Long Trade on CHIP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 4460.75 CHIP at 0.0298$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03425 (15.05 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02798 (6.01 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 10:42:54
hyperliquid
CHIP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 10:42
→ 22:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.02977$
Qty 4460.751 CHIP
Size 132.7966$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03425 (+15.05%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.02798 (-6.01%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+15.05%
/ +19.98$
MAE -2.36%
MFE +16.03%
2.7R
expires
20 Aug 22:42
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 77155)
#38 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 10:00
score du 20/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3482
Quality Score
0.636
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.95×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 10:32
20/08 10:32
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4206
Score SMA
—
Rank
#41
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5710 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.46% · r3d: 1.26% · ema21_slope: 0.0901% · dist_ema21: 7.435% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4582 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.87% · rs_3d: -6.67% · beta_24h: 0.287 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1644 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.751 · trend: -39.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6793 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.034% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.6363
Score SMA
0.5705
Rank
#38
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3482
Rank Norm SMA
0.5445
Calculé le
20/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7393 | r1h: -0.486% · r4h: 9.559% · r1d: 10.48% · r3d: 1.01% · ema21_slope: 0.4025% · dist_ema21: 5.559% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5267 | rs_1h: -0.104% · rs_4h: 9.749% · rs_1d: 0.21% · rs_3d: -11.59% · beta_24h: -0.631 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3047 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.481 · trend: 52.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8240 | ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 40.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9832 | ATR%: 3.050% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5627
Score SMA
0.4797
Rank
#57
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1817
Rank Norm SMA
0.3480
Calculé le
20/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7669 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.967% · r1d: 11.29% · r3d: 4.95% · ema21_slope: 0.1344% · dist_ema21: 8.846% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6416 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.591% · rs_1d: 6.77% · rs_3d: -6.68% · beta_24h: 0.677 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2546 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.602 · trend: 21.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6755 | ADX: 35.8 (trend) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1997 | ATR%: 5.401% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.013%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +16.026% | 2.7R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 6.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +16.963% | 2.8R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 7.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.95
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | — | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | +0.58 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.30 | bull_high_confirmed | +10.92% | -0.97 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | -0.01 | bull_high | +7.99% | +0.05 | 20/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.21 | bull_medium | +2.80% | +0.41 | 20/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.704×ATR | p0 | +1.485×ATR | p59 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.618×ATR | p14 | +1.15×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.749×ATR | p42 | +0.825×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 3.109×ATR | p43 | -0.263×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8207
- reason: up_bo width=1.31×ATR dur=26b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.02797658
- tp_price: 0.03425356
- atr:
- score: 0.82069564850348
- expires_at: 2026-08-21T02:42:46.681647
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82069564850348
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.031
- obi_top10 : 0.1337
- micro_price : 0.02988489
- spread_pct : 0.100469
- mid_price : 0.029875
- bid_wall_price : 0.0298
- bid_wall_size : 1406821.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0301
- ask_wall_size : 1491383
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0291
- obi_top5_std : 0.0033
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7031
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0286745
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.027464
- balance_zone_mid:
0.02806925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1787144400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787234400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.3062
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
26
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8207
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787220000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0286745
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6154
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1821
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00092673 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
26
inside_close_ratio
0.6154
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1821
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:42 | 0.02977000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:51 | 0.02993400 | +0.551% |
| 3 | 10:59 | 0.02993400 | +0.551% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7031ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.031
avg -0.029
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.134
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0299
Micro Price
0.0299
Spread
0.1005%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0298
Size
1,406,821.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0301
Size
1,491,383.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02977 | 0.02798 | 0.03425 | 2.5 | 0.02707 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02977
- Stop Loss: 0.02798
- Take Profit: 0.03425
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02798 - 0.02977 = -0.00179
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02977 - 0.03425 = -0.00448
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00448 / -0.00179 = 2.5028
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132.7966 | 100 | 4460.751 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00179
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00179 = -4469.27
Taille de position USD = -4469.27 x 0.02977 = -133.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -4469.27 avec un stoploss a 0.02798
Avec un position size USD de -133.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4469.27 x -0.00179 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4469.27 x -0.00448 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position -4469.27
- Taille de position USD -133.05
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5028
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 15.05 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.01 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.98 $ | 15.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3581 % | 39.22 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02977 | 0.02798 | 0.03425 | 2.5 | 0.02707 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02977
- Stop Loss: 0.02798
- Take Profit: 0.03425
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02798 - 0.02977 = -0.00179
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02977 - 0.03425 = -0.00448
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00448 / -0.00179 = 2.5028
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.013%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.207% | 0.9R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +16.026% | 2.7R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 6.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +16.963% | 2.8R | -2.358% | 0.4R | 7.2× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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