Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 328.01 ACE at 0.183$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1782 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2072 (13.35 %)
Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 328.01 ACE at 0.183$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1782 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2072 (13.35 %)
Position
Entry 0.1828$
Qty 328.0093 ACE
Size 59.9601$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1782 (+2.52%)
TP $ 1.51$
SL 0.2072 (-13.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.19
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0075
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.20×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 20/08 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9369 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.58% · r3d: 22.26% · ema21_slope: 5.2044% · dist_ema21: 35.369% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8716 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.17% · rs_3d: 14.33% · beta_24h: -2.790 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2444 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.685 · trend: 17.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9895 | ADX: 58.7 (trend) · Chop: 20.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 26.391% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2828 | r1h: -3.430% · r4h: -4.389% · r1d: -19.84% · r3d: 23.82% · ema21_slope: -0.5170% · dist_ema21: -6.350% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2625 | rs_1h: -3.959% · rs_4h: -5.067% · rs_1d: -28.34% · rs_3d: 14.17% · beta_24h: -1.119 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2250 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.354 · trend: -27.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3210 | ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2017 | ATR%: 5.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6985 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.426% · r1d: -14.92% · r3d: 24.98% · ema21_slope: 1.3297% · dist_ema21: -2.231% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6123 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.609% · rs_1d: -22.77% · rs_3d: 15.81% · beta_24h: -2.430 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1533 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.729 · trend: -48.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6939 | ADX: 38.8 (trend) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.994% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -4.267% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -4.267% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -17.724% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.602% | 0.1R | -27.079% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -49.234% | 3.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -57.221% | 4.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.20 | bull_high | +4.41% | +1.00 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | -0.08 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.81% | +0.99 | 20/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -2.2ATR | — | -0.07 | bull_medium | +6.66% | -0.99 | 20/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | — | bull_low | +2.78% | -0.49 | 20/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 3.725×ATR | p39 | +0.732×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.258×ATR | p7 | -0.113×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.056×ATR | p27 | -1.473×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.656×ATR | p21 | -1.518×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1828 | 0.2072 | 0.1782 | 0.19 | 0.1115 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2072 - 0.1828 = 0.0244
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1828 - 0.1782 = 0.0046
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0244 = 0.1885
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59.9601 | 59.9601 | 328.0093 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0244 = 327.87
Taille de position USD = 327.87 x 0.1828 = 59.93
Donc, tu peux acheter 327.87 avec un stoploss a 0.2072
Avec un position size USD de 59.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 327.87 x 0.0244 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 327.87 x 0.0046 = 1.51
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.51$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 1.51 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -13.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -14.5514 % | 109.02 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1828 | 0.2072 | 0.1782 | 0.19 | 0.1115 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2072 - 0.1828 = 0.0244
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1828 - 0.1782 = 0.0046
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0244 = 0.1885
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -4.267% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -4.267% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -17.724% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.602% | 0.1R | -27.079% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -49.234% | 3.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.602% | 0.1R | -57.221% | 4.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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