Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 416.64 GRASS at 0.307$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2994 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3262 (6.25 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 08:10:08
hyperliquid
GRASS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 08:10
→ 09:30
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.307$
Qty 416.645 GRASS
Size 127.9267$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2994 (+2.48%)
TP $ 3.17$
SL 0.3262 (-6.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.4
Status
win
PnL
+2.48%
/ +3.17$
MAE -1.45%
MFE +3.43%
0.6R
expires
20 Aug 14:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 76904)
#74 / 74
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 08:00
score du 20/08/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0558
Quality Score
0.397
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 74
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#74 / 74
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.30×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.11×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 08:02
20/08 08:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 20/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1663
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 08:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1999
Score SMA
—
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2491 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.06% · r3d: -7.98% · ema21_slope: -0.2079% · dist_ema21: -6.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1440 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -15.91% · beta_24h: -0.383 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1692 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.911 · trend: -27.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3686 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.910% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3971
Score SMA
0.4641
Rank
#74
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0558
Rank Norm SMA
0.3355
Calculé le
20/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3344 | r1h: 1.259% · r4h: -2.843% · r1d: -2.34% · r3d: -1.57% · ema21_slope: -0.1596% · dist_ema21: 1.642% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1685 | rs_1h: 1.044% · rs_4h: -6.138% · rs_1d: -14.22% · rs_3d: -15.00% · beta_24h: -0.515 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2718 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.205 · trend: 14.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6688 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 38.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.598% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4232
Score SMA
0.3943
Rank
#65
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0507
Rank Norm SMA
0.0390
Calculé le
20/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4845 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.167% · r1d: -0.66% · r3d: 0.12% · ema21_slope: -0.2073% · dist_ema21: 0.267% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1778 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.813% · rs_1d: -9.67% · rs_3d: -10.40% · beta_24h: 0.057 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3592 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.291 · trend: 83.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5710 | ADX: 13.5 (weak) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7591 | ATR%: 3.723% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.254%
(0.0192)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.560% | 0.3R | -0.124% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -0.124% | 0.0R | 27.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -0.124% | 0.0R | 27.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.427% | 0.6R | -1.450% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -1.450% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -8.658% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.94 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.29 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.50% | -0.96 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.01 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.31% | -0.57 | 20/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.12 | bull_medium | +4.43% | +0.13 | 20/08 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 48b | — | 12.799×ATR | p100 | -1.118×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.382×ATR | p0 | -0.727×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.502×ATR | p2 | +0.584×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.801×ATR | p10 | +1.499×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.326241
- tp_price: 0.299364
- atr: 0.0076804
- expires_at: 2026-08-20T18:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 75
- total: 75
- score: 0.3344
- delta_2h: -0.049
- extension_atr: 0.31
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0558
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:10 | 0.30704000 | +0.013% |
| 2 | 09:10 | 0.30499000 | -0.655% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.307 | 0.3262 | 0.2994 | 0.4 | 0.3986 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.307
- Stop Loss: 0.3262
- Take Profit: 0.2994
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3262 - 0.307 = 0.0192
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.307 - 0.2994 = 0.0076
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0076 / 0.0192 = 0.3958
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127.9267 | 100 | 416.645 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0192
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0192 = 416.67
Taille de position USD = 416.67 x 0.307 = 127.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 416.67 avec un stoploss a 0.3262
Avec un position size USD de 127.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 416.67 x 0.0192 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 416.67 x 0.0076 = 3.17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.17$
Résumé
- Taille de position 416.67
- Taille de position USD 127.92
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.17
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3958
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 3.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.17 $ | 2.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1238 % | 1.98 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.307 | 0.3262 | 0.2994 | 0.4 | 0.3986 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.307
- Stop Loss: 0.3262
- Take Profit: 0.2994
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3262 - 0.307 = 0.0192
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.307 - 0.2994 = 0.0076
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0076 / 0.0192 = 0.3958
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.254%
(0.0192)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.560% | 0.3R | -0.124% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -0.124% | 0.0R | 27.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -0.124% | 0.0R | 27.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.427% | 0.6R | -1.450% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -1.450% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.427% | 0.6R | -8.658% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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