Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 17.67 AAVE at 96.21$ per unit. Take profit: 97.1157 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 95.7572 (0.47 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 17.67 AAVE at 96.21$ per unit. Take profit: 97.1157 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 95.7572 (0.47 %)
Position
Entry 96.21$
Qty 17.666 AAVE
Size 1699.6412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 97.1157 (+0.94%)
TP $ 16$
SL 95.7572 (-0.47%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5255
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.96×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.46×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.629215 15m : 0.603515 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5925 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1563% · dist_ema21: 5.529% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4668 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.11% · rs_3d: -0.78% · beta_24h: 1.392 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0944 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.583 · trend: -53.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4727 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6449 | ATR%: 4.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6525 | r1h: -1.046% · r4h: -1.030% · r1d: 7.86% · r3d: 10.81% · ema21_slope: 0.2766% · dist_ema21: 0.723% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4098 | rs_1h: -0.664% · rs_4h: -0.840% · rs_1d: -2.41% · rs_3d: -1.79% · beta_24h: 0.709 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3542 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.051 · trend: 24.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8685 | ADX: 57.8 (trend) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6850 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.737% · r1d: 4.84% · r3d: 10.56% · ema21_slope: 0.3921% · dist_ema21: 6.034% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4806 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.361% · rs_1d: 0.31% · rs_3d: -1.07% · beta_24h: 0.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2697 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.663 · trend: 35.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7921 | ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 20.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.800% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.186% | 2.5R | -0.023% | 0.1R | 51.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.186% | 2.5R | -0.023% | 0.1R | 51.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.802% | 3.8R | -0.071% | 0.2R | 25.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.904% | 4.1R | -0.071% | 0.2R | 26.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.241% | 9.0R | -0.071% | 0.2R | 60.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.71 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | -0.73 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.52 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.35% | -0.05 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.62 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.21% | -0.09 | 20/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | bull_medium | +3.12% | -0.21 | 20/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.01×ATR | p24 | +1.947×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.858×ATR | p91 | +2.683×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.205×ATR | p25 | +0.622×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 4.276×ATR | p79 | -1.529×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
71265.6
0.00519614
71636
0.629215
69591.8
0.0293737
71636
0.603515
66174.3
0.0828369
71656
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98.845
197
0.7699
0.5561
0.3976
0.3041
0.4742
1
0.3631
0.574
0.7393
0.7734
0.6841
0.8142
0.1703
0.1625
1
0.4692
2.7986
0.7
0.3
1
2
0.9474
0.4444
0.4166
3.5288
0.65
1.7
3.4305
2.7986
0.16
0.217
0.84
0.1041
0.6169
0.5842
0.9485
0.8142
-2.0824
9.1232
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 08:45:00 | 98.662 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 97.248 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:15:00 | 98.115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:40:00 | 97.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 10:50:00 | 97.941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:10:00 | 97.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:40:00 | 98.845 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:45:00 | 96.695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 13:00:00 | 97.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 13:50:00 | 95.945 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 17:30:00 | 91.842 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 97.549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:30:00 | 94.937 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 01:00:00 | 94.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 02:15:00 | 97.247 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 94.964 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 08:45:00 | 98.662 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:00:00 | 97.248 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:30:00 | 98.845 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 13:45:00 | 95.945 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 85.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 86.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 85.679 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 23:00:00 | 89.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 02:00:00 | 87.585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 14:00:00 | 89.962 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 23:00:00 | 86.752 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 97.549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 11:00:00 | 98.845 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 13:00:00 | 96.143 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.21 | 95.7572 | 97.1157 | 2 | 106.72 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95.7572 - 96.21 = -0.4528
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 96.21 - 97.1157 = -0.90570000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.90570000000001 / -0.4528 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1699.6412 | 100 | 17.666 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4528 = -17.67
Taille de position USD = -17.67 x 96.21 = -1700.03
Donc, tu peux acheter -17.67 avec un stoploss a 95.7572
Avec un position size USD de -1700.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -17.67 x -0.4528 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -17.67 x -0.90570000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0229 % | 4.87 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.21 | 95.7572 | 97.1157 | 2 | 106.72 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95.7572 - 96.21 = -0.4528
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 96.21 - 97.1157 = -0.90570000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.90570000000001 / -0.4528 = 2.0002
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.186% | 2.5R | -0.023% | 0.1R | 51.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.186% | 2.5R | -0.023% | 0.1R | 51.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.802% | 3.8R | -0.071% | 0.2R | 25.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.904% | 4.1R | -0.071% | 0.2R | 26.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.241% | 9.0R | -0.071% | 0.2R | 60.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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