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:00:00
[1] => 0.034728
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:45:00
[1] => 0.035439
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 06:00:00
[1] => 0.034696
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9075030333813
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19310583352549
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.141457228499
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:00:00
[1] => 0.035147
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 23:40:00
[1] => 0.03477
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:30:00
[1] => 0.035132
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:15:00
[1] => 0.034463
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 02:15:00
[1] => 0.035
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:00:00
[1] => 0.034728
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:45:00
[1] => 0.035379
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:30:00
[1] => 0.034943
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:50:00
[1] => 0.035439
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 06:05:00
[1] => 0.034696
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9075030333813
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19310583352549
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.141457228499
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.034463
194
0.7379
0.5451
0.374
0.2545
0.4717
0.7768
0.5215
0.5137
0.6788
0.82
0.6912
0.7291
0.159
0.1332
1
0.9064
2.6758
0.55
0.45
1
9
1
0.4909
0.4955
3.2406
0.55
0.7768
2.5173
2.6758
0.547
0.2744
0.7
0.5297
0.6006
0.5388
0.8874
0.7291
-2.6727
7.1947
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:16 | 0.03476300 | +0.009% |
| 2 | 03:01 | 0.03466300 | -0.279% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 0.035147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 23:40:00 | 0.03477 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 0.035132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.034463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 0.035 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.034728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:45:00 | 0.035379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:30:00 | 0.034943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:50:00 | 0.035439 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:05:00 | 0.034696 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 0.031916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 18:15:00 | 0.035912 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 20:00:00 | 0.033953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.036238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 0.034646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 0.035132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.034463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.034728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:45:00 | 0.035439 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 0.034696 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 0.03181 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.030985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:00:00 | 0.033175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.03109 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:00:00 | 0.03221 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.031736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 0.032681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 0.031495 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.036238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:00:00 | 0.035439 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03476 | 0.03464 | 0.03502 | 2.17 | 0.043 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03464 - 0.03476 = -0.00012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03476 - 0.03502 = -0.00026
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00026 / -0.00012 = 2.1667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2195.3268 | 100 | 63151.2472 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00012 = -66666.67
Taille de position USD = -66666.67 x 0.03476 = -2317.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -66666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.03464
Avec un position size USD de -2317.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -66666.67 x -0.00012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -66666.67 x -0.00026 = 17.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.33$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 16.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 7.58 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.42 $ | 0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2819 % | 81.66 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03476 | 0.03464 | 0.03502 | 2.17 | 0.043 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03464 - 0.03476 = -0.00012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03476 - 0.03502 = -0.00026
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00026 / -0.00012 = 2.1667
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.035
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 07:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03506
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 07:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03512
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03518
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03524
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0353
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03536
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03542
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03548
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03554
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0356
[stop_loss] => 0.03464
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.924% | 2.7R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.853% | 5.4R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 6.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.869% | 11.2R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 13.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +13.867% | 40.2R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 49.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +13.867% | 40.2R | -0.282% | 0.8R | 49.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.