20 Aug 2026 at 03:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 328.01 ACE at 0.183$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1782 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2072 (13.35 %)

ACE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 20 Aug 2026 03:10 → 05:35 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1828$

Qty 328.0093 ACE

Size 59.9601$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1782 (+2.52%)

TP $ 1.51$

SL 0.2072 (-13.35%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.19

Status loss PnL -13.35% / -8$ MAE -27.08% MFE +0.60% 0.1R expires 20 Aug 09:10

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 76466)
#70 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0075

Quality Score
0.264
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#70 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
13.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#70 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
13.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -2.20×ATR
4h near -0.51×ATR
1d clear 1.22×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 03:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

19/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

20/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

20/08 02:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1658
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bull

—

transition

-1

Tactical bull

—

transition

-1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.93
Transition risk : 0.07
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.71
Snapshot évalué : 20/08 03:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6963
Score SMA
—
Rank
#2 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9369 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.58% · r3d: 22.26% · ema21_slope: 5.2044% · dist_ema21: 35.369%
Force Relative 25% 0.8716 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.17% · rs_3d: 14.33% · beta_24h: -2.790
Volume 20% 0.2444 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.685 · trend: 17.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9895 ADX: 58.7 (trend) · Chop: 20.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 26.391% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.2638
Score SMA
0.4941
Rank
#70 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0075
Rank Norm SMA
0.3860
Calculé le
20/08/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2828 r1h: -3.430% · r4h: -4.389% · r1d: -19.84% · r3d: 23.82% · ema21_slope: -0.5170% · dist_ema21: -6.350%
Force Relative 25% 0.2625 rs_1h: -3.959% · rs_4h: -5.067% · rs_1d: -28.34% · rs_3d: 14.17% · beta_24h: -1.119
Volume 20% 0.2250 rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.354 · trend: -27.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3210 ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.2017 ATR%: 5.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 20/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4974
Score SMA
0.5200
Rank
#63 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0898
Rank Norm SMA
0.5202
Calculé le
20/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6985 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.426% · r1d: -14.92% · r3d: 24.98% · ema21_slope: 1.3297% · dist_ema21: -2.231%
Force Relative 25% 0.6123 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.609% · rs_1d: -22.77% · rs_3d: 15.81% · beta_24h: -2.430
Volume 20% 0.1533 rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.729 · trend: -48.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6939 ADX: 38.8 (trend) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 13.994% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -13.348% (0.0244)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.602% 0.1R -4.267% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.602% 0.1R -4.267% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.602% 0.1R -17.724% 1.3R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.602% 0.1R -27.079% 2.0R 0.0× 72
8h +0.602% 0.1R -49.234% 3.7R 0.0× 96
12h +0.602% 0.1R -57.221% 4.3R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.20 bull_high +4.41% +1.00 19/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.5ATR — -0.08 bull_high_confirmed +7.81% +0.99 20/08 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 44% early near -2.2ATR — -0.07 bull_medium +6.66% -0.99 20/08 02:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 37% mid near -2.1ATR — — bull_low +2.78% -0.49 20/08 02:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 6b — 3.725×ATR p39 +0.732×ATR p45
4h ↓ down early 7b — 2.258×ATR p7 -0.113×ATR p8
1h ↓ down early 12b — 2.056×ATR p27 -1.473×ATR p56
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 2.656×ATR p21 -1.518×ATR p74

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.20718955
  2. tp_price: 0.17823
  3. atr: 0.00975582
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-20T13:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 70
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.2828
  4. delta_2h: -0.128
  5. extension_atr: -1.13
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0075
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1828 0.2072 0.1782 0.19 0.1115
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1828
  • Stop Loss: 0.2072
  • Take Profit: 0.1782

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2072 - 0.1828 = 0.0244

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1828 - 0.1782 = 0.0046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0244 = 0.1885

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
59.9601 59.9601 328.0093 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0244

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0244 = 327.87

Taille de position USD = 327.87 x 0.1828 = 59.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 327.87 avec un stoploss a 0.2072

Avec un position size USD de 59.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 327.87 x 0.0244 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 327.87 x 0.0046 = 1.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.51$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 327.87
  • Taille de position USD 59.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.51
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.1885

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 1.51 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
13.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -13.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-14.5514 % 109.02 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1828 0.2072 0.1782 0.19 0.1115
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1828
  • Stop Loss: 0.2072
  • Take Profit: 0.1782

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2072 - 0.1828 = 0.0244

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1828 - 0.1782 = 0.0046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0244 = 0.1885

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1782
            [entry_price] => 0.1828
            [stop_loss] => 0.20964
            [rr_ratio] => 0.17
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1782
            [entry_price] => 0.1828
            [stop_loss] => 0.21208
            [rr_ratio] => 0.16
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1782
            [entry_price] => 0.1828
            [stop_loss] => 0.21452
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-20 09:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1782
            [entry_price] => 0.1828
            [stop_loss] => 0.2194
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -13.348% (0.0244)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.602% 0.1R -4.267% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.602% 0.1R -4.267% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.602% 0.1R -17.724% 1.3R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.602% 0.1R -27.079% 2.0R 0.0× 72
8h +0.602% 0.1R -49.234% 3.7R 0.0× 96
12h +0.602% 0.1R -57.221% 4.3R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.