Long Trade on AERO (CatchTheWave)
With 2974.15 AERO at 0.469$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4742 (1.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4662 (0.55 %)
Long Trade on AERO (CatchTheWave)
With 2974.15 AERO at 0.469$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4742 (1.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4662 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 0.4688$
Qty 2974.1546 AERO
Size 1394.4324$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4742 (+1.15%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.4662 (-0.55%)
SL $ 7.73$
RR 2.08
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7895
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.149793 15m : 0.605487 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5375 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.42% · r3d: 8.88% · ema21_slope: -0.2053% · dist_ema21: 5.581% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4908 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.01% · rs_3d: 0.95% · beta_24h: 1.201 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1247 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -1.199 · trend: -46.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3513 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 71.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4773 | ATR%: 4.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8678 | r1h: 0.444% · r4h: 2.179% · r1d: 18.42% · r3d: 15.39% · ema21_slope: 0.6394% · dist_ema21: 5.455% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5844 | rs_1h: 0.228% · rs_4h: -1.116% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 1.96% · beta_24h: 0.515 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2578 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.150 · trend: 0.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9940 | ADX: 59.3 (trend) · Chop: 24.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.393% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7822 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.092% · r1d: 17.16% · r3d: 14.16% · ema21_slope: 0.3454% · dist_ema21: 10.860% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6738 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.446% · rs_1d: 8.15% · rs_3d: 3.64% · beta_24h: 0.932 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3876 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.186 · trend: 128.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7391 | ADX: 28.7 (trend) · Chop: 5.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.905% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.127% | 5.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.127% | 5.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.870% | 7.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.283% | 7.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +4.283% | 7.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.14 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
ranging_calm 49% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.50% | +0.09 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.31% | +0.58 | 20/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | bull_medium | +4.46% | -0.15 | 20/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 3.503×ATR | p41 | +2.453×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 8.085×ATR | p100 | +4.81×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 6.77×ATR | p98 | +3.192×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.351×ATR | p28 | +1.936×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70951.2
0.0136672
71921
0.149793
69139.1
0.0402351
71921
0.605487
66058.9
0.087044
71809
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0.7733
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0.9041
0.3387
0.2455
1
2.2822
5.2161
0.7
0.3
1
15
1
0.489
0.78
4.6237
0.55
0.4334
2.0039
5.2161
0.5734
0.2356
0.74
0.1939
0.56
0.5881
0.9688
0.9041
-1.0991
10.3676
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 05:45:00 | 0.46321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:55:00 | 0.46928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:40:00 | 0.46294 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:30:00 | 0.47658 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:00:00 | 0.4711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 0.46789 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:20:00 | 0.47291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 0.47406 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:40:00 | 0.47646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:05:00 | 0.46885 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 0.41724 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.44096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 0.43068 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 0.45697 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.44834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:30:00 | 0.46294 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:30:00 | 0.47658 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 0.46789 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:30:00 | 0.47646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 0.46885 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 04:00:00 | 0.40512 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 0.40988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 0.40106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.40977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 15:00:00 | 0.41834 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 0.40342 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 10:00:00 | 0.40153 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.40963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 0.39831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:00:00 | 0.47658 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4688 | 0.4662 | 0.4742 | 2.08 | 0.4416 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4662 - 0.4688 = -0.0026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4688 - 0.4742 = -0.0054
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0054 / -0.0026 = 2.0769
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1394.4324 | 100 | 2974.1546 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0026 = -3076.92
Taille de position USD = -3076.92 x 0.4688 = -1442.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -3076.92 avec un stoploss a 0.4662
Avec un position size USD de -1442.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3076.92 x -0.0026 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3076.92 x -0.0054 = 16.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.62$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.15 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 7.73 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.06 $ | 1.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4688 | 0.4662 | 0.4742 | 2.08 | 0.4416 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4662 - 0.4688 = -0.0026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4688 - 0.4742 = -0.0054
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0054 / -0.0026 = 2.0769
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.127% | 5.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.127% | 5.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.870% | 7.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.283% | 7.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +4.283% | 7.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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