20 Aug 2026 at 02:45:10 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SPX (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 962.7 SPX at 0.368$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3745 (1.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3594 (2.26 %)

SPX LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 20 Aug 2026 02:45 → 02:55 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.3677$

Qty 962.6955 SPX

Size 354.012$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3745 (+1.85%)

TP $ 6.55$

SL 0.3594 (-2.26%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.82

Status win PnL +1.85% / +6.55$ MAE -0.00% MFE +8.25% 3.7R expires 20 Aug 14:45

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 76414)
#21 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8148

Quality Score
0.673
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#21 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#21 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.52×ATR
1d near 0.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 02:31
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

19/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

20/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

20/08 02:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4582
Score SMA
—
Rank
#32 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6284 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.66% · r3d: 14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0189% · dist_ema21: 10.276%
Force Relative 25% 0.5678 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 6.93% · beta_24h: 1.771
Volume 20% 0.1330 rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.190 · trend: -40.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4694 ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3074 ATR%: 5.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6734
Score SMA
0.5267
Rank
#21 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8148
Rank Norm SMA
0.4944
Calculé le
20/08/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7978 r1h: 0.568% · r4h: -1.223% · r1d: 14.17% · r3d: 13.33% · ema21_slope: 0.6083% · dist_ema21: 4.000%
Force Relative 25% 0.6034 rs_1h: 0.475% · rs_4h: -1.006% · rs_1d: 5.85% · rs_3d: 3.78% · beta_24h: 1.214
Volume 20% 0.1713 rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.430 · trend: -59.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9928 ADX: 59.1 (trend) · Chop: 31.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.606% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6420
Score SMA
0.6373
Rank
#16 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8132
Rank Norm SMA
0.7663
Calculé le
20/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7209 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.075% · r1d: 12.68% · r3d: 13.03% · ema21_slope: 0.4114% · dist_ema21: 8.357%
Force Relative 25% 0.6148 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.258% · rs_1d: 4.82% · rs_3d: 3.86% · beta_24h: 1.354
Volume 20% 0.3007 rvol_20: 0.00× · zscore_50: -0.706 · trend: 60.84%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7460 ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 13.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.333% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.257% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.902% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +5.265% 2.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +5.611% 2.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +5.934% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h ★ +8.251% 3.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 1.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% late near 0.2ATR near 0.4ATR 0.75 bull_high +4.41% +0.20 19/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -0.5ATR 0.62 bull_high_confirmed +7.81% +0.35 20/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 49% late — — 0.57 bull_medium +6.49% +0.38 20/08 02:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 46% mid — near 0.0ATR 0.64 bull_low +2.67% -0.12 20/08 02:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 10b — 2.747×ATR p6 +1.725×ATR p86
4h ↑ up late 12b — 5.868×ATR p100 +2.987×ATR p99
1h ↓ down late 6b — 2.008×ATR p26 +1.513×ATR p84
15m ↑ up mid 2b — 1.939×ATR p16 +1.307×ATR p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.35942
  2. tp_price: 0.37449865
  3. atr: 0.00270746
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-20T18:45:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 14
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.7978
  4. avg_rank_8h: 13.6
  5. rank_velocity: 0.4
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 5.29
  7. trigger_price: 0.36589
  8. fip_24h: -0.417
  9. confidence: 0.812

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3677 0.3594 0.3745 0.82 0.3426
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3677
  • Stop Loss: 0.3594
  • Take Profit: 0.3745

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3594 - 0.3677 = -0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3677 - 0.3745 = -0.0068

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0068 / -0.0083 = 0.8193

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
354.012 100 962.6955 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0083

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0083 = -963.86

Taille de position USD = -963.86 x 0.3677 = -354.41

Donc, tu peux acheter -963.86 avec un stoploss a 0.3594

Avec un position size USD de -354.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -963.86 x -0.0083 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -963.86 x -0.0068 = 6.55

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.55$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -963.86
  • Taille de position USD -354.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.55
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8193

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.85 % 6.55 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.26 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
6.55 $ 1.85
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3677 0.3594 0.3745 0.82 0.3426
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3677
  • Stop Loss: 0.3594
  • Take Profit: 0.3745

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3594 - 0.3677 = -0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3677 - 0.3745 = -0.0068

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0068 / -0.0083 = 0.8193

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3843
            [stop_loss] => 0.3594
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-20 08:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.38845
            [stop_loss] => 0.3594
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-20 11:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.257% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.902% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +5.265% 2.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +5.611% 2.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +5.934% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h ★ +8.251% 3.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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