Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4743.1 MEGA at 0.0368$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03772 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03512 (4.57 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 07:10:05
hyperliquid
MEGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 07:35
· 24 minutes
Position
Entry 0.0368$
Qty 4743.1018 MEGA
Size 174.5556$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03772 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.36$
SL 0.03512 (-4.57%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.55
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.36$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +7.55%
1.7R
expires
20 Aug 13:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76853)
#24 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 07:00
score du 20/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4658
Quality Score
0.710
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#24 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#24 / 72
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.50×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.58×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.63×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 07:02
20/08 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1662
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 07:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3303
Score SMA
—
Rank
#59
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3859 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.14% · r3d: 8.21% · ema21_slope: -0.9102% · dist_ema21: -0.578% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3761 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.55% · rs_3d: 0.29% · beta_24h: 1.145 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1589 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.238 · trend: -18.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5918 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.7101
Score SMA
0.5283
Rank
#24
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4658
Rank Norm SMA
0.4693
Calculé le
20/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8976 | r1h: 2.823% · r4h: 4.061% · r1d: 14.24% · r3d: 15.17% · ema21_slope: 0.3042% · dist_ema21: 4.335% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6987 | rs_1h: 2.817% · rs_4h: 1.265% · rs_1d: 2.81% · rs_3d: 2.38% · beta_24h: 0.506 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2496 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: 0.030 · trend: -14.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7751 | ADX: 51.9 (trend) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.836% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5912
Score SMA
0.6015
Rank
#37
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5725
Rank Norm SMA
0.6025
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6568 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.335% · r1d: 10.23% · r3d: 10.91% · ema21_slope: 0.3286% · dist_ema21: 5.860% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4799 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.311% · rs_1d: 1.22% · rs_3d: 0.40% · beta_24h: 0.576 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3313 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.456 · trend: 71.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7194 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 30.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.754% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.565%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.465% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.810% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 30% | late | — | — | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.90 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.33% | -0.08 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.30 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.00% | +0.25 | 20/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.31 | bull_medium_confirmed | +4.52% | +0.04 | 20/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 66b | — | 14.457×ATR | p92 | -0.128×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.276×ATR | p84 | +2.134×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 2.472×ATR | p29 | +2.267×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.645×ATR | p71 | +2.139×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.03511534
- tp_price: 0.03772205
- atr: 0.00067466
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T17:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 10
- total: 72
- score: 0.8976
- delta_2h: 0.0771
- extension_atr: 2.88
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4658
- confidence: 0.923
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0368 | 0.03512 | 0.03772 | 0.55 | 0.04889 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0368
- Stop Loss: 0.03512
- Take Profit: 0.03772
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03512 - 0.0368 = -0.00168
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0368 - 0.03772 = -0.00092
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00092 / -0.00168 = 0.5476
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174.5556 | 100 | 4743.1018 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00168
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00168 = -4761.9
Taille de position USD = -4761.9 x 0.0368 = -175.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -4761.9 avec un stoploss a 0.03512
Avec un position size USD de -175.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4761.9 x -0.00168 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4761.9 x -0.00092 = 4.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.38$
Résumé
- Taille de position -4761.9
- Taille de position USD -175.24
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.38
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5476
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.36 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.57 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.36 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0368 | 0.03512 | 0.03772 | 0.55 | 0.04889 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0368
- Stop Loss: 0.03512
- Take Profit: 0.03772
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03512 - 0.0368 = -0.00168
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0368 - 0.03772 = -0.00092
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00092 / -0.00168 = 0.5476
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.565%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.465% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.810% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.554% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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