Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 11.2 BCH at 215.57$ per unit. Take profit: 216.9982 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 214.8559 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 11.2 BCH at 215.57$ per unit. Take profit: 216.9982 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 214.8559 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 215.57$
Qty 11.2029 BCH
Size 2415.002$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 216.9982 (+0.66%)
TP $ 16$
SL 214.8559 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3239
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 20/08 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.532854 15m : 0.585357 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4014 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.06% · r3d: 4.18% · ema21_slope: -0.2004% · dist_ema21: 1.366% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3885 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -3.75% · beta_24h: 0.790 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1498 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -1.088 · trend: -33.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4119 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9627 | ATR%: 3.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7003 | r1h: 0.476% · r4h: 1.414% · r1d: 6.79% · r3d: 6.02% · ema21_slope: 0.2075% · dist_ema21: 2.572% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3765 | rs_1h: 0.471% · rs_4h: -1.382% · rs_1d: -4.64% · rs_3d: -6.77% · beta_24h: 0.163 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7179 | rvol_20: 1.78× · zscore_50: 1.699 · trend: 123.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8613 | ADX: 46.3 (trend) · Chop: 41.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.990% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5901 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.356% · r1d: 5.17% · r3d: 4.74% · ema21_slope: 0.1028% · dist_ema21: 3.390% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3341 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.290% · rs_1d: -3.84% · rs_3d: -5.77% · beta_24h: 0.210 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2558 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: 25.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7920 | ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 32.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.287% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.765% | 2.3R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.784% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.974% | 9.0R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 6.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.247% | 15.8R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 11.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.247% | 15.8R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 11.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | continuation_ready | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.71 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.46 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.33% | -0.58 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.40 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.00% | -0.35 | 20/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | — | bull_medium | +4.31% | -0.09 | 20/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 6.147×ATR | p94 | +0.224×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.014×ATR | p74 | +2.964×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.004×ATR | p73 | +2.237×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.465×ATR | p3 | +1.535×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70725.7
0.0163481
71882
0.532854
68948.9
0.0419889
71844
0.585357
65956
0.0909843
71957
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 16:00:00
[1] => 205.56
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 00:00:00
[1] => 205.44
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 03:00:00
[1] => 202.45
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 07:00:00
[1] => 204.5
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-18 14:00:00
[1] => 204.95
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 01:00:00
[1] => 201.96
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:00:00
[1] => 210.64
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:00:00
[1] => 214.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:00:00
[1] => 208.64
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 09:00:00
[1] => 218.22
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83402071304188
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7193251533742
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5916411042945
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 14:00:00
[1] => 203.23
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 15:15:00
[1] => 210.64
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 17:30:00
[1] => 205.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 21:45:00
[1] => 214.12
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-19 22:30:00
[1] => 210.33
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 00:00:00
[1] => 214.2
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 01:15:00
[1] => 210.95
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 03:00:00
[1] => 208.64
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 09:00:00
[1] => 218.22
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 11:15:00
[1] => 215.4
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2006232242691
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.092850510677803
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3091922005571
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 04:40:00
[1] => 210.93
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 05:35:00
[1] => 212.5
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 06:00:00
[1] => 211.44
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 07:00:00
[1] => 214.57
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 07:20:00
[1] => 212.62
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 09:05:00
[1] => 218.22
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 09:30:00
[1] => 215.63
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 10:30:00
[1] => 217.83
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 11:00:00
[1] => 217.38
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-20 11:15:00
[1] => 215.4
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83264329745147
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.078922934076132
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.9192200557103
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
208.64
191
0.6495
0.5832
0.3167
0.2647
0.3592
1
0.4592
0.4971
0.4295
0.7455
0.7603
0.8886
0.2334
0.1514
1
1.8343
3.4824
0.55
0.45
-1
8
1
0.4706
0.6297
2.6829
0.55
1.4367
2.8183
3.4824
0.2665
0.1916
0.76
0.1343
0.6047
0.6226
0.8949
0.8886
-0.8374
6.681
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 04:40:00 | 210.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:35:00 | 212.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 211.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:00:00 | 214.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:20:00 | 212.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:05:00 | 218.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:30:00 | 215.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:30:00 | 217.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 217.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:15:00 | 215.4 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 14:00:00 | 203.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:15:00 | 210.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 205.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 214.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 210.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 214.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 210.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 208.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 218.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:15:00 | 215.4 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 16:00:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 00:00:00 | 205.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 03:00:00 | 202.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 07:00:00 | 204.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 204.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 01:00:00 | 201.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 15:00:00 | 210.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 214.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 208.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 218.22 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.57 | 214.8559 | 216.9982 | 2 | 203.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.8559 - 215.57 = -0.7141
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 215.57 - 216.9982 = -1.4282
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4282 / -0.7141 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2415.002 | 100 | 11.2029 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.7141 = -11.2
Taille de position USD = -11.2 x 215.57 = -2414.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.2 avec un stoploss a 214.8559
Avec un position size USD de -2414.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.2 x -0.7141 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.2 x -1.4282 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.57 | 214.8559 | 216.9982 | 2 | 203.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.8559 - 215.57 = -0.7141
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 215.57 - 216.9982 = -1.4282
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4282 / -0.7141 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 216.9982
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 11:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 217.35525
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 217.7123
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 218.06935
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 218.4264
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 218.78345
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 219.1405
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 219.49755
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 219.8546
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 220.21165
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 220.5687
[stop_loss] => 214.8559
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-20 12:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.765% | 2.3R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.784% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.974% | 9.0R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 6.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.247% | 15.8R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 11.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.247% | 15.8R | -0.469% | 1.4R | 11.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.