Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2186.2 SPX at 0.378$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3857 (1.93 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3748 (0.95 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2186.2 SPX at 0.378$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3857 (1.93 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3748 (0.95 %)
Position
Entry 0.3784$
Qty 2186.2045 SPX
Size 827.2816$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3857 (+1.93%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 0.3748 (-0.95%)
SL $ 7.87$
RR 2.03
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8318
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.92×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.62×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.495796 15m : 0.62198 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.66% · r3d: 14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0189% · dist_ema21: 10.276% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5678 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 6.93% · beta_24h: 1.771 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1330 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -1.190 · trend: -40.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4694 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3074 | ATR%: 5.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8000 | r1h: 0.070% · r4h: -0.179% · r1d: 18.56% · r3d: 20.78% · ema21_slope: 0.5698% · dist_ema21: 4.994% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6772 | rs_1h: 0.404% · rs_4h: -0.315% · rs_1d: 8.04% · rs_3d: 7.96% · beta_24h: 1.168 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3103 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.036 · trend: 1.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9765 | ADX: 64.3 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.703% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8387 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.759% · r1d: 10.27% · r3d: 19.27% · ema21_slope: 0.6610% · dist_ema21: 11.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6822 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.384% · rs_1d: 5.75% · rs_3d: 7.63% · beta_24h: 1.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2758 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.671 · trend: 40.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8034 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 9.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.532% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.847% | 1.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.915% | 5.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.190% | 5.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.428% | 5.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.120% | 7.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.75 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | +0.40 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.35% | +0.51 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bull_high | +8.16% | +0.62 | 20/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.1ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.63 | bull_medium | +3.11% | -0.10 | 20/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.616×ATR | p29 | +2.663×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 7.454×ATR | p100 | +3.686×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 0.671×ATR | p0 | +2.518×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.554×ATR | p0 | -0.254×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
71261.5
0.000539747
71300
0.495796
69486.5
0.0285872
71473
0.62198
66173.6
0.0823193
71621
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0.2991
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1
1.9968
4.8184
0.65
0.35
1
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1
0.5891
0.5203
4.6732
0.7
2.1034
4.818
4.8184
0.1137
0.3227
0.72
0.1775
0.5028
0.5741
0.9196
0.9137
-0.9996
10.5774
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 07:35:00 | 0.37297 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:20:00 | 0.38772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 09:55:00 | 0.3825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:35:00 | 0.38833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:05:00 | 0.38477 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:45:00 | 0.38952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:05:00 | 0.37953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 12:50:00 | 0.38764 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 13:00:00 | 0.38094 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 13:35:00 | 0.37779 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 16:00:00 | 0.35148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 17:15:00 | 0.34005 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.36752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 00:15:00 | 0.37373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.35942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 06:00:00 | 0.36123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:45:00 | 0.3825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:45:00 | 0.38952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 0.37953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 13:30:00 | 0.38042 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.31391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.32745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.31193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.32582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.31742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 04:00:00 | 0.31053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 0.3224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 02:00:00 | 0.31707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 0.37373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 0.38952 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3784 | 0.3748 | 0.3857 | 2.03 | 0.3002 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3748 - 0.3784 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3784 - 0.3857 = -0.0073
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0073 / -0.0036 = 2.0278
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 827.2816 | 100 | 2186.2045 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0036 = -2222.22
Taille de position USD = -2222.22 x 0.3784 = -840.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -2222.22 avec un stoploss a 0.3748
Avec un position size USD de -840.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.0036 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.0073 = 16.22
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.22$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.93 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 7.87 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.96 $ | 1.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3784 | 0.3748 | 0.3857 | 2.03 | 0.3002 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3748 - 0.3784 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3784 - 0.3857 = -0.0073
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0073 / -0.0036 = 2.0278
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.847% | 1.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.915% | 5.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.190% | 5.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.428% | 5.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.120% | 7.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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