Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 3424.06 SPX at 0.382$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3868 (1.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3797 (0.63 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 3424.06 SPX at 0.382$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3868 (1.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3797 (0.63 %)
Position
Entry 0.3821$
Qty 3424.0566 SPX
Size 1308.2635$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3868 (+1.23%)
TP $ 16.09$
SL 0.3797 (-0.63%)
SL $ 8.22$
RR 1.96
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8162
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.22094 15m : 0.620899 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.66% · r3d: 14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0189% · dist_ema21: 10.276% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5678 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 6.93% · beta_24h: 1.771 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1330 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.190 · trend: -40.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4694 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3074 | ATR%: 5.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9231 | r1h: 0.636% · r4h: 3.484% · r1d: 20.59% · r3d: 21.41% · ema21_slope: 0.6001% · dist_ema21: 6.623% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6969 | rs_1h: 0.420% · rs_4h: 0.189% · rs_1d: 8.71% · rs_3d: 7.99% · beta_24h: 1.155 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2457 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.348 · trend: 1.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 64.7 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.642% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8860 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.920% · r1d: 17.60% · r3d: 18.41% · ema21_slope: 0.5584% · dist_ema21: 12.041% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7387 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.274% · rs_1d: 8.59% · rs_3d: 7.89% · beta_24h: 1.368 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3079 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.507 · trend: 56.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7745 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 11.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.452% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.450% | 2.3R | -0.311% | 0.5R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.450% | 2.3R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.975% | 6.3R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.172% | 6.6R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.614% | 7.4R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near 0.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.75 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.20 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.50% | +0.53 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.31% | +0.58 | 20/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | bull_medium | +4.49% | +0.22 | 20/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 2.747×ATR | p6 | +1.725×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 7.544×ATR | p100 | +4.254×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.69×ATR | p84 | +3.449×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 2.07×ATR | p24 | +2.508×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70951.2
0.0136672
71921
0.22094
69139.1
0.0402351
71921
0.620899
66058.9
0.087044
71809
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0.8059
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3.4565
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1
11
1
0.5643
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0.8428
2.2942
6.2874
0.3356
0.3213
0.72
0.2609
0.5312
0.5767
0.914
1
0
11.7343
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 05:25:00 | 0.36589 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 06:10:00 | 0.36123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:20:00 | 0.37837 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:35:00 | 0.37297 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:20:00 | 0.38772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:55:00 | 0.3825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:35:00 | 0.38833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:05:00 | 0.38477 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:45:00 | 0.38952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:05:00 | 0.38206 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 12:15:00 | 0.32132 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 16:00:00 | 0.35148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 0.34005 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.36752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 0.37373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.35942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 0.36123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:45:00 | 0.3825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:45:00 | 0.38952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 0.38206 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.31391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.32745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.31193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.32582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.31742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 04:00:00 | 0.31053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.3224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 02:00:00 | 0.31707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 0.37373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 0.3894 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3821 | 0.3797 | 0.3868 | 1.96 | 0.3052 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3797 - 0.3821 = -0.0024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3821 - 0.3868 = -0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0024 = 1.9583
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1308.2635 | 100 | 3424.0566 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0024 = -3333.33
Taille de position USD = -3333.33 x 0.3821 = -1273.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -3333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3797
Avec un position size USD de -1273.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3333.33 x -0.0024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3333.33 x -0.0047 = 15.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.23 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 8.22 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.09 $ | 1.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3114 % | 49.58 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3821 | 0.3797 | 0.3868 | 1.96 | 0.3052 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3797 - 0.3821 = -0.0024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3821 - 0.3868 = -0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0024 = 1.9583
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.450% | 2.3R | -0.311% | 0.5R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.450% | 2.3R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.975% | 6.3R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.172% | 6.6R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.614% | 7.4R | -1.319% | 2.1R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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