Long Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 13.15 VVV at 14.894$ per unit. Take profit: 16.4145 (10.21 %) & Stop Loss: 14.2858 (4.08 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 12:14:04
hyperliquid
VVV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 12:14
→ 00:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 14.894$
Qty 13.1538 VVV
Size 195.913$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 16.4145 (+10.21%)
TP $ 20$
SL 14.2858 (-4.08%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.60%
/ -3.13$
MAE -3.69%
MFE +0.63%
0.2R
expires
21 Aug 00:13
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 77285)
#48 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 12:00
score du 20/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1524
Quality Score
0.638
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#48 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.75×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 12:02
20/08 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 20/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1667
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
exhaustion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5216
Score SMA
—
Rank
#22
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7775 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 9.04% · ema21_slope: 0.5893% · dist_ema21: 14.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6044 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.13% · rs_3d: 1.11% · beta_24h: 0.758 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1910 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -1.248 · trend: 5.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6603 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6376
Score SMA
0.5899
Rank
#48
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1524
Rank Norm SMA
0.6542
Calculé le
20/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8088 | r1h: 2.133% · r4h: 5.083% · r1d: 2.95% · r3d: 17.91% · ema21_slope: 0.0102% · dist_ema21: 3.554% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6741 | rs_1h: 1.534% · rs_4h: 4.623% · rs_1d: -2.45% · rs_3d: 5.34% · beta_24h: 0.615 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2450 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.458 · trend: -34.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5165 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6373
Score SMA
0.6846
Rank
#31
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3767
Rank Norm SMA
0.8625
Calculé le
20/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8677 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.007% · r1d: 3.35% · r3d: 17.70% · ema21_slope: 0.6661% · dist_ema21: 7.235% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5607 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.033% · rs_1d: -2.53% · rs_3d: 5.02% · beta_24h: 0.328 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1871 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.748 · trend: -22.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7582 | ADX: 50.6 (trend) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8563 | ATR%: 3.431% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.084%
(0.6082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -2.921% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.451% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.447% | 2.6R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.42 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | +0.39 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.34 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.58% | +0.46 | 20/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.25 | bull_high_confirmed | +8.71% | -0.26 | 20/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.29 | bull_medium | +3.51% | +0.33 | 20/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.008×ATR | p32 | +1.599×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.129×ATR | p3 | +1.333×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.166×ATR | p61 | +2.148×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 6.509×ATR | p96 | +2.848×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7867
- reason: up_bo width=2.92×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 14.28581158
- tp_price: 16.41447105
- atr:
- score: 0.78669184223535
- expires_at: 2026-08-21T04:13:56.967440
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78669184223535
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0321
- obi_top10 : 0.0164
- micro_price : 14.79070728
- spread_pct : 0.081169
- mid_price : 14.79
- bid_wall_price : 14.5
- bid_wall_size : 4110.42
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 15.1
- ask_wall_size : 3748.47
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0236
- obi_top5_std : 0.013
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7090
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
14.706
- balance_zone_bottom:
13.9195
- balance_zone_mid:
14.31275
- balance_zone_start_time:
1787068800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787241600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9196
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7867
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787238000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
14.706
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7551
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6979
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.26938422 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.7551
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6979
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7090ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.032
avg 0.024
± 0.013
OBI Top 10
0.016
Microstructure
Mid Price
14.7900
Micro Price
14.7907
Spread
0.0812%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
14.5000
Size
4,110.42
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
15.1000
Size
3,748.47
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.894 | 14.2858 | 16.4145 | 2.5 | 20.337 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.894
- Stop Loss: 14.2858
- Take Profit: 16.4145
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.2858 - 14.894 = -0.6082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.894 - 16.4145 = -1.5205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5205 / -0.6082 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 195.913 | 100 | 13.1538 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.6082
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6082 = -13.15
Taille de position USD = -13.15 x 14.894 = -195.86
Donc, tu peux acheter -13.15 avec un stoploss a 14.2858
Avec un position size USD de -195.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13.15 x -0.6082 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13.15 x -1.5205 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -13.15
- Taille de position USD -195.86
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.21 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.08 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.13 $ | -1.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6928 % | 90.43 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.894 | 14.2858 | 16.4145 | 2.5 | 20.337 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.894
- Stop Loss: 14.2858
- Take Profit: 16.4145
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.2858 - 14.894 = -0.6082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.894 - 16.4145 = -1.5205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5205 / -0.6082 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.084%
(0.6082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -2.921% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.451% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.631% | 0.2R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.447% | 2.6R | -3.693% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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