Long Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 70.34 TRUMP at 1.699$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7419 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.5857 (6.69 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 05:10:09
hyperliquid
TRUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 11:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.6994$
Qty 70.341 TRUMP
Size 119.5376$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.7419 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.99$
SL 1.5857 (-6.69%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.37
Status
loss
PnL
-2.32%
/ -2.77$
MAE -5.18%
MFE +0.38%
0.1R
expires
20 Aug 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76696)
#29 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 05:00
score du 20/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8146
Quality Score
0.715
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#29 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#29 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.88×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.11×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
21.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 05:02
20/08 05:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1660
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 05:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5527
Score SMA
—
Rank
#15
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6223 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.98% · r3d: 24.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0283% · dist_ema21: 15.238% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6950 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.39% · rs_3d: 16.56% · beta_24h: 2.403 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2893 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.688 · trend: 51.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6309 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 25.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3979 | ATR%: 4.806% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.7150
Score SMA
0.5301
Rank
#29
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8146
Rank Norm SMA
0.4501
Calculé le
20/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8981 | r1h: 1.360% · r4h: 1.745% · r1d: 19.40% · r3d: 20.04% · ema21_slope: 0.9921% · dist_ema21: 4.475% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6035 | rs_1h: -0.953% · rs_4h: -1.086% · rs_1d: 8.43% · rs_3d: 7.25% · beta_24h: 0.666 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2776 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.042 · trend: 10.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9281 | ADX: 51.4 (trend) · Chop: 13.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.856% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.7229
Score SMA
0.5161
Rank
#10
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8986
Rank Norm SMA
0.4207
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8282 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.017% · r1d: 19.24% · r3d: 19.48% · ema21_slope: 0.5914% · dist_ema21: 11.551% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7674 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.371% · rs_1d: 10.23% · rs_3d: 8.96% · beta_24h: 0.847 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3809 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.286 · trend: 202.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7753 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: -5.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9013 | ATR%: 3.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.691%
(0.1137)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -2.625% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -2.625% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -3.378% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.377% | 0.1R | -5.184% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.812% | 0.1R | -5.184% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.812% | 0.1R | -5.184% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.51 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.49 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.95% | +0.61 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 53% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.88% | +0.66 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mature_trend | bull_trend | weak | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bull_medium_confirmed | +4.97% | -0.25 | 20/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.999×ATR | p9 | +1.582×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.33×ATR | p46 | +2.763×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.712×ATR | p72 | +0.949×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.037×ATR | p14 | +0.629×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6994 | 1.5857 | 1.7419 | 0.37 | 1.0988 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6994
- Stop Loss: 1.5857
- Take Profit: 1.7419
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.5857 - 1.6994 = -0.1137
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6994 - 1.7419 = -0.0425
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0425 / -0.1137 = 0.3738
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119.5376 | 100 | 70.341 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1137
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1137 = -70.36
Taille de position USD = -70.36 x 1.6994 = -119.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -70.36 avec un stoploss a 1.5857
Avec un position size USD de -119.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -70.36 x -0.1137 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -70.36 x -0.0425 = 2.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -70.36
- Taille de position USD -119.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3738
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.77 $ | -2.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1842 % | 77.48 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6994 | 1.5857 | 1.7419 | 0.37 | 1.0988 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6994
- Stop Loss: 1.5857
- Take Profit: 1.7419
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.5857 - 1.6994 = -0.1137
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6994 - 1.7419 = -0.0425
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0425 / -0.1137 = 0.3738
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.691%
(0.1137)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -2.625% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -2.625% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -3.378% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.377% | 0.1R | -5.184% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.812% | 0.1R | -5.184% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.812% | 0.1R | -5.184% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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