Long Trade on RENDER (CatchTheWave)
With 1315.4 RENDER at 1.383$ per unit. Take profit: 1.395 (0.88 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3767 (0.44 %)
Long Trade on RENDER (CatchTheWave)
With 1315.4 RENDER at 1.383$ per unit. Take profit: 1.395 (0.88 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3767 (0.44 %)
Position
Entry 1.3828$
Qty 1315.4044 RENDER
Size 1818.9412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 1.395 (+0.88%)
TP $ 16.05$
SL 1.3767 (-0.44%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4902
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.55×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 21.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.731944 15m : 0.655045 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4881 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.41% · r3d: 7.89% · ema21_slope: -0.3800% · dist_ema21: 3.678% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4342 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: -0.04% · beta_24h: 1.090 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1725 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -1.430 · trend: 0.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7196 | ADX: 38.5 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8597 | ATR%: 3.421% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7992 | r1h: 0.235% · r4h: 2.316% · r1d: 10.72% · r3d: 11.25% · ema21_slope: 0.2958% · dist_ema21: 3.135% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4478 | rs_1h: 0.020% · rs_4h: -0.979% · rs_1d: -1.16% · rs_3d: -2.18% · beta_24h: 0.464 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2585 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.340 · trend: 10.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8592 | ADX: 58.7 (trend) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.107% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6560 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.072% · r1d: 6.36% · r3d: 8.64% · ema21_slope: 0.3253% · dist_ema21: 5.335% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4612 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.696% · rs_1d: 1.84% · rs_3d: -3.00% · beta_24h: 0.532 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3041 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.508 · trend: 53.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8114 | ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 19.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.676% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.005% | 2.3R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.097% | 4.8R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.690% | 6.1R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.124% | 7.1R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 7.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.124% | 7.1R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 7.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.78 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 47% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.64 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.50% | -0.30 | 20/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.47 | bull_high_confirmed | +9.31% | +0.25 | 20/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +4.43% | -0.08 | 20/08 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.806×ATR | p6 | +0.851×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.902×ATR | p0 | +3.616×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.272×ATR | p66 | +2.637×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.559×ATR | p0 | +1.683×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
70997.9
0.0110013
71779
0.731944
69182.9
0.0375241
71779
0.655045
66058.9
0.087044
71809
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1.3542
190
0.669
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0.3045
0.2793
0.325
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0.6047
0.4612
0.4398
0.5921
0.7739
0.8705
0.2565
0.2003
1
1.4501
3.9864
0.5
0.5
-1
9
1
0.4413
0.7676
2.2603
0.55
1.3838
2.2087
3.9864
0.4746
0.2643
0.64
0.0121
0.5805
0.4989
0.9242
0.8705
-1.4378
9.6668
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:16 | 1.38280000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:26 | 1.38120000 | -0.116% |
| 3 | 08:35 | 1.37740000 | -0.391% |
| 4 | 08:44 | 1.38200000 | -0.058% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 08:15:00 | 1.3992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 08:55:00 | 1.4013 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:10:00 | 1.3943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:40:00 | 1.4021 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:55:00 | 1.3923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:20:00 | 1.4096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:25:00 | 1.3945 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:20:00 | 1.3947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:40:00 | 1.4088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:15:00 | 1.3812 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 21:45:00 | 1.4025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 1.3651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 1.3917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:45:00 | 1.3935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.3542 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 05:00:00 | 1.371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 05:45:00 | 1.3618 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 07:45:00 | 1.3674 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:15:00 | 1.4096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:15:00 | 1.3812 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 05:00:00 | 1.274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 1.2582 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:00:00 | 1.2792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 1.2767 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 1.2451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 1.2766 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 1.2555 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 1.4025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 1.3542 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 1.4096 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3828 | 1.3767 | 1.395 | 2 | 1.4053 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3767 - 1.3828 = -0.0061
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3828 - 1.395 = -0.0122
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0122 / -0.0061 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1818.9412 | 100 | 1315.4044 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0061 = -1311.48
Taille de position USD = -1311.48 x 1.3828 = -1813.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -1311.48 avec un stoploss a 1.3767
Avec un position size USD de -1813.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1311.48 x -0.0061 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1311.48 x -0.0122 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.88 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.05 $ | 0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3977 % | 90.16 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3828 | 1.3767 | 1.395 | 2 | 1.4053 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3767 - 1.3828 = -0.0061
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3828 - 1.395 = -0.0122
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0122 / -0.0061 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.005% | 2.3R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.097% | 4.8R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.690% | 6.1R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.124% | 7.1R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 7.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.124% | 7.1R | -0.398% | 0.9R | 7.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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