Long Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 4.44 AAVE at 96.656$ per unit. Take profit: 101.1615 (4.66 %) & Stop Loss: 94.8538 (1.86 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 4.44 AAVE at 96.656$ per unit. Take profit: 101.1615 (4.66 %) & Stop Loss: 94.8538 (1.86 %)
Position
Entry 96.656$
Qty 4.4391 AAVE
Size 429.0622$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 101.1615 (+4.66%)
TP $ 20$
SL 94.8538 (-1.86%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5255
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.96×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.46×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5925 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1563% · dist_ema21: 5.529% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4668 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.11% · rs_3d: -0.78% · beta_24h: 1.392 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0944 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -1.583 · trend: -53.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4727 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6449 | ATR%: 4.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6525 | r1h: -1.046% · r4h: -1.030% · r1d: 7.86% · r3d: 10.81% · ema21_slope: 0.2766% · dist_ema21: 0.723% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4098 | rs_1h: -0.664% · rs_4h: -0.840% · rs_1d: -2.41% · rs_3d: -1.79% · beta_24h: 0.709 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3542 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.051 · trend: 24.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8685 | ADX: 57.8 (trend) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6850 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.737% · r1d: 4.84% · r3d: 10.56% · ema21_slope: 0.3921% · dist_ema21: 6.034% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4806 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.361% · rs_1d: 0.31% · rs_3d: -1.07% · beta_24h: 0.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2697 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.663 · trend: 35.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7921 | ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 20.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.800% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.484% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.484% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.333% | 0.7R | -0.532% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.434% | 0.8R | -0.532% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.760% | 2.0R | -0.532% | 0.3R | 7.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.71 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | -0.73 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.52 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.35% | -0.05 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.62 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.21% | -0.09 | 20/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | bull_medium | +3.12% | -0.21 | 20/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.01×ATR | p24 | +1.947×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.858×ATR | p91 | +2.683×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.205×ATR | p25 | +0.622×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 4.276×ATR | p79 | -1.529×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
98.845
146
0.7671
0.5561
0.3935
0.2999
0.47
1
0.3776
0.5686
0.7393
0.6387
0.6797
0.814
0.1513
0.1637
1
0.461
2.9388
0.7
0.3
1
3
0.9474
0.4528
0.4166
3.5288
0.65
1.7
3.4304
2.9388
0.16
0.2259
0.64
0.082
0.6121
0.5837
0.92
0.814
-2.2767
9.9647
1
1
0
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94.964
98.845
98.845
94.964
97.247
94.937
96.092
0.7114
98.845
98.561
98.703
0.4779
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:11 | 96.65600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:11 | 96.93800000 | +0.292% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.656 | 94.8538 | 101.1615 | 2.5 | 106.71 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.8538 - 96.656 = -1.8022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 96.656 - 101.1615 = -4.5055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.5055 / -1.8022 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 429.0622 | 100 | 4.4391 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.8022 = -4.44
Taille de position USD = -4.44 x 96.656 = -429.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.44 avec un stoploss a 94.8538
Avec un position size USD de -429.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.44 x -1.8022 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.44 x -4.5055 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.66 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 4.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5318 % | 28.52 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.656 | 94.8538 | 101.1615 | 2.5 | 106.71 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.8538 - 96.656 = -1.8022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 96.656 - 101.1615 = -4.5055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.5055 / -1.8022 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.484% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.484% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.333% | 0.7R | -0.532% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.434% | 0.8R | -0.532% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.760% | 2.0R | -0.532% | 0.3R | 7.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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