Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 13390.02 ARB at 0.0881$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08927 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08748 (0.68 %)
Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 13390.02 ARB at 0.0881$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08927 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08748 (0.68 %)
Position
Entry 0.08808$
Qty 13390.0177 ARB
Size 1179.3928$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08927 (+1.35%)
TP $ 15.93$
SL 0.08748 (-0.68%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.98
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7490
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.56×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.514644 15m : 0.462271 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5655 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.12% · r3d: 17.65% · ema21_slope: -0.1636% · dist_ema21: 10.951% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5894 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.53% · rs_3d: 9.72% · beta_24h: 1.675 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1919 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.713 · trend: -20.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6897 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4245 | ATR%: 4.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8268 | r1h: -0.803% · r4h: 1.785% · r1d: 15.65% · r3d: 19.29% · ema21_slope: 0.6364% · dist_ema21: 3.758% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4988 | rs_1h: -1.362% · rs_4h: -1.901% · rs_1d: 3.90% · rs_3d: 5.57% · beta_24h: 0.536 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2347 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.248 · trend: -11.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 63.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.590% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8358 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.326% · r1d: 16.09% · r3d: 19.38% · ema21_slope: 0.6158% · dist_ema21: 11.116% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7120 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.320% · rs_1d: 7.08% · rs_3d: 8.86% · beta_24h: 0.717 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2776 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.914 · trend: 53.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8037 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 7.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.176% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.317% | 1.9R | -0.363% | 0.5R | 3.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.089% | 3.1R | -0.420% | 0.6R | 5.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.089% | 3.1R | -0.761% | 1.1R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.565% | 5.2R | -0.761% | 1.1R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.565% | 5.2R | -0.761% | 1.1R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.08 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.50 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.11% | +0.56 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.44 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.45% | +0.38 | 20/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | — | bull_medium | +4.95% | -0.16 | 20/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.494×ATR | p42 | +1.832×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 8.633×ATR | p96 | +4.197×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.47×ATR | p0 | +1.812×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.334×ATR | p33 | +0.342×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70397.1
0.0208647
71866
0.514644
68627.3
0.0471915
71866
0.462271
65828.6
0.0900275
71755
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0.09064
197
0.812
0.7019
0.3909
0.229
0.5233
1
0.741
0.4775
0.7683
0.844
0.7651
0.8591
0.2373
0.2069
1
1.2367
4.067
0.65
0.35
1
11
1
0.5419
0.6875
7.7175
0.55
1.0303
2.6171
4.067
0.8274
0.2401
0.74
1.0994
0.6673
0.5836
0.8575
0.8591
-1.7386
10.5983
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 03:10:00 | 0.08697 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:00:00 | 0.0873 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:15:00 | 0.0881 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 04:40:00 | 0.08723 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:05:00 | 0.0869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:10:00 | 0.08947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:30:00 | 0.08829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:10:00 | 0.09064 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 08:45:00 | 0.09012 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:05:00 | 0.08787 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 16:30:00 | 0.08115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 0.0797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:30:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:30:00 | 0.08707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:45:00 | 0.08839 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.08697 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:15:00 | 0.0881 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 0.0869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:00:00 | 0.09064 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 0.08787 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.07566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.07436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 18:00:00 | 0.07582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.07355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.07598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 16:00:00 | 0.07479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 23:00:00 | 0.09053 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 0.0869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:00:00 | 0.09064 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08808 | 0.08748 | 0.08927 | 1.98 | 0.1316 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08748 - 0.08808 = -0.0006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08808 - 0.08927 = -0.00119
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00119 / -0.0006 = 1.9833
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1179.3928 | 100 | 13390.0177 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0006 = -13333.33
Taille de position USD = -13333.33 x 0.08808 = -1174.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -13333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.08748
Avec un position size USD de -1174.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.0006 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.00119 = 15.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.87$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.93 $ | 1.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3633 % | 53.33 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08808 | 0.08748 | 0.08927 | 1.98 | 0.1316 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08748 - 0.08808 = -0.0006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08808 - 0.08927 = -0.00119
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00119 / -0.0006 = 1.9833
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.317% | 1.9R | -0.363% | 0.5R | 3.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.089% | 3.1R | -0.420% | 0.6R | 5.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.089% | 3.1R | -0.761% | 1.1R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.565% | 5.2R | -0.761% | 1.1R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.565% | 5.2R | -0.761% | 1.1R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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