Long Trade on MEGA (CatchTheWave)
With 17824.52 MEGA at 0.0374$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03828 (2.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03693 (1.2 %)
Long Trade on MEGA (CatchTheWave)
With 17824.52 MEGA at 0.0374$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03828 (2.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03693 (1.2 %)
Position
Entry 0.03738$
Qty 17824.5176 MEGA
Size 666.3161$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03828 (+2.41%)
TP $ 16.04$
SL 0.03693 (-1.2%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6831
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.96×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.151527 15m : 0.256649 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
exhaustion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3859 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.14% · r3d: 8.21% · ema21_slope: -0.9102% · dist_ema21: -0.578% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3761 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.55% · rs_3d: 0.29% · beta_24h: 1.145 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1589 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -1.238 · trend: -18.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5918 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8295 | r1h: -2.017% · r4h: 1.104% · r1d: 15.66% · r3d: 19.93% · ema21_slope: 0.5050% · dist_ema21: 5.741% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5907 | rs_1h: -2.616% · rs_4h: 0.644% · rs_1d: 10.26% · rs_3d: 7.36% · beta_24h: 0.487 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2391 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.189 · trend: -11.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 60.6 (trend) · Chop: 25.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.360% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7996 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.441% · r1d: 13.89% · r3d: 18.10% · ema21_slope: 0.4869% · dist_ema21: 11.312% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6751 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.065% · rs_1d: 9.37% · rs_3d: 6.46% · beta_24h: 0.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3327 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.372 · trend: 68.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7525 | ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 21.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9986 | ATR%: 3.004% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.130% | 1.8R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.414% | 2.8R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.935% | 3.3R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.935% | 3.3R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.345% | 3.6R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.30 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | -0.79 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.41 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.58% | +0.73 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.27 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.71% | +0.52 | 20/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.31 | bull_medium | +3.56% | +0.44 | 20/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.835×ATR | p8 | +0.937×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 6.606×ATR | p97 | +4.09×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.66×ATR | p6 | +2.249×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.413×ATR | p41 | +0.053×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
71585.3
0.0110722
72378
0.151527
70396.9
0.028141
72378
0.256649
66533.2
0.0872452
72338
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0.03958
198
0.778
0.5856
0.3494
0.2651
0.4183
1
0.3684
0.5757
0.7148
0.988
0.6365
0.8313
0.269
0.1596
1
1.8417
3.3853
0.6
0.4
1
1
1
0.4697
0.4291
5.9827
0.55
2.8828
7.8961
3.3853
0
0.2886
0.98
0.3417
0.6224
0.5026
0.7377
0.8313
-1.3858
6.8277
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:06 | 0.03738200 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 0.03737000 | -0.027% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 10:25:00 | 0.036399 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 10:55:00 | 0.035985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 11:40:00 | 0.038075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 12:15:00 | 0.037383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 13:10:00 | 0.038938 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 13:45:00 | 0.037831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 14:10:00 | 0.03958 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 14:45:00 | 0.038443 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 15:10:00 | 0.039461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 16:05:00 | 0.03734 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.036238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 22:45:00 | 0.034646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 00:30:00 | 0.035132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 01:15:00 | 0.034463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 03:00:00 | 0.034728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 04:45:00 | 0.035439 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:00:00 | 0.034662 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 09:45:00 | 0.035058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 14:00:00 | 0.03958 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 16:00:00 | 0.03734 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.030985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 21:00:00 | 0.033175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-18 08:00:00 | 0.03109 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-18 19:00:00 | 0.03221 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 0.031736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 06:00:00 | 0.032681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-19 10:00:00 | 0.031495 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-19 21:00:00 | 0.036238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 07:00:00 | 0.034662 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-20 14:00:00 | 0.03958 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03738 | 0.03693 | 0.03828 | 2 | 0.04957 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03693 - 0.03738 = -0.00045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03738 - 0.03828 = -0.0009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0009 / -0.00045 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 666.3161 | 100 | 17824.5176 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00045 = -17777.78
Taille de position USD = -17777.78 x 0.03738 = -664.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -17777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.03693
Avec un position size USD de -664.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -17777.78 x -0.00045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -17777.78 x -0.0009 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.41 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.2 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -1.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4366 % | 119.33 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03738 | 0.03693 | 0.03828 | 2 | 0.04957 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03693 - 0.03738 = -0.00045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03738 - 0.03828 = -0.0009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0009 / -0.00045 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.130% | 1.8R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.414% | 2.8R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.935% | 3.3R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.935% | 3.3R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.345% | 3.6R | -1.437% | 1.2R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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