Short Trade on NIL

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20 Aug 2026 at 03:15:12 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 4390.78 NIL at 0.0419$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04078 (2.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04377 (4.34 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 20 Aug 2026 03:15 → 11:20 · 8 hours

Position

Entry 0.04195$

Qty 4390.7794 NIL

Size 184.1932$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04078 (+2.79%)

TP $ 5.14$

SL 0.04377 (-4.34%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.64

Status win PnL +2.79% / +5.14$ MAE -3.41% MFE +8.45% 2.0R expires 20 Aug 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 76489)

#69 / 70

seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0340

Quality Score

0.372

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#69 / 70

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.34 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#69 / 70

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.34 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.19×ATR
4h	clear	0.86×ATR
1d	clear	1.81×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

N/A

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 03:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 20/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 20/08 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

19/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

20/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

20/08 02:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1658

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_breakout_attempt

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bull —	transition -1
Tactical	bull —	transition -1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.93

Transition risk : 0.07

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.71

Snapshot évalué : 20/08 03:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 18/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5043

Score SMA

—

Rank

#11 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

—

Rank Norm SMA

—

Calculé le

18/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7128	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.70% · r3d: -6.10% · ema21_slope: 1.6008% · dist_ema21: 8.547%
Force Relative	25%	0.5171	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.158
Volume	20%	0.2006	rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -2.90%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8068	ADX: 44.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.451% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 20/08/2026 03:00

Score brut

0.3716

Score SMA

0.5297

Rank

#69 / 70

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0340

Rank Norm SMA

0.5009

Calculé le

20/08/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3369	r1h: -1.298% · r4h: 2.244% · r1d: -2.13% · r3d: -15.29% · ema21_slope: -0.0536% · dist_ema21: -0.736%
Force Relative	25%	0.2065	rs_1h: -1.826% · rs_4h: 1.566% · rs_1d: -10.62% · rs_3d: -24.94% · beta_24h: 0.396
Volume	20%	0.2164	rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.319 · trend: -29.65%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5044	ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 62.2 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.448% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 20/08/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.3306

Score SMA

0.3796

Rank

#70 / 70

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0208

Rank Norm SMA

0.0210

Calculé le

20/08/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4872	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.122% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -12.74% · ema21_slope: -0.4602% · dist_ema21: -2.491%
Force Relative	25%	0.2997	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.939% · rs_1d: -6.83% · rs_3d: -21.91% · beta_24h: 0.351
Volume	20%	0.1519	rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.926 · trend: -39.76%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5277	ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.106% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.339% (0.0018)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.422%	0.1R	-2.970%	0.7R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.422%	0.1R	-2.970%	0.7R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.422%	0.1R	-3.411%	0.8R	0.1×	48
8h	+2.753%	0.6R	-3.411%	0.8R	0.8×	96
12h ★	+8.448%	2.0R	-3.411%	0.8R	2.5×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.22

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	near -0.5ATR	0.33	bull_high	+4.41%	+0.99	19/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	46%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.22	bull_high_confirmed	+7.81%	-0.97	20/08 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	early	near 0.2ATR	—	0.03	bull_medium	+6.66%	-0.66	20/08 02:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early	near 0.5ATR	—	—	bull_low	+2.92%	+0.16	20/08 02:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	9b	—	1.351×ATR	p0	+0.211×ATR	p16
4h	↓ down	mid	18b	—	3.546×ATR	p44	-1.025×ATR	p66
1h	↓ down	early	2b	—	1.58×ATR	p4	-0.297×ATR	p13
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.983×ATR	p19	-0.38×ATR	p12

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.043772
tp_price: 0.04078442
atr: 0.00046623
expires_at: 2026-08-20T19:15:12+00:00

Details

rank: 69
total: 70
score: 0.3369
avg_rank_8h: 67.5
rank_velocity: 1.5
pullback_depth_atr: 5.65
trigger_price: 0.042238
fip_24h: -0.417
confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	03:15	0.04195000	0%
2	03:30	0.04195000	0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04195	0.04377	0.04078	0.64	0.05576

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04195
Stop Loss: 0.04377
Take Profit: 0.04078

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04377 - 0.04195 = 0.00182
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04195 - 0.04078 = 0.00117
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00117 / 0.00182 = 0.6429

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
184.1932	100	4390.7794	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00182

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00182 = 4395.6

Taille de position USD = 4395.6 x 0.04195 = 184.4

Donc, tu peux acheter 4395.6 avec un stoploss a 0.04377

Avec un position size USD de 184.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4395.6 x 0.00182 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4395.6 x 0.00117 = 5.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.14$

Résumé

Taille de position 4395.6
Taille de position USD 184.4
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.14
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6429

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.79 %	5.14 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.34 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
5.14 $	2.79

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.4112 %	78.63 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04195	0.04377	0.04078	0.64	0.05576

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04195
Stop Loss: 0.04377
Take Profit: 0.04078

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04377 - 0.04195 = 0.00182
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04195 - 0.04078 = 0.00117
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00117 / 0.00182 = 0.6429

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.339% (0.0018)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.422%	0.1R	-2.970%	0.7R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.422%	0.1R	-2.970%	0.7R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.422%	0.1R	-3.411%	0.8R	0.1×	48
8h	+2.753%	0.6R	-3.411%	0.8R	0.8×	96
12h ★	+8.448%	2.0R	-3.411%	0.8R	2.5×	144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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